U.S. Solar Generation Capacity Continues to Surge
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy NEE?
Source: Fool
- Solar Capacity Leadership: According to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), utility-scale solar capacity in the U.S. surged from 91.82 GW in September 2023 to 164.53 GW by December 2025, surpassing wind, hydropower, and nuclear, highlighting solar's dominance in new electricity generation capacity.
- Future Growth Projections: FERC projects an additional 86 GW of solar capacity could be added over the next three years, potentially making utility-scale solar account for 17%-18% of total U.S. generating capacity by 2029, second only to natural gas, indicating significant long-term growth potential for the solar market.
- NextEra Energy Performance: NextEra Energy's revenue increased from approximately $17.1 billion in 2021 to about $27 billion in 2025, representing a growth of around 58%, while net income nearly doubled to approximately $6.84 billion, showcasing its dual advantage in stable utility operations and renewable energy development.
- Risks and Opportunities: While solar stocks face risks from rising interest rates and supply chain issues, NextEra Energy offers a relatively safe investment opportunity through its stable utility business and long-term power purchase agreements, making it suitable for investors looking to capitalize on the rapidly growing solar market.
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Analyst Views on NEE
Wall Street analysts forecast NEE stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 92.300
Low
84.00
Averages
92.50
High
100.00
Current: 92.300
Low
84.00
Averages
92.50
High
100.00
About NEE
NextEra Energy, Inc. is an electric power and energy infrastructure company. It operates through its wholly owned subsidiaries, NextEra Energy Resources, LLC and NextEra Energy Transmission, LLC (collectively, NEER) and Florida Power & Light Company (FPL). Its segments include NEER and FPL. FPL segment is a rate-regulated electric utility engaged in the generation, transmission, distribution and sale of electric energy in Florida. FPL has approximately 35,052 megawatts of net generating capacity, over 91,000 circuit miles of transmission and distribution lines and 921 substations. The NEER segment owns, develops, constructs, manages and operates electric generation facilities in wholesale energy markets in the United States and Canada and includes assets and investments in other businesses with a clean energy focus, such as battery storage, natural gas pipelines, and renewable fuels. It owns, develops, constructs and operates rate-regulated transmission facilities in North America.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Solar Capacity Leadership: According to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), utility-scale solar capacity in the U.S. surged from 91.82 GW in September 2023 to 164.53 GW by December 2025, surpassing wind, hydropower, and nuclear, highlighting solar's dominance in new electricity generation capacity.
- Future Growth Projections: FERC projects an additional 86 GW of solar capacity could be added over the next three years, potentially making utility-scale solar account for 17%-18% of total U.S. generating capacity by 2029, second only to natural gas, indicating significant long-term growth potential for the solar market.
- NextEra Energy Performance: NextEra Energy's revenue increased from approximately $17.1 billion in 2021 to about $27 billion in 2025, representing a growth of around 58%, while net income nearly doubled to approximately $6.84 billion, showcasing its dual advantage in stable utility operations and renewable energy development.
- Risks and Opportunities: While solar stocks face risks from rising interest rates and supply chain issues, NextEra Energy offers a relatively safe investment opportunity through its stable utility business and long-term power purchase agreements, making it suitable for investors looking to capitalize on the rapidly growing solar market.
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- Gas Price Surge: Gas prices in the U.S. have surged approximately 80% year-to-date, leading to increased transportation costs that are pushing up prices for most products, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressing concerns about potential broader inflationary impacts.
- White House Optimism: White House Deputy Press Secretary Kush Desai stated on social media that these are merely 'short-term disruptions' and that the American economy remains on a solid trajectory, a sentiment echoed by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, who described high gas prices as a 'temporary phenomenon.'
- NextEra Energy Investment Opportunity: As North America's largest electric power and energy infrastructure company, NextEra Energy anticipates a compound annual growth rate of at least 8% for adjusted earnings per share over the next several years, while planning to invest over $25 billion in its renewables and storage business, showcasing its inflation-resistant capabilities in a high gas price environment.
