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PBF Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy PBF Energy Inc (PBF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
37.750
1 Day change
1.59%
52 Week Range
52.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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PBF Energy Inc is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the stock has seen significant year-to-date gains, recent financial performance, technical indicators, and mixed analyst sentiment suggest caution. The SwingMax signal indicates a potential short-term opportunity, but it may not align with the user's long-term strategy.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 49.758, and moving averages are converging, showing no strong trend. The stock is trading below the pivot level of 43.155, with key support at 39.163 and resistance at 47.147. These indicators suggest a lack of clear direction.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options data indicates a bullish sentiment with a very low put-call volume ratio (0.02), suggesting strong call buying activity. However, implied volatility is high (75.14), which could indicate uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • SwingMax signal on 2026-04-16 suggests a potential short-term entry point. Analyst price targets have been raised recently, with some expecting stronger Q2 performance. Gross margin increased significantly YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent financials show a YoY decline in revenue (-2.88%), net income (-127.06%), and EPS (-126.77%). Insider trading activity is neutral, and a major shareholder recently sold a significant number of shares. The stock has fallen over 10% in April due to a ceasefire impacting oil prices. Analysts have mixed ratings, with some maintaining Neutral or Underperform stances.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $7.14 billion (-2.88% YoY), net income dropped to $78.3 million (-127.06% YoY), and EPS fell to 0.68 (-126.77% YoY). However, gross margin improved to 7.47 (+59.62% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed ratings. Goldman Sachs and Mizuho maintain Neutral ratings, while Piper Sandler has an Overweight rating. Price targets range from $35 to $50, with recent increases reflecting optimism about Q2 performance and West Coast dynamics. However, some analysts remain cautious due to operational risks and oil price uncertainties.

Wall Street analysts forecast PBF stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PBF stock price to fall
2 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 37.160
sliders
Low
23
Averages
33.63
High
42
Current: 37.160
sliders
Low
23
Averages
33.63
High
42
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
initiated
$41 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$41 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
initiated
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs assumed coverage of PBF Energy with a Neutral rating and price target of $49, up from $41. The firm is positive on the company's exposure to tightening West Coast dynamics, but awaits the re-start of Martinez, which composes 50% of PBF's footprint in the region.
BMO Capital
Phillip Jungwirth
Market Perform
maintain
$43 -> $50
2026-04-02
Reason
BMO Capital
Phillip Jungwirth
Price Target
$43 -> $50
2026-04-02
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Phillip Jungwirth raised the firm's price target on PBF Energy to $50 from $43 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The firm is marking-to-market Q1 estimates for PBF, although this results in little change to forecasts as capture headwinds and West Coast downtime offset higher March cracks, the analyst tells investors in a research note. BMO adds it expects a stronger Q2 however with PBF better positioned to capture higher cracks.
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