The Impact of the Iran War on the Prices of Your Next Car or Appliance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy CENX?
Source: Barron's
Impact of War on Aluminum Supplies: The ongoing war in Iran significantly threatens aluminum supplies, which are crucial for various industries.
Pre-existing Supply Issues: Prior to the conflict, the aluminum market was already facing a structural deficit, indicating that the situation could worsen.
Consequences of Shortages: A further shortage of aluminum could lead to substantial knock-on effects across multiple sectors, including automotive and household goods.
Broader Economic Implications: The aluminum supply crisis may have wider economic repercussions, affecting production and pricing in numerous industries reliant on this metal.
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Analyst Views on CENX
Wall Street analysts forecast CENX stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 48.400
Low
42.00
Averages
55.67
High
64.00
Current: 48.400
Low
42.00
Averages
55.67
High
64.00
About CENX
Century Aluminum Company is a global producer of primary aluminum and alumina with production facilities in the United States, Iceland and Jamaica. The Company also own a carbon anode production facility located in the Netherlands (Vlissingen). Carbon anodes are consumed in the production of primary aluminum. Vlissingen supplies carbon anodes to its aluminum smelter in Iceland. [AJ1] Its bauxite mining and alumina refinery in Clarendon, Jamaica (Jamalco) produces smelter grade alumina for consumption around the world. It also owns and operates aluminum reduction facilities in the United States and Iceland. It operates a United States aluminum smelters in Goose Creek, South Carolina and one smelter in Grundartangi, Iceland (Noroural, commonly referred to as Grundartangi). Its primary aluminum facilities produce standard grade and value-added primary aluminum products, including low-carbon aluminum products, Natur-Al, produced in Iceland.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
The Impact of the Iran War on the Prices of Your Next Car or Appliance
Impact of War on Aluminum Supplies: The ongoing war in Iran significantly threatens aluminum supplies, which are crucial for various industries.
Pre-existing Supply Issues: Prior to the conflict, the aluminum market was already facing a structural deficit, indicating that the situation could worsen.
Consequences of Shortages: A further shortage of aluminum could lead to substantial knock-on effects across multiple sectors, including automotive and household goods.
Broader Economic Implications: The aluminum supply crisis may have wider economic repercussions, affecting production and pricing in numerous industries reliant on this metal.
See More
Century Aluminum CEO Sells 150,000 Shares for $8.32 Million
- Executive Stock Sale: Century Aluminum CEO Jesse Gary sold 150,000 shares on March 16, 2026, for approximately $8.32 million, marking the largest individual sale in the past three years, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Shareholding Changes: Post-transaction, Gary holds 277,227 shares directly and 142,580 shares indirectly, with a direct ownership value of $15.4 million, reflecting his continued positive outlook on the company's long-term growth.
- Rising Aluminum Prices: Aluminum prices surged to $3,440 per metric ton on March 16, 2026, due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, highlighting strong market demand for aluminum and further enhancing Century Aluminum's growth potential.
- Strategic Partnership Outlook: The partnership with Emirates Global Aluminum to build the first U.S. aluminum smelting plant in 47 years is expected to create 1,000 jobs, underscoring the company's pivotal role in domestic aluminum production and its strategic significance for future growth.
See More
Century Aluminum CEO Sells 150,000 Shares for $8.32 Million
- Executive Sell-off: Jesse Gary, CEO of Century Aluminum, sold 150,000 indirect shares on March 16, 2026, generating approximately $8.32 million at $55.47 per share, representing 51.27% of indirect holdings and 26.32% of total holdings, indicating a cautious outlook from the executive regarding the company's future.
- Rising Aluminum Prices: Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, aluminum futures surged to $3,440 per metric ton on March 16, 2026, nearing a four-year high, which could positively impact Century Aluminum's profitability, especially given the strong demand for its aluminum products.
- Strategic Partnership: Century Aluminum has formed a landmark partnership with Emirates Global Aluminum to build the first aluminum smelting plant in the U.S. in 47 years, expected to add 1,000 jobs to the market, with Century holding a 40% stake in the project, significantly enhancing its market position.
- Stock Performance: Century Aluminum's stock soared approximately 150% in 2025 and rose about 22% as of March 21, 2026, reflecting the company's strong growth potential in the aluminum market, although analysts remain cautious about its future performance.
See More
Century Aluminum CEO Sells 150,000 Shares Amid Soaring Aluminum Prices
- Transaction Overview: Jesse Gary, CEO of Century Aluminum, sold 150,000 shares on March 16, 2026, for approximately $8.32 million, marking the largest individual sale in the past three years, indicating a focus on liquidity by the executive.
