Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of ERJ stock:

Technical Analysis

• ERJ is currently trading at $43.61 in post-market, up 5.01% after closing at $41.53
• The stock shows strong momentum, having gained over 127% in the past year
• Current price is well above key moving averages, indicating bullish trend
• Fibonacci levels suggest next resistance at $43.69, with support at $40.77

Fundamental Strengths

• Record backlog of $22.7 billion in Q3 2024, highest in 9 years
• Delivered 206 aircraft in 2024, up 14% from 2023
• Strong position in executive jets with 130 deliveries (63% of total)
• Recently priced $650M notes offering at 5.98%, showing strong debt market access

Growth Catalysts

• E195-E2 jets gaining traction due to superior economics and design
• Strong defense segment performance with increasing C-390 Millennium deliveries
• Potential new narrow-body aircraft development to compete with Boeing 737
• Improved credit metrics with return to investment grade rating

Current Recommendation: SELL

Despite strong fundamentals and growth prospects, the stock appears overbought in the short term after its recent sharp rally. The post-market surge of 5.01% today suggests potential profit-taking opportunity. Consider taking profits and waiting for a pullback to re-enter around the Fibonacci support level of $40.77.

Based on the provided data and recent developments, here's a comprehensive price prediction analysis for ERJ stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing strong bullish momentum with key technical indicators:

• RSI-14 at 51.42 indicates balanced momentum
• MACD (0.72) remains positive with slight divergence (-0.23)
• Trading above all major moving averages (SMA 20: 41.89, SMA 60: 39.16)
• Currently at 43.61, testing Fibonacci R2 resistance level at 43.69

Recent Catalysts

1. Record-Breaking Order:

• $7 billion order from Flexjet for 182 aircraft plus 30 options
• Largest executive jet order in Embraer's history
• Stock jumped 11.8% on this news

2. Strong Financial Position:

• Successfully priced $650 million notes offering at 5.98%
• Proceeds to be used for debt management
• Trading at 45.44 in pre-market on Feb 7

3. Analyst Consensus:

• Average target price of $44.55
• Range: $35.00 to $55.00
• 9 analysts coverage with positive sentiment

2025 Price Prediction

Based on technical analysis and fundamental catalysts, here are the projected scenarios:

1. Bullish Case (60% probability): $48-52

• Driven by successful execution of Flexjet order
• Continued momentum in executive jet market
• Breaking above Fibonacci R3 ($44.81)

2. Base Case (30% probability): $42-47

• Consolidation around current levels
• Some profit taking after recent rally
• Trading between Fibonacci R1-R2 ($43.00-$43.69)

3. Bearish Case (10% probability): $38-41

• Market-wide correction
• Execution challenges
• Support at Fibonacci S1 ($40.77)

The most likely scenario points to ERJ reaching $48-52 by end of 2025, supported by:

• Record order backlog providing revenue visibility
• Strong institutional backing
• Technical breakout above key resistance levels
• Positive analyst sentiment

The S1 support level for ERJ Stock is $40.76 ,The R1 resistant level for ERJ Stock is $46.93.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of ERJ Stock was $47.52.

The target price for ERJ Stock according to analyst rating is 50.00, with the highest price target at 50.00 and the lowest at 50.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on ERJ Stock overall.

The market cap of ERJ is $35.2B.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, let me analyze whether ERJ is overvalued:

Technical Analysis ERJ is currently trading at $41.53, showing a significant uptrend with the stock rising 152% in one year. The stock has recently crossed above the average analyst target price of $44.55, suggesting potential overvaluation from a technical perspective.

Valuation Metrics

• Forward P/E: 21.6x (2023)
• EV/EBITDA: 9.08x (2023)
• P/S: 0.65x (2023)
• P/B: 1.22x (2023)

Recent Catalysts ERJ recently secured a record $7 billion order from Flexjet for 182 aircraft plus 30 options, representing the largest executive jet order in its history. This positive development has driven the stock price higher.

Market Position The company has demonstrated strong operational performance with Q4 2024 deliveries increasing 27% QoQ and full-year deliveries rising 14% to 206 aircraft. Additionally, ERJ recently priced a $650 million notes offering at 5.98%, indicating healthy access to capital markets.

Conclusion ERJ appears overvalued at current levels based on:

1. Trading above analyst consensus target price
2. Elevated forward P/E multiple compared to historical levels
3. Recent price surge following the Flexjet order may have pushed valuations too high
4. Technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions
5. Current price significantly above both short-term and long-term moving averages

Embraer SA is a Brazil-based jets manufacturer. The Company produces aircraft for commercial and executive aviation, as well as for defense and security purposes and related services. Its segments include Commercial aviation business, which involves the development, production and sale of commercial jets, and rendering of support services, particularly in the regional aviation segment and aircraft leases; Executive Jet business, which markets its executive jets to companies, including fractional ownership companies, charter and air-taxi companies, high-net-worth individuals and to flight academies; Defense and Security Business segment, which conceives, designs, develops, manufactures and supports a range of integrated solutions for the defense and security market; and Other Related Businesses segment, which provides fuel systems, structural parts, and mechanical and hydraulic systems to Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation for its production of helicopters.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is a projection for ERJ stock price in 2030:

Technical Analysis and Current Momentum

Recent Developments and Growth Catalysts

• Record $7 billion order from Flexjet for 182 executive jets with 30 options
• Successful $650 million notes offering at 5.98% due 2035
• Strong delivery growth with 75 aircraft in Q4 2024 (+27% QoQ) and 206 aircraft in FY2024 (+14% YoY)

Price Target Analysis for 2030 ERJ stock is expected to reach $85-90 by 2030, representing a ~100% upside from current levels. This projection is based on:

1. Strong order backlog growth driven by record-breaking deals like the $7B Flexjet order
2. Expanding executive jet market presence with industry-leading products
3. Successful debt refinancing improving financial flexibility

The stock has already demonstrated strong momentum, rising 152% in the past year and outperforming its sector peers. With continued execution on its growth strategy and expanding market opportunities, ERJ appears well-positioned to maintain this trajectory through 2030.

The stock is currently trading at $43.61 in after-hours, showing continued momentum after closing at $41.53 during regular trading hours. The technical indicators and fundamental catalysts suggest the long-term upward trend remains intact.

ERJ has a total of 19179 employees.