US-Israel War Sparks Market Concerns Over Stagflation
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 13 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NUE?
Source: CNBC
- Market Volatility: The ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has rattled markets, pushing oil prices to $99.78 per barrel, which raises investor fears of 1970s-style stagflation that could adversely affect both equity and bond markets.
- Historical Lessons: According to Capital Economics, the S&P 500 plummeted over 40% in 1973 due to a recession coinciding with the OPEC oil crisis, serving as a cautionary tale for today's investors who must navigate potential economic downturns.
- Gold Underperformance: Despite rising oil prices, gold investors have not seen significant gains as the dollar strengthens, indicating a stark contrast to the 1973 scenario where gold thrived, prompting a reevaluation of gold's hedging capabilities in the current market.
- Small-Cap Outlook: While small-cap stocks thrived in the 1970s, analysts suggest that current market conditions have not yet experienced the necessary
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Analyst Views on NUE
Wall Street analysts forecast NUE stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 191.850
Low
168.00
Averages
179.00
High
200.00
Current: 191.850
Low
168.00
Averages
179.00
High
200.00
About NUE
Nucor Corporation is a manufacturer of steel and steel products, with operating facilities in the United States, Canada and Mexico. The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Its segments include steel mills, steel products and raw materials. Its products include carbon and alloy steel in bars, beams, sheet and plate; hollow structural section tubing; electrical conduit; steel racking; steel piling; steel joists and joist girders; steel deck; fabricated concrete reinforcing steel; cold finished steel; precision castings; steel fasteners; metal building systems; insulated metal panels; overhead doors; steel grating; wire and wire mesh; and utility structures. The Company, through The David J. Joseph Company and its affiliates, also brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron and hot briquetted iron / direct reduced iron; supplies ferro-alloys; and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Cyclical Resilience: Nucor's adoption of electric arc mini-mills allows for flexible production that quickly adapts to market demand fluctuations, thereby maintaining stability amidst the cyclical volatility of the steel industry.
- Strong Financial Health: With a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.35, the company showcases robust financial health, enabling it to seize investment opportunities during industry downturns and further expand its operations.
- Dividend King Status: Nucor has achieved 53 consecutive years of dividend increases, establishing itself as a Dividend King, which highlights its ability to maintain profitability through economic fluctuations, attracting conservative investors.
- Diversification Strategy: The company's focus on higher-margin steel manufacturing enhances its competitive edge in the industry, allowing it to remain profitable during market swings and further solidifying its market position.
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- Price Range Analysis: The XME ETF has a 52-week low of $52.71 and a high of $135.6764, with the latest trade at $118.38, indicating relative stability and volatility in the current market.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs experiencing significant inflows or outflows, as these liquidity shifts can affect the performance of individual stocks held within the ETF.
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- FedEx Restructuring: FedEx is spinning off its less-than-truckload unit, FedEx Freight, expected to complete by June 1, a move that typically creates more shareholder value, with Jim praising CEO Raj Subramaniam for navigating a competitive landscape effectively.
- Removed Stocks: Jim removed Airbnb and Marvell Technology from the watchlist, citing Airbnb's episodic performance as a concern, while Marvell's 57% rally in 2026 indicated a missed buying opportunity.
- Market Monitoring: Jim continues to monitor Sempra and RTX Corporation, with Sempra up over 8% year-to-date, while RTX could benefit from increased defense production, with Jim planning to decide post RTX's first-quarter results on April 21.
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- Flexible Production Model: Nucor Steel utilizes electric arc mini-mills, allowing it to adjust production based on market demand, which maintains its competitiveness amid cyclical fluctuations in the steel industry and ensures stability during economic downturns.
- Strong Financial Position: With a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.35, Nucor demonstrates a conservative financial management strategy that enables it to seize investment opportunities during industry downturns, further strengthening its market position.
- Ongoing Capital Investments: Nucor consistently invests in capital even during industry upturns, leveraging downturns to acquire cheaper opportunities, ensuring diversification in higher-margin steel manufacturing businesses.
- Dividend King Status: Nucor has increased its dividend for 53 consecutive years, showcasing its resilience and reliability in the steel industry, attracting conservative investors and establishing itself as a top choice among steel stocks.
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- Joint Development Agreement: NU E Power Corp. has signed a Joint Development Agreement with Mongolian partner Tsegtskharaa LLC to advance the 600 MW Darkhan Energy Park, which combines high-efficiency, low-emission coal generation with 100 MW of battery storage, significantly enhancing energy security in Mongolia.
- Project Progress: NUE has completed preliminary grid access assessments, confirmed site selection, and made its first payment towards the environmental and feasibility program, with studies expected to be completed within three months to secure the facility permit.
- Market Demand: The project anticipates meeting potential demand from large-load users such as data centers and AI infrastructure through a USD-denominated Power Purchase Agreement with the Mongolia Electric Grid, further advancing the company's strategic positioning in the energy market.
- UN Accreditation Application: NUE has submitted an application for Civil Society Organization accreditation with the UNCCD, which, if granted, would allow the company to participate in the upcoming COP17 conference in Mongolia, enhancing its influence on the international stage.
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- Earnings Call Announcement: Nucor will host its Q1 2026 earnings conference call on April 28, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time, led by CEO Leon Topalian, which will review financial results ending April 4, 2026, and is expected to significantly impact investor sentiment.
- Participation Details: Investors can join the call via Nucor's website or a specified link, and an archived recording will be available post-event, ensuring all stakeholders can access critical information regardless of attendance.
- Product Diversity: Nucor and its affiliates operate facilities across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, producing a wide range of products including carbon and alloy steel, highlighting its extensive influence and market reach within the steel industry.
- Recycling Operations: As North America's largest recycler, Nucor, through its subsidiary David J. Joseph Company, brokers and processes various metals, reinforcing its strategic position in sustainability and resource recycling efforts.
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