- Indirect Sale Implications: The shares sold were held in a revocable trust controlled by Gary, and the transaction was executed under a completed Rule 10b5-1 plan, suggesting pre-arranged liquidity rather than discretionary selling, which may affect market confidence in the company's management.
- Rising Aluminum Prices Context: As of March 16, 2026, aluminum futures rose to $3,440 per metric ton, nearing a four-year high, reflecting sustained demand amid geopolitical tensions, which could lead to increased revenue and profits for Century Aluminum.
- Strategic Partnership Outlook: Century Aluminum's partnership with Emirates Global Aluminum to build the first aluminum smelting plant in the U.S. in 47 years is expected to create 1,000 jobs, with Century holding a 40% stake in the project, highlighting its significant strategic position in domestic aluminum production.
See More
Strait of Hormuz Situation Disrupts Global Supply Chains
- Oil Price Volatility: The International Energy Agency's unprecedented release of 400 million barrels from reserves comes as oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz halt, creating upward pressure on oil prices that could slow economic growth in the U.S. and globally.
- Aluminum Supply Tightening: With the Middle East accounting for 21% of U.S. unwrought aluminum imports in 2025, escalating conflict could drive aluminum prices higher, impacting production costs in automotive, aerospace, and construction sectors, thereby increasing manufacturing pressures.
- Fertilizer Price Surge: Urea prices at the New Orleans fertilizer hub have risen from $475 to $680 per metric ton, and potential disruptions during the spring planting season could exacerbate food inflation, affecting soybean and corn cultivation.
- Retail Cost Increases: Rerouting shipping lanes may extend consumer delivery times by 1 to 10 days while raising logistics costs by 5% to 20%, leading retailers to face higher inbound logistics costs and inventory delays, ultimately pushing up product prices.
See More
Impact of Iran War on Global Auto Industry
- Supply Chain Risks: The Iran war exacerbates supply constraints for the global auto industry, as the region, while not a major auto parts producer, is crucial for key resources like oil and aluminum, with 20% of the world's oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz, causing prices to surge above $100 per barrel, directly impacting manufacturing costs.
- Fuel Price Increases: Gas prices in the U.S. have surpassed $3 per gallon, with two significant 12-cent increases nationwide in the past two weeks, creating consumer anxiety that may suppress driving and travel demand, thereby affecting auto sales.
- Aluminum Supply Tightness: Bahrain and the UAE account for 9% of global aluminum smelting, with the U.S. relying on imports for 80% to 90% of its aluminum, 20% from the Gulf, and rising aluminum prices, a key material for lightweight vehicles, will further inflate manufacturing costs, impacting electric and hybrid vehicle production.
- Industry Transition Challenges: Automakers are grappling with the fallout from the Iran conflict while incurring billions in tariff costs due to trade disputes, as the industry navigates dual transitions towards profitable electric vehicles and new hardware/software rollouts, lacking effective strategies to address supply chain crises, leading to resource strain and production instability.
See More
The Impact of the Iran War on the Prices of Your Next Car or Appliance
Impact of War on Aluminum Supplies: The ongoing war in Iran significantly threatens aluminum supplies, which are crucial for various industries.
Pre-existing Supply Issues: Prior to the conflict, the aluminum market was already facing a structural deficit, indicating that the situation could worsen.
Consequences of Shortages: A further shortage of aluminum could lead to substantial knock-on effects across multiple sectors, including automotive and household goods.
Broader Economic Implications: The aluminum supply crisis may have wider economic repercussions, affecting production and pricing in numerous industries reliant on this metal.
See More
Century Aluminum CEO Sells 150,000 Shares for $8.32 Million
- Executive Stock Sale: Century Aluminum CEO Jesse Gary sold 150,000 shares on March 16, 2026, for approximately $8.32 million, marking the largest individual sale in the past three years, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Shareholding Changes: Post-transaction, Gary holds 277,227 shares directly and 142,580 shares indirectly, with a direct ownership value of $15.4 million, reflecting his continued positive outlook on the company's long-term growth.
- Rising Aluminum Prices: Aluminum prices surged to $3,440 per metric ton on March 16, 2026, due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, highlighting strong market demand for aluminum and further enhancing Century Aluminum's growth potential.
- Strategic Partnership Outlook: The partnership with Emirates Global Aluminum to build the first U.S. aluminum smelting plant in 47 years is expected to create 1,000 jobs, underscoring the company's pivotal role in domestic aluminum production and its strategic significance for future growth.
