PBF Should I Buy
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PBF Energy Inc is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. Despite some positive technical indicators and a favorable options sentiment, the lack of strong growth in financial performance, insider selling, and mixed analyst ratings suggest holding off on investing right now.
The technical indicators show a bullish trend with the MACD histogram above 0 and positively contracting, RSI at 70.205 in the neutral zone, and moving averages in a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at R1: 50.741 and R2: 53.16, with support at S1: 42.91 and S2: 40.491.
Oil and gas stocks, including refiners like PBF, are benefiting from increased margins due to the Iran conflict and rising crude prices. The company's gross margin has increased significantly YoY, and analysts have raised price targets recently.
Insiders are selling heavily, with a 330.35% increase in selling activity over the last month. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant decline in revenue (-2.88% YoY), net income (-127.06% YoY), and EPS (-126.77% YoY). Additionally, no recent congress trading data or strong buy signals from proprietary trading tools are available.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $7.14 billion (-2.88% YoY), net income fell to $78.3 million (-127.06% YoY), and EPS decreased to $0.68 (-126.77% YoY). However, gross margin improved to 7.47% (+59.62% YoY). Overall, financial performance shows significant challenges despite a slight improvement in gross margin.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Piper Sandler has an Overweight rating with a price target of $42, citing positive forward-looking takeaways. However, BofA maintains an Underperform rating with a price target of $35. Other analysts like Mizuho and Goldman Sachs have Neutral ratings with price targets of $45 and $41, respectively.
