Should You Buy Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to enter immediately. The stock is in a near-term downtrend with weakening momentum and is trading below key pivot resistance; options positioning also leans defensive (high put open interest). I would hold off buying today and wait for technical stabilization (reclaiming ~73–74 or a confirmed bounce off ~68–70).
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: FND closed at 69.20 (-3.51% day) and is trading below the pivot (73.41), meaning the near-term trend is bearish-to-weak. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.481 and negatively expanding, signaling downside momentum is still building rather than bottoming. RSI(6) is 35.33, nearing oversold but not showing a strong reversal signal yet. Moving averages are converging, which often precedes a bigger move; currently the momentum bias is down. Levels: Support is clustered at S1 ~70.19 and S2 ~68.19 (current price is between them, so a break of ~68 could invite another leg down). Resistance sits near 73.41 (pivot) then 76.64 (R1). Pattern-based odds: model suggests weak near-term drift (-2.83% next week, -4.47% next month), reinforcing that the downtrend may persist.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
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Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: mixed-to-slightly improving stance, but with price targets generally drifting down or being reset lower into 2026 planning. Notable changes include: Piper Sandler upgraded to Overweight (PT $80), Goldman moved from Sell to Neutral (PT $71), while Barclays cut PT to $70 (Equal Weight) and several firms reduced targets (e.g., Evercore to $65, UBS to $74). TD Cowen recently lifted PT modestly to $80 but stayed Hold.
Wall Street pros: Expect 2026 comps/margins to improve, market share gains, and normalization after 2020–2022 pull-forward. Cons: Housing turnover/mortgage-rate sensitivity remains a headwind, near-term trends are subdued, and targets imply limited upside versus uncertainty at current levels.
Wall Street analysts forecast FND stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FND is 77.45 USD with a low forecast of 65 USD and a high forecast of 90 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast FND stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FND is 77.45 USD with a low forecast of 65 USD and a high forecast of 90 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 69.320
Current: 69.320
