FVD's Holdings Suggest Potential for 11% Increase
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 16 2025
0mins
Should l Buy KR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Target Price Analysis: The First Trust Value Line Dividend Index Fund ETF (FVD) has an implied analyst target price of $50.88, indicating a potential upside of 10.94% from its current trading price of $45.86.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings such as Thomson Reuters Corp, Essential Utilities Inc, and Kroger Co show significant upside potential, with target prices suggesting increases of 28.53%, 13.41%, and 12.45% respectively from their recent trading prices.
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Analyst Views on KR
Wall Street analysts forecast KR stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 67.990
Low
68.00
Averages
75.00
High
85.00
Current: 67.990
Low
68.00
Averages
75.00
High
85.00
About KR
The Kroger Co. is a food and drug retailer. The Company operates supermarkets, multi-department stores and fulfillment centers throughout the United States. It operates approximately 2,731 supermarkets, 2,273 pharmacies and 1,702 fuel centers in over 35 states and the District of Columbia while also operating online through a digital ecosystem to offer customers an omnichannel shopping experience. The Company also manufactures and processes food for sale in its supermarkets and online. It offers Pickup and Harris Teeter ExpressLane personalized, order online, pick-up at the store services at approximately 2,412 of its supermarkets and provides delivery, which allows it to offer digital solutions to substantially all of its customers. Its delivery solutions include orders delivered to customers at retail store locations, customer fulfillment centers and orders placed through third-party platforms. The Company also offers customer-facing apps and interfaces.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Performance: Kroger's shares increased by 1% following a profit beat in the fourth quarter.
- Market Reaction: The positive earnings report led to a favorable response from investors, reflecting confidence in Kroger's financial performance.
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- Store Closure Decision: Kroger will close three stores in California by March 2026, resulting in layoffs of 49, 58, and 64 workers respectively, highlighting the tough measures the supermarket chain must take amid fierce competition and economic pressures.
- Intensifying Market Competition: With Walmart, Costco, and Target capturing 37% of the U.S. market share, Kroger faces unprecedented competitive pressure, prompting the closure of underperforming stores to maintain profitability.
- Inflation Impact: Food-at-home inflation surged by 11.4% in 2022 and 5% in 2023, while Kroger's revenue only increased by 0.5%, indicating severe challenges to supermarket profitability in a high-inflation environment.
- Long-term Strategic Adjustment: Kroger announced plans to close 60 stores over 18 months in 2025, with the California closures being part of a broader strategic realignment aimed at optimizing resource allocation to adapt to future market changes.
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- Earnings Beat: Kroger's Q4 adjusted earnings per share reached $1.28, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.20, although quarterly sales fell slightly short at $34.7 billion compared to the anticipated $35 billion, indicating resilience in a competitive retail environment.
- Slow Sales Growth: Overall sales increased only 1.2% year-over-year, but same-store sales excluding fuel grew by 2.4%, suggesting stable consumer demand, particularly against the backdrop of declining fuel costs.
- Significant Operating Profit Increase: Kroger's operating profit soared by 36.6%, while GAAP earnings per share jumped 50% to $1.35, reflecting substantial improvements in cost control and operational efficiency, which bolstered investor confidence.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management anticipates that sales growth excluding fuel will only be 1% to 2% in 2026, but earnings per share are expected to rebound to between $5.10 and $5.30, indicating a potential slowdown in growth while maintaining a reasonable P/E ratio, reflecting cautious optimism in the market regarding future performance.
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- Earnings Beat: Kroger reported adjusted earnings of $1.28 per share for Q4 2025, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.20, demonstrating resilience in a competitive retail environment.
- Sales Slightly Down: With quarterly sales at $34.7 billion, slightly below the forecast of $35 billion, the 1.2% year-over-year growth was impacted by falling fuel costs, reflecting challenges in the market landscape.
- Significant Operating Profit Increase: Kroger's operating profit soared by 36.6%, while GAAP earnings per share jumped 50% to $1.35, indicating substantial progress in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management anticipates sales growth of only 1% to 2% in 2026, although earnings are expected to rebound to between $5.10 and $5.30 per share, leaving market confidence in sustained growth under scrutiny.
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- Market Decline: On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted over 800 points, primarily due to rising oil prices, with U.S. crude briefly exceeding $79 per barrel, marking the highest level since June 2025, indicating the market's sensitivity to geopolitical tensions.
- Oil Price Volatility: Iran's missile strike on an oil tanker and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz, along with threats to attack vessels in the area, have heightened market anxiety, prompting investors to navigate this volatile environment with caution.
- Costco Membership Concerns: Costco shares fell nearly 2.5% ahead of its earnings report, despite strong same-store sales momentum; however, declining membership renewal rates, particularly among online sign-ups, pose a challenge to the company's long-term growth prospects.
- Salesforce Stock Recovery: Salesforce shares rose nearly 5.5%, potentially signaling a rotation back into software stocks; while its core business faces pressure, Jim Cramer emphasized the positive outlook for Agentforce in the AI sector, suggesting a glass-half-full perspective on the company's future.
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- Oil Price Surge: West Texas Intermediate crude jumped 6.5% to $79.7 per barrel, marking its highest level since January 2025 and an 18% increase for the week, exacerbating inflation fears and driving Treasury yields higher.
- Rising Treasury Yields: The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to 4.143%, while the 30-year yield rose to 4.754%, as markets accelerated their repricing of inflation risk, reflecting heightened investor anxiety over future rate policies.
- Major Indices Decline: The S&P 500 fell 0.7% to 6,820, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 826 points, or 1.9%, marking its steepest single-session loss since April 2025, indicating growing concerns about the economic outlook.
- Digital Assets Hit: Bitcoin fell 3.1% to $71,090.45, reflecting a risk-averse sentiment that spread to the digital asset market, with global markets declining in sympathy, particularly affecting stocks tied to global growth prospects.
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