Trump Media merger introduces nuclear fusion to public markets
TAE Technologies Merger: TAE Technologies, a nuclear fusion developer, is merging with Trump Media & Technology Group to become a publicly traded company, marking a significant step for the fusion energy sector amid rising electricity demands from AI data centers.
Fusion Energy Potential: TAE aims to create a carbon-free power source through nuclear fusion, which combines hydrogen atoms under extreme conditions, potentially providing an inexhaustible energy supply without long-lived radioactive waste.
Recent Advancements: The fusion industry gained momentum after a breakthrough at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in late 2022, where more energy was produced from a fusion reaction than was used to initiate it, renewing interest in fusion technologies.
Future Plans: TAE plans to construct the world's first utility-scale fusion power plant by 2026, with an initial output of 50 megawatts, and aims to develop additional plants producing between 350 and 500 megawatts, positioning fusion as a key player in large-scale power grids.
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- Technological Breakthrough: Waymo launches its 6th generation autonomous driving technology, leveraging nearly 200 million miles of fully autonomous data to enhance performance in complex road conditions, marking an acceleration in large-scale deployment and strengthening the company's competitive edge in the autonomous driving sector.
- Enhanced Perception Capabilities: The new system utilizes advanced lidar, radar, and external audio receivers to surpass human vision and hearing, capable of extracting critical details in bright lights and shadows, thereby improving safety and reliability.
- Cost Efficiency Optimization: The 6th generation Waymo Driver employs a 17-megapixel imaging technology that reduces the number of required cameras while maintaining obstruction-free operation in adverse weather conditions like snow and rain, thus lowering operational costs.
- Production Scale Expansion: Waymo is undergoing a significant transformation at its autonomous vehicle factory in Phoenix, aiming to produce tens of thousands of autonomous vehicles annually, demonstrating the company's ambition and potential in the autonomous driving market.
- Google Search Engine Advantage: Alphabet (GOOGL) holds a dominant position as the primary search engine globally, leveraging AI to drive search growth, with its cloud computing revenue surging 48% last quarter, indicating strong market demand and profitability.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Alphabet plans to invest between $175 billion and $185 billion in capital expenditures in 2023, particularly on its proprietary TPU chips, which provide a cost advantage in the AI sector, thereby enhancing its return on investment.
- Amazon E-commerce Growth: Amazon (AMZN) drives a 24% increase in operating income in its North American e-commerce business, with a 10% rise in sales, showcasing its dominant market position and operational efficiency through a robust logistics network.
- Cloud Computing Market Leadership: Amazon Web Services (AWS) sees a 24% revenue growth last quarter, marking an acceleration in its cloud computing sector, while committing to $200 billion in capital expenditures in 2023 to meet the rising demand for infrastructure and AI services.
- Search Revenue Growth: Google Search revenue grew 17% year-over-year to $63 billion, demonstrating its strong performance as Alphabet's largest growth engine, accounting for over 55% of total revenue, which boosts investor confidence in its stock.
- Increased User Engagement: Since the launch of Gemini 3's AI Mode search feature, the number of queries per user in the U.S. has doubled, indicating high user acceptance of the new feature and further solidifying Google's competitive advantage in the search market.
- Increased Advertising Opportunities: As user searches become longer and more conversational, Google has more opportunities to display ads, thereby increasing revenue and continuously reinvesting in AI capabilities to ensure long-term growth potential.
- Investment and Profit Pressure: While higher spending on data centers may pressure near-term profitability, these investments will ultimately drive better AI and user experiences, ensuring sustained growth for the company, which currently trades at 28 times forward earnings estimates, highlighting its investment appeal.
- Major Investment Decision: Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) choice to fund its AI capital expenditures with a $100 billion century bond represents a significant bet on a technology that is only three years old, reflecting the company's confidence in future tech advancements.
- Strong Market Response: The bond offering was oversubscribed by 10 times, indicating that despite historical challenges faced by similar century bond issuers, investor confidence in large tech firms remains robust, suggesting expectations for long-term returns.
- Historical Lessons Caution: Economic strategist Hardika Singh highlighted cautionary tales from JCPenney and General Motors, which faced bankruptcy after issuing long-term debt, warning investors to carefully assess whether Alphabet can maintain its market dominance over the next century.
- Broader Market Implications: Given the significant share of large tech companies in major indices, Singh questioned whether the market could continue to push toward all-time highs if these firms fail to sustain growth, hinting at potential market risks ahead.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The four major hyperscalers are set to invest approximately $650 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, with a significant portion allocated to AI infrastructure, reflecting strong confidence in future financial outcomes.
- Surge in Dell Demand: Dell Technologies reported all-time high orders for AI servers in its fiscal Q3 2026, with a backlog of $18.4 billion, indicating a rapid increase in market demand for its AI products.
- Google's Spending Details: Alphabet plans to allocate at least $175 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, with about 60% directed towards servers, creating a substantial tailwind for the entire server market, particularly benefiting companies like Dell indirectly.
- Investment Value Analysis: Dell's stock trades at less than 11 times its forward earnings, indicating a reasonable valuation; combined with stable business performance and high demand, it presents a low-risk investment opportunity, especially amid surging AI server demand.
- Investor Insight: Prominent investor Chamath Palihapitiya highlights that since late November 2022, Microsoft has had the worst stock performance among tech giants, indicating limited returns on its investment in OpenAI, which may lower market expectations and negatively impact stock price.
- Volatility Analysis: Volatility skew data shows that for the March 20 expiration, put options have significantly higher implied volatility than call options, indicating a heightened focus on downside risk, which could lead to increased demand for hedging against Microsoft stock.
- Trading Parameters: According to the Black-Scholes model, Microsoft stock is expected to trade within a range of $402 to $423 over the next 36 days with a 68% probability, suggesting a conservative market outlook where a strong catalyst is needed to drive significant price movement.
- Hedging Strategy: Investors might consider a 410/415 bull call spread, which could yield a maximum profit of 117% if Microsoft stock exceeds $415 at expiration, indicating potential profit opportunities despite the prevailing market risks.








