ZTO Express Reports RMB 9.5 Billion Net Income for FY 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy ZTO?
Source: PRnewswire
- Strong Financial Performance: ZTO Express reported an adjusted net income of RMB 9.5 billion (approximately $0.39 per share) for FY 2025, reflecting a 10.1% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's robust performance and profitability in the express delivery sector.
- Shareholder Return Plan: The company announced a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program combined with cash dividends, ensuring that at least 50% of adjusted net income is allocated for shareholder returns, highlighting its commitment to shareholder interests.
- Significant Parcel Volume Growth: In 2025, parcel volume surged to 10.6 billion, marking a 13.3% year-over-year increase, which outpaced the industry average and indicates the company's sustained competitive edge in the market.
- Operational Efficiency Improvement: The average daily non-retail parcel volume reached 9.8 million in Q4, up 38% year-over-year, enhancing customer satisfaction and market share through optimized operations and improved service quality.
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Analyst Views on ZTO
About ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Earnings Report: ZTO Express reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.47, beating market expectations by $0.01, indicating the company's robust profitability in a competitive express delivery market.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $2.08 billion, a 17.5% year-over-year increase, surpassing expectations by $30 million, reflecting strong market demand and ongoing business expansion.
- Future Outlook: Based on current market and operating conditions, ZTO expects parcel volume to increase by 10% to 13% year-over-year in 2026, projecting a parcel volume range of 42.37 billion to 43.52 billion, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
- Financing Situation: ZTO Express raised $1.5 billion through convertible senior notes, enhancing its financial flexibility and providing funding support for future expansion and investments.
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- Strong Financial Performance: ZTO Express reported an adjusted net income of RMB 9.5 billion (approximately $0.39 per share) for FY 2025, reflecting a 10.1% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's robust performance and profitability in the express delivery sector.
- Shareholder Return Plan: The company announced a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program combined with cash dividends, ensuring that at least 50% of adjusted net income is allocated for shareholder returns, highlighting its commitment to shareholder interests.
- Significant Parcel Volume Growth: In 2025, parcel volume surged to 10.6 billion, marking a 13.3% year-over-year increase, which outpaced the industry average and indicates the company's sustained competitive edge in the market.
- Operational Efficiency Improvement: The average daily non-retail parcel volume reached 9.8 million in Q4, up 38% year-over-year, enhancing customer satisfaction and market share through optimized operations and improved service quality.
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: ZTO Express is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on March 17 after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.46, reflecting a 4.5% year-over-year increase, and revenue expected to reach $2.06 billion, up 16.4% year-over-year, indicating the company's ongoing growth potential.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, ZTO has surpassed EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, demonstrating a level of stability and reliability in its financial performance that could bolster investor confidence.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, ZTO's EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward revision, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, which may positively impact its stock price.
- Financing Activity Overview: ZTO successfully raised $1.5 billion through convertible senior notes, a move that not only strengthens the company's capital structure but also provides funding for future expansion and investments, further solidifying its market position.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: ZTO Express will announce its unaudited financial results for Q4 and the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, after the U.S. market closes on March 17, 2026, which is expected to provide critical performance insights for investors.
- Conference Call Timing: The management team will host an earnings conference call at 8:30 PM U.S. Eastern Time on March 17, 2026, translating to 8:30 AM Beijing Time on March 18, 2026, allowing for a comprehensive discussion of the financial results and investor Q&A.
- Dial-in Information: The call-in details have been shared, including the U.S./Canada number at 1-888-317-6003 and Hong Kong at 800-963976, ensuring that investors can easily join the call and receive the latest updates.
- Webcast and Replay Availability: The conference will be available via live and archived webcast on the company's investor relations website, with replay access through specific numbers, enhancing transparency and accessibility for investors seeking further insights.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: ZTO Express will announce its unaudited financial results for Q4 and the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, after the U.S. market closes on March 17, 2026, providing crucial performance data for investors.
- Conference Call Timing: The management team will host an earnings conference call at 8:30 PM U.S. Eastern Time on March 17, 2026 (8:30 AM Beijing Time on March 18, 2026), allowing investors to gain insights into financial performance and future outlook.
- Dial-in Information: The call-in details have been shared, including the U.S./Canada number at 1-888-317-6003 and Hong Kong at 800-963976, ensuring investors can easily participate and obtain relevant information.
- Webcast and Replay Availability: The conference will be available via live and archived webcast on the company's investor relations website, with replay access until March 24, enhancing transparency and accessibility of information for investors.
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- Convertible Notes Offering: ZTO Express has announced the pricing of $1.5 billion in convertible senior notes, intended for share repurchases and general corporate purposes, indicating a strategic focus on optimizing its capital structure.
- Repurchase Program Details: The company plans to allocate $1 billion for market repurchases of ordinary shares and $500 million for concurrent share repurchases, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and boosting market confidence.
- Interest Rate and Conversion Terms: The notes carry an annual interest rate of 0.925%, with an initial conversion price of approximately HK$241.79, representing a 35% premium over the closing price on the issuance date, providing an attractive option for investors and reflecting the company's confidence in future stock price appreciation.
- Market Impact and Strategy: The offering is expected to close on February 9, 2026, which may influence ZTO's stock price volatility, particularly during the execution of repurchase and conversion terms, further strengthening its position in the competitive express delivery market.
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