Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of POOL stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing mixed signals with recent price action between $341-$347 during today's trading session. The stock has been trading in a consolidation pattern between $370-$385 over the past month, with current price levels breaking below this range.

Fundamental Factors

• Oppenheimer recently lowered their price target from $386 to $370 while maintaining an Outperform rating, citing Q4 earnings that exceeded expectations
• Berkshire Hathaway increased its stake in POOL by 48% in the last quarter, showing institutional confidence in the company

Market Sentiment

Current Trading Status

• Current Price: $345.34
• Today's Range: $341.30 - $347.10
• Volume: 306,998
• Regular Market Change: +0.39%

Fibonacci Levels

• Resistance 1: $358.94
• Resistance 2: $367.53
• Resistance 3: $381.43
• Support 1: $331.14
• Support 2: $322.55
• Support 3: $308.65
• Pivot: $345.04

Recommendation Based on the technical and fundamental analysis, POOL stock appears to be in a vulnerable position in the short term, having broken below its recent trading range. However, the institutional backing and analyst confidence suggest longer-term potential. Investors might consider waiting for the stock to establish support around current levels before initiating new positions.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here is the price prediction for POOL stock in 2025:

POOL stock is expected to reach $378.40 by end of 2025, representing a potential upside of approximately 9.6% from current price of $345.34. This target is supported by projected 8% EPS growth to $11.91 in fiscal 2025 and improving market conditions including stable home values, record home equity levels, continuing Sunbelt migration, and expected interest rate easing.

The maintenance segment (62% of revenue) remains resilient with flat to slight growth, while construction (14%) and renovation (24%) segments are expected to recover as interest rates moderate [2, 3]. The company's strong cash flow generation, debt reduction to $924 million, and shareholder-friendly capital return policy through dividends and buybacks further support the price target.

The S1 support level for POOL Stock is $332.43 ,The R1 resistant level for POOL Stock is $360.24.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of POOL Stock was $344.38.

The target price for POOL Stock according to analyst rating is 342.50, with the highest price target at 360.00 and the lowest at 325.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on POOL Stock overall.

The market cap of POOL is $13.2B.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's a direct assessment of POOL's valuation:

Current Valuation Analysis:

• Trading at P/E of 29.7x forward earnings, which is at the higher end of valuation range
• Market cap of $13.5 billion
• Stock has underperformed significantly, declining 7.1% over past 52 weeks compared to S&P 500's 25.3% surge

Business Fundamentals:

• World's leading independent distributor of swimming pool equipment and supplies
• Over 300 locations worldwide
• Strong maintenance revenue stream (62% of sales) provides stability
• New construction (14%) and renovation (24%) segments more sensitive to interest rates

Recent Performance:

• Q4 adjusted EPS exceeded expectations at $0.97 vs $0.89 consensus
• Oppenheimer recently lowered price target to $370 from $386 but maintains Outperform rating
• Company expected to recover from current downturn by mid-2025

Key Valuation Factors:

• High interest rates impacting discretionary spending and construction segments
• Strong maintenance revenue provides defensive characteristics
• Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway increased stake by 48% recently, showing confidence
• Management executing well on debt reduction and shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends

Conclusion: POOL appears moderately overvalued at current levels given:

1. Premium valuation multiple despite growth headwinds
2. Significant underperformance vs market
3. Near-term challenges from high rates
4. However, strong maintenance business and potential recovery in 2025 provide support

Pool Corporation is a wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products. The Company also distributes irrigation and landscape products in the United States. The Company operates approximately 439 sales centers in North America, Europe, and Australia through its five distribution networks: SCP Distributors (SCP), Superior Pool Products (Superior), Horizon Distributors (Horizon), National Pool Tile (NPT) and Sun Wholesale Supply (Sun Wholesale). The Company distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products domestically through its SCP and Superior sales center networks through SCP network. Its Horizon sales centers offer organic fertilizers, organic pesticides, and irrigation and drainage products that reduce water usage and soil erosion. Sun Wholesale distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products, primarily servicing independently owned and operated Pinch A Penny, Inc. franchise locations.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a price prediction analysis for POOL stock by 2030:

POOL stock is projected to reach $520-550 by 2030, representing a 51-60% increase from current levels, driven by the company's dominant market position in pool supplies distribution and expected recovery in construction/remodeling segments as interest rates normalize.

The prediction is supported by Pool Corp's resilient maintenance revenue stream (62% of sales) and strategic expansion in the Sunbelt region where population migration trends remain favorable.

POOL has a total of 6000 employees.