The Russell 2000 is flawed — this ETF plays it in a better way for quality
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 24 2024
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Should l Buy PBF?
Source: MarketWatch
Performance Benchmarking: The Russell 2000 Index is commonly used as a benchmark for small-cap mutual funds and ETFs, but it includes many unprofitable companies, raising concerns about its quality.
Harbor AlphaEdge ETF Approach: The Harbor AlphaEdge Small Cap Earners ETF addresses this issue by focusing on profitable companies within the Russell 2000 and prioritizing earnings over market value in its portfolio weighting.
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Analyst Views on PBF
Wall Street analysts forecast PBF stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
5 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 35.770
Low
23.00
Averages
32.22
High
42.00
Current: 35.770
Low
23.00
Averages
32.22
High
42.00
About PBF
PBF Energy Inc. is an independent refiner in North America, operating, through its subsidiaries, oil refineries and related facilities in California, Delaware, Louisiana, New Jersey and Ohio. The Company operates as a refiner and supplier of unbranded transportation fuels, heating oil, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants, and other petroleum products. It operates through two segments: Refining and Logistics. The Refining segment includes the operations of its oil refineries and related facilities in Delaware City, Delaware, Paulsboro, New Jersey, Toledo, Ohio, Chalmette, Louisiana, Torrance, California and Martinez, California. The Logistics segment includes the operations of PBF Logistics LP, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of PBF Energy and PBF LLC, which owns or leases, operates, develops, and acquires crude oil and refined petroleum products terminals, pipelines, storage facilities, and similar logistics assets.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Martinez Refinery Restart: CEO Matthew Lucey confirmed that the Martinez refinery rebuild will be completed this weekend, with full operations expected by early March, positioning PBF to supply fuels in the tight California market and enhancing competitive advantage.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported adjusted net income of $0.49 per share and adjusted EBITDA of $258 million for Q4, indicating significant improvement over prior quarters, reflecting benefits from enhanced crude differentials in its complex refining system.
- Cost Savings Initiative: PBF achieved $230 million in efficiencies for 2025 and aims for $350 million in annualized savings by the end of 2026, which will help offset future capital expenditures and enhance financial flexibility.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Management expressed a favorable outlook for 2026, anticipating tight refining balances and demand growth, particularly with increased supply from Venezuela, positioning PBF favorably within the improving market dynamics.
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- Surprise Profit: PBF Energy reported an adjusted profit of $0.49 per share in Q4, surpassing estimates of a $0.10 loss, indicating a significant rebound in refining margins due to supply disruptions from the Russia-Ukraine war and improved crude price differentials.
- Refining Margin Recovery: The U.S. refining sector experienced a sharp recovery in Q4, with the 3-2-1 crack spread benchmark rebounding from multi-year lows earlier in 2024, driven by tighter global fuel supplies and seasonal demand increases, which bolstered profitability.
- Increased Throughput: PBF's crude oil and feedstocks throughput rose to 888,900 barrels per day in the reported quarter, up from 862,000 barrels per day a year earlier, reflecting the company's ability to capitalize on market recovery opportunities.
- New Refinery Construction Update: PBF expects the construction of its Martinez refinery in California to be completed by February 16, 2026, with the catalytic cracking unit anticipated to start in the first week of March, further enhancing the company's production capacity and competitive position in the market.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: PBF Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.275 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stability and commitment to shareholder returns in the current market environment.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 3.08% offers investors a relatively attractive return, reflecting the company's dedication to shareholder value amidst fluctuating market conditions.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 11, with a record date of February 25 and an ex-dividend date also set for February 25, ensuring shareholders receive their returns promptly.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: PBF Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $0.66, beating expectations by $0.77, while revenue reached $7.14 billion, exceeding forecasts by $60 million, showcasing the company's resilience and profitability even in challenging circumstances.
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- Earnings Beat: PBF Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.66, surpassing expectations by $0.77, indicating strong profitability despite revenue challenges.
- Revenue Decline: The company recorded Q4 revenue of $7.14 billion, a 2.9% year-over-year decrease, yet it exceeded market expectations by $60 million, demonstrating resilience in a tough market environment.
- Cash and Debt Position: At year-end, PBF Energy had approximately $530 million in cash and $1.62 billion in net debt, reflecting robust liquidity management that supports future investments and operations.
- Dividend Payments: In 2025, the company paid approximately $126 million in dividends, showcasing its commitment to shareholders despite operational losses, maintaining a level of dividend distribution capability.
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- Net Income Performance: PBF Energy reported a fourth-quarter net income of $78.4 million, translating to earnings of 66 cents per share, which exceeded Wall Street expectations and indicates strong market performance.
- Adjusted Earnings: The adjusted earnings per share stood at 49 cents, significantly surpassing analysts' expectations of a 15-cent loss per share, demonstrating notable progress in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved fourth-quarter revenue of $7.14 billion, exceeding analyst forecasts of $6.98 billion, reflecting robust demand in the refining sector and an improving market environment.
- Annual Performance Overview: Despite reporting an annual loss of $158.5 million, or $1.39 per share, total revenue reached $29.33 billion, indicating that the company maintained a high revenue level even in challenging circumstances.
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- Revenue Recovery: PBF Energy reported fourth quarter 2025 income from operations of $128 million, a significant turnaround from a loss of $383.2 million in Q4 2024, indicating strong performance in a recovering market that is likely to boost investor confidence.
- Net Income Positive: The company posted a net income of $79.1 million for Q4 2025, translating to earnings per share of $0.66, a stark contrast to the net loss of $292.6 million and loss per share of $2.54 in Q4 2024, reflecting a substantial improvement in profitability.
- Insurance Recoveries Support: In Q4 2025, PBF received a net insurance benefit of $21 million primarily related to the recovery from the Martinez refinery fire, which is expected to further alleviate financial pressures and expedite the restoration process.
- Positive Future Outlook: PBF anticipates achieving $350 million in cost improvements in 2026, and with the full restoration of the Martinez refinery, the company's operational efficiency and market competitiveness are set to significantly enhance, supporting future growth.
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