AXON Valuation

Axon Enterprise Inc

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766.240

+2.73(0.358%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AXON Relative Valuation

AXON's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AXON is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 114.21 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 79.27. The fair price of Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON) is between 373.64 to 627.56 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 763.51 USD , Axon Enterprise Inc is Overvalued By 21.66%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

373.64-627.56

Current Price：763.51

21.66%

Overvalued

114.75

Trailing

Forward

79.64

EV/EBITDA

Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) has a current EV/EBITDA of 79.64. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 53.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 24.18, Undervalued between 24.18 and 38.94, Fairly Valued between 68.46 and 38.94, Overvalued between 68.46 and 83.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 83.22. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 79.64 falls within the Overvalued range.

537.79

EV/EBIT

Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) has a current EV/EBIT of 537.79. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 51.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1426.19, Undervalued between -1426.19 and -687.30, Fairly Valued between 790.49 and -687.30, Overvalued between 790.49 and 1529.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 1529.38. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 537.79 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

19.75

Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) has a current PS of 19.75. The 5-year average PS is 11.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.65, Undervalued between 3.65 and 7.49, Fairly Valued between 15.18 and 7.49, Overvalued between 15.18 and 19.02, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.02. The current Forward PS of 19.75 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

70.21

P/OCF

Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) has a current P/OCF of 70.21. The 5-year average P/OCF is 59.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 25.46, Undervalued between 25.46 and 42.40, Fairly Valued between 76.27 and 42.40, Overvalued between 76.27 and 93.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 93.20. The current Forward P/OCF of 70.21 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

89.54

P/FCF

Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) has a current P/FCF of 89.54. The 5-year average P/FCF is 56.48. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -159.56, Undervalued between -159.56 and -51.54, Fairly Valued between 164.50 and -51.54, Overvalued between 164.50 and 272.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 272.52. The current Forward P/FCF of 89.54 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 21.91. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 13.97 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 56.81% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 11.92, the current P/B ratio is about 83.80% higher. Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.30%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 0.69%, the current FCF yield is approximately -57.38% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.56% , the current FCF yield is about -47.20% lower.

22.01

P/B

Median3y

13.97

Median5y

11.92

0.29

FCF Yield

Median3y

0.69

Median5y

0.56

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AXON's competitors is 8.03, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Axon Enterprise Inc Corp (AXON) exhibits a P/S ratio of 19.75, which is 146.05% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 32.85%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AXON increased by 109.95% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 89.58 to 189.52.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 32.85%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AXON in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

32.85%

503.24M → 668.54M

Revenue Growth

-34.47%

8.24 → 5.40

Margin Expansion

111.57%

89.58 → 189.52

P/E Change

109.95%