KDP Valuation

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

KDP Relative Valuation

KDP's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, KDP is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 16.58 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 19.00. The fair price of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) is between 40.47 to 48.35 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 34.65 USD , Keurig Dr Pepper Inc is Undervalued By 14.38%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

40.47-48.35

Current Price：34.65

14.38%

Undervalued

16.58

Trailing

Forward

13.09

EV/EBITDA

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a current EV/EBITDA of 13.09. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 14.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.97, Undervalued between 11.97 and 13.16, Fairly Valued between 15.54 and 13.16, Overvalued between 15.54 and 16.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.73. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 13.09 falls within the Undervalued range.

15.07

EV/EBIT

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a current EV/EBIT of 15.07. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 16.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 13.66, Undervalued between 13.66 and 15.08, Fairly Valued between 17.92 and 15.08, Overvalued between 17.92 and 19.34, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.34. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 15.07 falls within the Undervalued range.

2.84

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a current PS of 2.84. The 5-year average PS is 3.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.43, Undervalued between 2.43 and 2.88, Fairly Valued between 3.78 and 2.88, Overvalued between 3.78 and 4.23, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.23. The current Forward PS of 2.84 falls within the Undervalued range.

14.36

P/OCF

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a current P/OCF of 14.36. The 5-year average P/OCF is 15.73. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.01, Undervalued between 12.01 and 13.87, Fairly Valued between 17.58 and 13.87, Overvalued between 17.58 and 19.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.44. The current Forward P/OCF of 14.36 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

18.51

P/FCF

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a current P/FCF of 18.51. The 5-year average P/FCF is 19.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 15.39, Undervalued between 15.39 and 17.45, Fairly Valued between 21.57 and 17.45, Overvalued between 21.57 and 23.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 23.63. The current Forward P/FCF of 18.51 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.86 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 1.57% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.92, the current P/B ratio is about -1.43% higher. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 3.39%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 3.40%, the current FCF yield is approximately -0.22% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 3.86% , the current FCF yield is about -12.32% lower.

1.89

P/B

Median3y

1.86

Median5y

1.92

3.39

FCF Yield

Median3y

3.40

Median5y

3.86

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for KDP's competitors is 3.34, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc Corp (KDP) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.84, which is -14.89% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 6.14%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC

1.67

40.95B

MNST.O

Monster Beverage Corp

Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV

Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc

1.57

3.32%

10.05B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of KDP decreased by 4.08% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 3.92B to 4.16B.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 0.08%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of KDP in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

6.14%

3.92B → 4.16B

Revenue Growth

0.08%

13.13 → 13.14

Margin Expansion

-10.30%

34.36 → 30.82

P/E Change

-4.08%