US-Iran War Impacts Tech Stocks Performance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy CSCO?
Source: seekingalpha
- Market Decline: Amid the ongoing three-week US-Iran war, tech stocks broadly declined, with the Nasdaq Composite falling approximately 1.3% and the S&P 500 dropping about 0.8%, indicating market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Chipmakers Struggle: Shares of Nvidia and AMD each fell nearly 2%, while other AI and networking stocks like Applied Optoelectronics tumbled about 12%, reflecting investor concerns over industry outlook, which could impact future investment decisions.
- Rising Oil Prices: Brent crude futures rose about 2%, and crude oil futures jumped nearly 2.8%, demonstrating market reactions to Middle Eastern tensions, which may lead to increased energy costs and affect profitability in related sectors.
- Divergent Stock Performance: Despite the overall tech stock decline, Arm surged about 4% and GlobalFoundries climbed about 2%, indicating that there are still investment opportunities in the market that may attract investors seeking safe havens.
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Analyst Views on CSCO
Wall Street analysts forecast CSCO stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 78.510
Low
76.00
Averages
91.30
High
100.00
Current: 78.510
Low
76.00
Averages
91.30
High
100.00
About CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs and sells a range of technologies that power the Internet. The Company is integrating its product portfolios across networking, security, collaboration, applications and cloud. The Company's segments include the Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), and Asia Pacific, Japan, and China (APJC). Its Networking product category represents its core networking technologies of switching, routing, wireless, fifth generation (5G), silicon, optics solutions and compute products. Its Security product category consists of its cloud and application security, industrial security, network security, and user and device security offerings. Its Collaboration product category consists of its meetings, collaboration devices, calling, contact center and platform as a service (CPaaS) offering. Its Observability product category consists of its full stack observability offerings.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Decline: Amid the ongoing three-week US-Iran war, tech stocks broadly declined, with the Nasdaq Composite falling approximately 1.3% and the S&P 500 dropping about 0.8%, indicating market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Chipmakers Struggle: Shares of Nvidia and AMD each fell nearly 2%, while other AI and networking stocks like Applied Optoelectronics tumbled about 12%, reflecting investor concerns over industry outlook, which could impact future investment decisions.
- Rising Oil Prices: Brent crude futures rose about 2%, and crude oil futures jumped nearly 2.8%, demonstrating market reactions to Middle Eastern tensions, which may lead to increased energy costs and affect profitability in related sectors.
- Divergent Stock Performance: Despite the overall tech stock decline, Arm surged about 4% and GlobalFoundries climbed about 2%, indicating that there are still investment opportunities in the market that may attract investors seeking safe havens.
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- Stock Price Plunge: Super Micro Computer's shares fell over 25% amid a smuggling investigation involving a board member accused of illegally exporting Nvidia chips to China, marking its worst single-day drop since 2024 and raising concerns about its operational future.
- Competitor Gains: Analysts indicate that Super Micro's troubles present a market share opportunity for Dell Technologies, whose shares rose 4.5% on the same day, suggesting that Dell is likely to become the preferred supplier for customers previously aligned with Super Micro in the AI server market.
- Market Dynamics Shift: With Super Micro's operations disrupted, Dell is seen as the immediate beneficiary, particularly among large non-hyperscale AI customers, reinforcing its position as a significant supplier of AI servers and equipment in a competitive landscape.
- Industry Impact: The smuggling case not only pressures Super Micro but may also benefit other equipment manufacturers like Cisco and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, highlighting the dynamic shifts within the industry as companies vie for growth in the expanding AI market.
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- Fed Rate Decision: The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady at a target range of 3.5% to 3.75% during Wednesday's meeting, which, while expected, pressured the stock market as inflation did not decline as quickly as hoped, causing the S&P 500 to drop to session lows.
- Inflation Pressures Intensify: Chairman Powell indicated that rising oil prices due to the Iran war could exacerbate inflation in the near term, with West Texas Intermediate crude briefly topping $99 per barrel and Brent nearing $110, highlighting market concerns about future inflation.
- Future Rate Outlook: Although the Fed projects only one rate cut this year, Powell noted that the longer-term inflation picture could influence this decision, especially given the downside risks in the labor market due to AI job displacement.
- Earnings Report Impact: After Wednesday's close, Micron is set to release its quarterly results, with market attention on its insights regarding memory market conditions, which will help investors gauge the tightness of the DRAM market and its implications for hardware companies like Apple and Cisco.
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- Significant Performance Growth: Ciena reported a 33% year-over-year revenue increase and a 111% EPS growth in Q1 FY2026, with a record $7 million order backlog, indicating robust market demand and financial performance that solidifies its position in the rapidly growing AI-driven market.
- Outstanding Market Performance: Ciena's stock surged 72.7% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Communication Components industry's 53.3% growth, reflecting investor confidence in its future growth potential, particularly driven by cloud and service provider customers.
- Innovation Driving Growth: Ciena's introduction of advanced optical engines and data center management platforms addresses rising bandwidth and efficiency demands, expected to further propel growth in the data center and WAN markets, especially in AI infrastructure development.
- Facing Challenges: Despite Ciena's strong growth potential, it faces multiple challenges such as new tariffs and supply chain pressures that could impact short-term performance, necessitating investors to carefully assess risk versus reward.
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- Security AI Architecture Upgrade: Cisco's collaboration with NVIDIA expands the Secure AI Factory, enabling seamless AI deployment between data centers and edge sites, compressing deployment timelines from months to weeks, thereby enhancing competitiveness in rapidly changing markets.
- Enhanced Edge Computing Capabilities: The new system supports NVIDIA RTX PRO™4500 GPUs, allowing enterprises to run mission-critical AI workloads at the edge, reducing energy costs and data center hardware footprint, further promoting the adoption of edge AI applications.
- Multi-layer Security Protection: Cisco extends Hybrid Mesh Firewall policies to NVIDIA BlueField DPUs, ensuring the security of AI infrastructure against external threats and rogue behaviors, thus increasing customer trust in AI systems.
- Positive Industry Reactions: Industry leaders have praised Cisco's N9100 series switches with 102.4Tbps capacity, believing it will significantly enhance the performance and reliability of AI infrastructure, aiding enterprises in their transformation in the AI era.
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- Surging Order Expectations: CEO Jensen Huang announced at the developer conference that Nvidia anticipates orders between Blackwell and Vera Rubin to reach $1 trillion by 2027, significantly up from last year's $500 billion forecast, indicating robust market demand for AI chips.
- Sustained Revenue Growth: Nvidia expects a year-over-year revenue surge of 77% this quarter, reaching approximately $78 billion, and has reported 11 consecutive quarters of revenue growth exceeding 55%, underscoring its leadership position and the ongoing rise in market demand for AI technologies.
- New Product Launch: Huang unveiled the Groq 3 Language Processing Unit (LPU), the first chip from the startup Nvidia acquired for $20 billion, expected to ship in Q3, aimed at enhancing GPU performance and strengthening competitive positioning in the market.
- Future Architecture Plans: Nvidia showcased the Kyber prototype, the next major rack architecture following Vera Rubin, set to launch in 2027, integrating 144 GPUs to boost density and reduce latency, further solidifying its technological edge in AI computing.
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