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FAST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Fastenal Co (FAST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
46.300
1 Day change
-1.07%
52 Week Range
50.630
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Fastenal Co (FAST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive hedge fund activity, and bullish price target revisions from analysts outweigh the neutral technical indicators and lack of recent congress trading data. The stock's recent price momentum and favorable options sentiment further support a buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show mixed signals. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating a bearish trend. However, the RSI is neutral at 70.979, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 47.779), suggesting potential upward momentum.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low Option Volume Put-Call Ratio (0.12) indicates bullish sentiment, with significantly higher call volume compared to put volume. The implied volatility percentile of 83.16 suggests the stock is in a high-volatility phase, which could attract more trading activity.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 2836.19% rise in buying activity over the last quarter.

  • Analysts have raised price targets, with Jefferies upgrading the stock to Buy and projecting strong sales growth into

  • The company's Q4 2025 financials show double-digit revenue, net income, and EPS growth, signaling robust operational performance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Barclays lowered its price target to $43, citing volume growth at the expense of lower pricing.

  • Gross margin declined by 1.16% YoY in Q4 2025, which could indicate pricing pressure.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Fastenal reported strong financial growth: Revenue increased by 11.12% YoY to $2.027 billion, Net Income rose by 12.17% YoY to $294 million, and EPS grew by 13.04% YoY to $0.26. However, the gross margin dropped slightly by 1.16% YoY to 44.33%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on Fastenal. Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy with a price target of $52, citing confidence in sales growth and market share gains. Baird also raised its price target to $51, maintaining an Outperform rating. However, Barclays lowered its target to $43, citing pricing challenges.

Wall Street analysts forecast FAST stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FAST stock price to fall
3 Buy
3 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 46.800
sliders
Low
38
Averages
45
High
52
Current: 46.800
sliders
Low
38
Averages
45
High
52
Barclays
Guy Hardwick
Equal Weight
maintain
$43 -> $44
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
New
Reason
Barclays
Guy Hardwick
Price Target
$43 -> $44
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
New
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Guy Hardwick raised the firm's price target on Fastenal to $44 from $43 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares.
Baird
NULL -> Outperform
maintain
$51 -> $52
2026-03-06
New
Reason
Baird
Price Target
$51 -> $52
2026-03-06
New
maintain
NULL -> Outperform
Reason
Baird raised the firm's price target on Fastenal to $52 from $51 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following higher than expected February ADS.
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