FAST Valuation

Fastenal Co

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49.960

-0.31(-0.617%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

FAST Relative Valuation

FAST's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, FAST is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Fastenal Co (FAST) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 42.51 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 31.25. The fair price of Fastenal Co (FAST) is between 33.99 to 41.67 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 50.09 USD , Fastenal Co is Overvalued By 20.18%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

33.99-41.67

Current Price：50.09

20.18%

Overvalued

42.40

Trailing

Forward

29.43

EV/EBITDA

Fastenal Co. (FAST) has a current EV/EBITDA of 29.43. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 21.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 15.90, Undervalued between 15.90 and 18.57, Fairly Valued between 23.91 and 18.57, Overvalued between 23.91 and 26.58, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.58. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 29.43 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

32.50

EV/EBIT

Fastenal Co. (FAST) has a current EV/EBIT of 32.50. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 23.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 17.90, Undervalued between 17.90 and 20.83, Fairly Valued between 26.70 and 20.83, Overvalued between 26.70 and 29.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.63. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 32.50 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

6.70

Fastenal Co. (FAST) has a current PS of 6.70. The 5-year average PS is 4.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.62, Undervalued between 3.62 and 4.21, Fairly Valued between 5.40 and 4.21, Overvalued between 5.40 and 6.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.00. The current Forward PS of 6.70 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

44.42

P/OCF

Fastenal Co. (FAST) has a current P/OCF of 44.42. The 5-year average P/OCF is 31.66. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 21.47, Undervalued between 21.47 and 26.57, Fairly Valued between 36.76 and 26.57, Overvalued between 36.76 and 41.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 41.85. The current Forward P/OCF of 44.42 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

56.55

P/FCF

Fastenal Co. (FAST) has a current P/FCF of 56.55. The 5-year average P/FCF is 39.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 25.47, Undervalued between 25.47 and 32.56, Fairly Valued between 46.74 and 32.56, Overvalued between 46.74 and 53.84, and Strongly Overvalued above 53.84. The current Forward P/FCF of 56.55 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

Fastenal Co (FAST) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 15.19. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 10.86 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 39.91% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 10.62, the current P/B ratio is about 43.03% higher. Fastenal Co (FAST) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.51%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 2.68%, the current FCF yield is approximately -43.40% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.66% , the current FCF yield is about -43.02% lower.

15.15

P/B

Median3y

10.86

Median5y

10.62

1.51

FCF Yield

Median3y

2.68

Median5y

2.66

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for FAST's competitors is 2.40, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Fastenal Co Corp (FAST) exhibits a P/S ratio of 6.70, which is 178.80% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 8.56%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Ferguson Enterprises Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of FAST increased by 48.74% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 35.58 to 48.47.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 8.56%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of FAST in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

8.56%

1.92B → 2.08B

Revenue Growth

3.93%

15.28 → 15.88

Margin Expansion

36.25%

35.58 → 48.47

P/E Change

48.74%