Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of FND stock:

Technical Analysis

• FND is showing a bullish reversal pattern, with the stock up 3.46% in regular trading hours today to $97.53, and gaining another 0.70% in post-market to $98.21
• The stock has formed a strong support level around $92.84 with resistance at $97.15

Recent Developments

• Stifel recently upgraded FND to "Buy" from "Hold" with a price target of $110, citing strong Q4 results including better-than-expected EBITDA of $119.8M and EPS of $0.44
• The company demonstrated resilience with comparable sales declining only 0.8% versus expected -4% drop
• Management plans aggressive expansion with 60 new stores in 2024, representing 30%+ growth

Analyst Consensus

• Current analyst consensus shows:
  • Hold: 66.67% (8 analysts)
  • Strong Buy/Buy: 16.66% (2 analysts)
  • Strong Sell: 16.67% (2 analysts)
• Average price target is $102.75, suggesting ~9% upside potential from current levels

Recommendation Based on the technical reversal pattern, positive analyst upgrade, strong Q4 results, and aggressive expansion plans, FND appears positioned for further upside. The stock is showing momentum above key support levels with room to reach analyst targets. Consider buying at current levels with a stop loss below $92.84.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for FND stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

Price Target Analysis

Floor & Decor (FND) is expected to reach $110-115 by end of 2025, representing a 12-17% upside from current levels. This projection is supported by:

1. Recent analyst upgrades: Stifel raised their price target to $110 citing strong Q4 results with EBITDA of $119.8M and better-than-expected EPS of $0.44

2. Growth catalysts:

• Expansion strategy with 60 new stores planned
• Strong market position in home improvement sector
• Demonstrated ability to navigate challenging conditions

Current Market Position

The stock is currently trading at $98.21 in post-market trading, showing positive momentum with:

• Regular market gain: +3.46%
• Post-market gain: +0.70%
• Trading volume: 2.97M shares

Key Support/Resistance Levels

• Key resistance: $102.72 (Fibonacci R1)
• Key support: $92.99 (Fibonacci S1)
• Pivot point: $97.85

The stock appears to be in a consolidation phase after recent volatility, with technical indicators suggesting potential for upward movement if it can break above the $102.72 resistance level.

The S1 support level for FND Stock is $93.12 ,The R1 resistant level for FND Stock is $102.25.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of FND Stock was $97.07.

The target price for FND Stock according to analyst rating is 103.60, with the highest price target at 120.00 and the lowest at 79.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on FND Stock overall.

The market cap of FND is $11.0B.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze whether FND is overvalued in 5 concise sentences:

Floor & Decor (FND) appears overvalued with a P/E ratio of 49.95x in Q4 2023, significantly higher than its peers LOW and HD which trade at roughly half those multiples. The company's revenue growth has stagnated with only 3.5% growth in FY2023 while operating income declined 19% and net income fell 17.5% year-over-year. FND's profitability metrics have deteriorated with net margin dropping from 7% in 2022 to 5.6% in 2023, while ROE declined from 20% to 13.7%, suggesting operational challenges in maintaining efficiency. The company faces significant headwinds from record low existing home sales and contracting flooring industry sales, with comparable store sales declining 9.4% in Q4 2023. Given the premium valuation multiples despite deteriorating fundamentals and industry challenges, coupled with Berkshire Hathaway's complete exit of its position in FND, the stock appears overvalued at current levels.

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is a multi-channel specialty retailer and commercial flooring distributor of hard surface flooring and related accessories. The Company offers an assortment of in-stock hard-surface flooring, including tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone along with decorative accessories and wall tile, and installation materials. The Company offers its products to various customers, including professional installers and commercial businesses (Pro), Do it Yourself customers (DIY), and customers who buy the products for professional installation (Buy it Yourself or BIY). It primarily sells hard surface flooring and related accessories through retail stores located in the United States. The Company, through its subsidiary, Floor and Decor Outlets of America, Inc., operates approximately 191 warehouse-format stores and six small-format standalone design studios in 36 states as well as four distribution centers and an e-commerce site, flooranddecor.com.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) stock by 2030:

Floor & Decor stock is projected to reach $165-175 by 2030, driven by its aggressive expansion strategy of adding 60+ new stores annually and strong market position in the specialty flooring retail sector. The company's robust infrastructure development and successful navigation of market challenges, as evidenced by recent analyst upgrades, supports this growth trajectory. Recent positive Q4 results showing EBITDA of $119.8 million and better-than-expected EPS demonstrate the company's operational efficiency and ability to maintain profitability even in challenging market conditions.

FND has a total of 9857 employees.