See More
Century Aluminum CEO Sells 150,000 Shares for $8.32 Million
- Executive Sell-off: Jesse Gary, CEO of Century Aluminum, sold 150,000 indirect shares on March 16, 2026, generating approximately $8.32 million at $55.47 per share, representing 51.27% of indirect holdings and 26.32% of total holdings, indicating a cautious outlook from the executive regarding the company's future.
- Rising Aluminum Prices: Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, aluminum futures surged to $3,440 per metric ton on March 16, 2026, nearing a four-year high, which could positively impact Century Aluminum's profitability, especially given the strong demand for its aluminum products.
- Strategic Partnership: Century Aluminum has formed a landmark partnership with Emirates Global Aluminum to build the first aluminum smelting plant in the U.S. in 47 years, expected to add 1,000 jobs to the market, with Century holding a 40% stake in the project, significantly enhancing its market position.
- Stock Performance: Century Aluminum's stock soared approximately 150% in 2025 and rose about 22% as of March 21, 2026, reflecting the company's strong growth potential in the aluminum market, although analysts remain cautious about its future performance.
See More
Century Aluminum CEO Sells 150,000 Shares Amid Soaring Aluminum Prices
- Transaction Overview: Jesse Gary, CEO of Century Aluminum, sold 150,000 shares on March 16, 2026, for approximately $8.32 million, marking the largest individual sale in the past three years, indicating a focus on liquidity by the executive.
- Indirect Sale Implications: The shares sold were held in a revocable trust controlled by Gary, and the transaction was executed under a completed Rule 10b5-1 plan, suggesting pre-arranged liquidity rather than discretionary selling, which may affect market confidence in the company's management.
- Rising Aluminum Prices Context: As of March 16, 2026, aluminum futures rose to $3,440 per metric ton, nearing a four-year high, reflecting sustained demand amid geopolitical tensions, which could lead to increased revenue and profits for Century Aluminum.
- Strategic Partnership Outlook: Century Aluminum's partnership with Emirates Global Aluminum to build the first aluminum smelting plant in the U.S. in 47 years is expected to create 1,000 jobs, with Century holding a 40% stake in the project, highlighting its significant strategic position in domestic aluminum production.
See More
Strait of Hormuz Situation Disrupts Global Supply Chains
- Oil Price Volatility: The International Energy Agency's unprecedented release of 400 million barrels from reserves comes as oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz halt, creating upward pressure on oil prices that could slow economic growth in the U.S. and globally.
- Aluminum Supply Tightening: With the Middle East accounting for 21% of U.S. unwrought aluminum imports in 2025, escalating conflict could drive aluminum prices higher, impacting production costs in automotive, aerospace, and construction sectors, thereby increasing manufacturing pressures.
- Fertilizer Price Surge: Urea prices at the New Orleans fertilizer hub have risen from $475 to $680 per metric ton, and potential disruptions during the spring planting season could exacerbate food inflation, affecting soybean and corn cultivation.
- Retail Cost Increases: Rerouting shipping lanes may extend consumer delivery times by 1 to 10 days while raising logistics costs by 5% to 20%, leading retailers to face higher inbound logistics costs and inventory delays, ultimately pushing up product prices.
See More
Impact of Iran War on Global Auto Industry
- Supply Chain Risks: The Iran war exacerbates supply constraints for the global auto industry, as the region, while not a major auto parts producer, is crucial for key resources like oil and aluminum, with 20% of the world's oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz, causing prices to surge above $100 per barrel, directly impacting manufacturing costs.
- Fuel Price Increases: Gas prices in the U.S. have surpassed $3 per gallon, with two significant 12-cent increases nationwide in the past two weeks, creating consumer anxiety that may suppress driving and travel demand, thereby affecting auto sales.
- Aluminum Supply Tightness: Bahrain and the UAE account for 9% of global aluminum smelting, with the U.S. relying on imports for 80% to 90% of its aluminum, 20% from the Gulf, and rising aluminum prices, a key material for lightweight vehicles, will further inflate manufacturing costs, impacting electric and hybrid vehicle production.
- Industry Transition Challenges: Automakers are grappling with the fallout from the Iran conflict while incurring billions in tariff costs due to trade disputes, as the industry navigates dual transitions towards profitable electric vehicles and new hardware/software rollouts, lacking effective strategies to address supply chain crises, leading to resource strain and production instability.
See More
