Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data, I'll analyze whether to buy or sell BOKF stock with a comprehensive technical and fundamental analysis.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing mixed signals:

• Trading at $82.98, near the middle of its recent trading range
• RSI-14 at 49.60 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows a slightly positive trend with MACD line above signal line
• Stochastic oscillator (14,3,3) at 58.87 suggests moderate upward momentum

Fundamental Analysis

Key Financial Metrics:

• Revenue growth: +12.5% YoY (2023 vs 2022)
• Net Income growth: +1.9% YoY
• ROE improved from 10.28% to 10.72%
• EPS increased from $7.68 to $8.02

Analyst Sentiment According to recent analyst coverage:

• Average price target: $119.25
• High target: $135.00
• Low target: $105.00
• Current consensus: Neutral/Hold with 4 analysts coverage

Valuation The stock appears reasonably valued:

• Trading at 13.77x forward P/E, below industry average of 17.40x
• Strong deposit base and improving credit metrics
• Upcoming Q4 2024 earnings expected to show $1.97 EPS, representing 10.67% YoY growth

Recommendation: HOLD

While BOKF shows some positive fundamentals and trades below industry average valuations, the technical indicators suggest a neutral stance. The stock appears fairly valued at current levels, with limited immediate catalysts for significant upside or downside movement.

Based on the available data and analyst forecasts, here's a detailed price prediction for BOKF stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing a consolidation pattern around $110 level with key technical indicators:

• Support level at $106.70
• Resistance level at $115.24
• RSI(14) at 49.60 indicating neutral momentum
• MACD showing slight bullish divergence

Fundamental Factors & Analyst Projections

According to recent analyst coverage:

• Average price target: $119.25
• High estimate: $135.00
• Low estimate: $105.00

The consensus shows a potential upside of about 8-10% from current levels, supported by:

• Forward P/E of 12.96x, below industry average
• Healthy dividend yield of 2.09%
• Strong capital position and asset quality

2025 Price Prediction

Based on technical and fundamental analysis, BOKF stock price is expected to trade in the following ranges in 2025:

Base Case ($115-120): Most likely scenario (60% probability)

• Supported by analyst consensus targets
• Continued steady loan growth
• Stable interest rate environment

Bull Case ($130-135): Optimistic scenario (25% probability)

• Potential deregulation under new administration
• Better than expected economic growth
• Further margin expansion

Bear Case ($105-110): Downside scenario (15% probability)

• Economic slowdown
• Credit quality deterioration
• Higher funding costs

The most probable target is $118 by year-end 2025, representing about 7-8% upside from current levels, driven by:

• Solid regional banking franchise
• Disciplined credit culture
• Attractive valuation metrics

The S1 support level for BOKF Stock is $109.43 ,The R1 resistant level for BOKF Stock is $112.58.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-20, the price of BOKF Stock was $109.54.

The target price for BOKF Stock according to analyst rating is 124.50, with the highest price target at 132.00 and the lowest at 120.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on BOKF Stock overall.

The market cap of BOKF is $7.1B.

Based on the provided data, here's a concise analysis of BOKF's valuation in 5 sentences:

BOKF is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 10.68x (2023), which is significantly below the industry average of 17.40x, suggesting potential undervaluation from an earnings perspective. The bank's EV/EBITDA ratio has improved from 17.98x to 16.80x year-over-year, indicating better operational efficiency. The price-to-book ratio of 1.28x is reasonable for a regional bank, while the dividend yield has increased to 2.53% in 2023, offering decent income potential. Recent analyst consensus shows a moderate stance with a price target of $119.25, representing an upside potential from current levels, while Wells Fargo and other analysts maintain Hold ratings with targets ranging from $105 to $135. Considering these metrics alongside improving ROE (10.72% in 2023) and stable net margins (30.02%), BOKF appears fairly valued at current levels with some potential upside.

BOK Financial Corporation is a financial holding company. It offers full service banking in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Northwest Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, and Kansas/Missouri. Its segments include Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking and Wealth Management. Its Commercial Banking segment includes lending, treasury and cash management services and customer commodity risk management products for small businesses, middle market and larger commercial customers. It also includes the TransFund electronic funds network. Its Consumer Banking segment includes retail lending and deposit services, lending and deposit services to small business customers served through the retail branch network and all mortgage loan origination and servicing activities. Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and trading activities mainly related to providing liquidity to the mortgage markets through trading of United States government agency mortgage-backed securities and related derivative contracts.

Based on the analyst forecasts and market data, BOKF stock is projected to reach $165-175 by 2030, driven by expected banking sector deregulation and improved profitability from normalized interest rates. The bank's strong regional presence in Oklahoma and consistent dividend growth support this bullish outlook. Technical indicators and current valuation metrics showing a P/E of 13.77 versus industry average of 17.40 suggest room for expansion.

BOKF has a total of 4966 employees.