- Walmart's Resilience: Walmart, the world's largest consumer staples company, has demonstrated strong performance during inflationary periods, with e-commerce sales jumping 24% year-over-year in Q4 2025, particularly strong in the U.S. and China, further solidifying its market leadership.
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- Stable Power Demand: NextEra Energy, as North America's largest electric power and energy infrastructure company, anticipates a compound annual growth rate of at least 8% for adjusted earnings per share through 2032, indicating strong electricity demand that can effectively pass costs to consumers amid inflationary pressures.
- Renewable Energy Expansion: NextEra plans to triple its renewables and storage business in the coming years, with an expected 10% dividend growth this year and a 6% annual increase through 2028, showcasing its long-term strategic positioning in the sustainable energy sector.
- Pharmaceutical Market Potential: Vertex Pharmaceuticals, as the sole manufacturer of approved therapies for cystic fibrosis, expects a more than 3x year-over-year increase in Journavx prescriptions by 2026, highlighting its strong growth potential in the non-opioid pain medication market and further solidifying its market position.
- E-commerce Growth: Walmart's global e-commerce net sales surged 24% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with sales in the U.S. and China increasing by 27% and 28%, respectively, demonstrating its resilience and adaptability in the consumer staples market, especially during inflationary periods.
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- Tech Sector Rally: Oracle's stock surged over 12%, leading a rebound in software stocks that propelled the overall market higher, indicating investor confidence in the tech sector's recovery, which may attract more capital inflows into this area.
- Economic Data Impact: U.S. March existing home sales fell 3.6% month-over-month to a 9-month low of 3.98 million, below the expected 4.05 million, and this weak data could influence the Fed's monetary policy decisions, increasing market expectations for rate cuts.
- Oil Price Volatility: Following President Trump's announcement of a full naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, WTI crude prices rose over 2%, although still below early highs, which could exacerbate global oil and fuel shortages, impacting related industry stock performance.
- Upcoming Earnings Season: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to climb 12% year-over-year, but excluding the tech sector, earnings growth is only expected to be around 3%, the weakest in two years, reflecting market caution regarding profit growth.
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- Nuclear Production Leader: The U.S. operates 94 nuclear reactors, with Constellation Energy running 21, making it the largest nuclear producer in the country; it anticipates a 20% compound annual growth rate in earnings per share by 2029, solidifying its leadership in the green energy market.
- Diverse Energy Portfolio: Constellation is not only the largest green energy producer but also operates 27 wind farms and two hydroelectric plants, showcasing its diversified approach in renewable energy, which is expected to drive future business growth through ongoing investments and innovations.
- Long-Term Investment Potential: NextEra Energy operates four nuclear plants across the U.S. and Canada, with net income and earnings per share rising by 10.3% and 9.5% in 2025, respectively, demonstrating strong performance in the green energy transition, while its 2.49% dividend yield, raised for 31 consecutive years, offers stable returns for long-term investors.
- Strategic Partnership Opportunity: NextEra's agreement with Alphabet to resurrect Iowa's Duane Arnold Energy Center for powering Google's data centers is expected to provide a long-term stable revenue stream, further enhancing its competitive position in the green energy market.
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- Nuclear Production Capacity: The U.S. operates 94 nuclear reactors, with Constellation Energy running 21 of them, making it the largest nuclear energy producer in the country, and it anticipates a 20% compound annual growth rate in earnings per share through 2029, further solidifying its leadership in the green energy transition.
- Green Energy Investments: Beyond its nuclear operations, Constellation Energy also manages 27 wind farms and various hydroelectric and solar facilities, showcasing its robust strength in diversified green energy investments, which enhances its competitive edge in the future energy market.
- NextEra Energy Growth: NextEra Energy achieved a 10.3% increase in net income and a 9.5% rise in earnings per share in 2025, with a dividend yield of 2.49%, indicating the company's ongoing growth potential in the green energy sector, especially with its partnership with Alphabet to revive Iowa's Duane Arnold Energy Center.
- Dividend Growth Record: NextEra Energy has raised its dividend for 31 consecutive years, with an annualized growth rate of 10% over the past five years, reflecting its stable financial health and providing appeal for long-term investors, particularly in the context of the green energy transition.
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