PBF Should I Buy
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PBF Energy Inc is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown some positive developments, such as exceeding Q4 earnings expectations and progress on the Martinez refinery rebuild, the financial performance has been weak with significant YoY declines in revenue, net income, and gross margin. Insider selling and mixed analyst ratings further suggest caution. The stock may be better suited for more experienced investors or those with a higher risk tolerance.
The technical indicators are mixed. The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral, and moving averages are bullish. However, the pre-market price is slightly down (-0.03%), and the stock is trading near a key support level (S1: 32.096).
Martinez refinery rebuild completion expected soon.
Q4 earnings exceeded expectations with adjusted profit and strong refining margins.
Quarterly dividend declared, reflecting commitment to shareholder returns.
Significant YoY declines in revenue (-2.88%), net income (-127.09%), and gross margin (-8889.96%).
Insider selling increased by 156.97% over the last month.
Mixed analyst ratings with some downgrades citing sector headwinds.
PBF Energy's Q4 2025 financials showed a revenue decline of -2.88% YoY to $7.14 billion, net income dropped -127.09% YoY to $78.4 million, and EPS fell -125.98% YoY to $0.66. Gross margin also saw a significant decline.
Analysts are mixed on PBF Energy. Piper Sandler recently raised the price target to $42 and maintains an Overweight rating, citing stronger-than-expected Q4 results and constructive forward estimates. However, Wolfe Research downgraded the stock to Underperform with a $23 price target, citing sector headwinds and declining West Coast margins.
