The Bancorp Initiates 2026 EPS Guidance at $5.90
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 29 2026
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Should l Buy TBBK?
"We are pleased with the significant progress made this year in strengthening our platform and deepening and expanding new and existing relationships. While we ended the year with record fourth quarter EPS and ROE, we did fall short of our expectations and guidance due to a culmination of factors, including the prolonged government shutdown's impact on transaction volume and deposit flows, the strong ramp-up in sponsored credit materializing later than expected, some unanticipated NIM compression, and an unexpected legal settlement cost," said Damian Kozlowski, CEO and President of The Bancorp. "2025 demonstrated significant progress on our path to substantial growth in new revenue streams and enhanced profitability driven by our best-in-class Fintech ecosystem. We are initiating guidance at $5.90 EPS for 2026 and targeting at least $1.75 a share in the fourth quarter 2026. We maintain a preliminary outlook for 2027 of $8.25. Guidance for 2026 includes share repurchases under the existing repurchase program of $200 million or $50 million per quarter, and we forecast returning near 100% of earnings through share repurchases in 2027."
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Analyst Views on TBBK
About TBBK
The Bancorp, Inc. is a financial holding company. Its primary, wholly owned subsidiary is The Bancorp Bank, National Association (the Bank). The Bank is a nationally chartered commercial bank located in Sioux Falls, South Dakota and is a Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insured institution. Its segments include fintech, specialty finance and corporate. Fintech segment includes the deposit balances and non-interest income generated by prepaid, debit and other card access accounts, ACH processing and other payments-related processing. It also includes loan balances and interest and non-interest income from credit products generated through payment relationships. Specialty finance includes real estate bridge lending, comprised of apartment building rehabilitation loans; institutional banking, comprised of security-backed lines of credit, cash value insurance policy-backed lines of credit and advisor financing and commercial loans, comprised of SBA loans and direct lease financing.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Surge in Credit Sponsorship: Credit sponsorship balances reached $1.1 billion, up 40% from the previous quarter and 142% year-over-year, exceeding the company's goal of $1 billion, indicating strong performance in the credit market.
- Improved Asset Quality: Criticized assets declined from $268 million to $194 million, and delinquency rates fell from 2.19% to 1.6%, demonstrating effective risk management measures that enhance investor confidence.
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INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of The Bancorp, Inc. - TBBK
Investigation Announcement: Pomerantz LLP is investigating potential securities fraud and unlawful business practices involving The Bancorp, Inc. and its executives, urging affected investors to reach out for assistance.
Financial Results Impact: Bancorp's recent financial report revealed a lowered earnings guidance for 2025, leading to a significant drop in its stock price by 15.32% following the announcement.
Company Background: Pomerantz LLP, a prominent law firm specializing in corporate and securities class litigation, has a long history of advocating for victims of securities fraud and corporate misconduct.
Contact Information: Investors seeking more information or wishing to join the class action can contact Danielle Peyton at Pomerantz LLP via email or phone.
See More
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- Affirm's Business Growth: Affirm's BNPL services have attracted 25.8 million active consumers, a 19% increase from last year, with each consumer averaging 6.4 transactions, indicating strong demand among younger and lower-income demographics; analysts project revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 26% and 132%, respectively, by fiscal 2028.
- Market Valuation Advantage: Despite Affirm's enterprise value reaching $18 billion, its current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16 times, suggesting it remains an attractive investment in the rapidly growing BNPL market, potentially yielding substantial returns for investors.
- Chime's Market Positioning: Chime offers fee-free checking and savings accounts, attracting 9.5 million active users with a year-over-year growth rate of 19%; its early pay tools and low-limit credit cards help low-income users gradually build credit, addressing the urgent market demand for financial services.
- Revenue Growth Potential: Analysts expect Chime's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 19% and 92%, respectively, from 2025 to 2028; although its enterprise value is $7.6 billion, it appears relatively cheap at 19 times adjusted EBITDA, likely drawing increased investor interest.
See More
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- Earnings Growth: The Bancorp reported earnings of $1.28 per share for Q4 2025, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, which underscores the company's improving profitability and is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Surge in Credit Sponsorship: Credit sponsorship balances reached $1.1 billion, up 40% from the previous quarter and 142% year-over-year, exceeding the company's goal of $1 billion, indicating strong performance in the credit market.
- Improved Asset Quality: Criticized assets declined from $268 million to $194 million, and delinquency rates fell from 2.19% to 1.6%, demonstrating effective risk management measures that enhance investor confidence.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company is projecting EPS of $5.90 for 2026 and plans to repurchase $200 million in stock over the next year, reflecting management's confidence in future growth and commitment to shareholders.
See More
Bancorp Q4 Earnings Miss Expectations
- Earnings Shortfall: Bancorp reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $1.28, missing expectations by $0.14, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company posted revenues of $128 million, a 0.7% year-over-year decrease, falling short by $15.15 million, reflecting challenges from weak market demand and intensified competition.
- Market Reaction: Following the disappointing earnings report, Bancorp's stock may face downward pressure, as investor confidence in its future profitability is shaken, potentially leading to short-term capital outflows.
- Rating Analysis: According to Seeking Alpha's quantitative rating, Bancorp's shares are deemed overpriced under current circumstances, suggesting a need for reassessment of its market positioning and investment value.
See More
Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Highlights
- Earnings Growth: The EPS for Q4 2025 reached $1.28, an 11% increase from $1.15 in Q4 2024, indicating sustained profitability despite falling short of expectations due to external factors.
- Loan Portfolio Expansion: As of Q4 2025, net loans totaled $7.12 billion, a 16% increase year-over-year, primarily driven by significant growth in consumer fintech loans, enhancing the company's competitive position.
- Increase in Non-Interest Income: Non-interest income for Q4 2025 was $80.5 million, representing 46.7% of total revenue, a notable rise from 40.9% in Q4 2024, reflecting strong performance in the fintech sector.
- Share Repurchase Program: The company repurchased $150 million worth of stock in Q4 2025, acquiring 2,173,518 shares, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns while laying the groundwork for future capital management.
See More
Chime Financial Goes Public at $27, Opens at $43, Now Trading at $26
- IPO Performance: Chime Financial went public on June 12, 2025, at $27, opening at $43 but currently trading at $26, indicating investor concerns over its slowing growth.
- Market Valuation: With a market cap of $8.7 billion, Chime appears inexpensive at three times next year's sales, yet its valuation peaked at $25 billion in 2021, reflecting diminished market confidence in its growth prospects.
- User Growth and Revenue: Chime's active members reached 6.6 million in 2023, projected to grow to 9.1 million by 2025, although its purchase volume declined in Q2 and Q3 of 2025, highlighting challenges in a competitive market.
- Future Growth Potential: Analysts expect Chime's revenue to rise by 30% in 2025, with plans to introduce higher-margin financial products to reduce reliance on Visa's swipe fees; if successful, its market cap could grow to $47.5 billion in the coming years.
See More
INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of The Bancorp, Inc. - TBBK
Investigation Announcement: Pomerantz LLP is investigating potential securities fraud and unlawful business practices involving The Bancorp, Inc. and its executives, urging affected investors to reach out for assistance.
Financial Results Impact: Bancorp's recent financial report revealed a lowered earnings guidance for 2025, leading to a significant drop in its stock price by 15.32% following the announcement.
Company Background: Pomerantz LLP, a prominent law firm specializing in corporate and securities class litigation, has a long history of advocating for victims of securities fraud and corporate misconduct.
Contact Information: Investors seeking more information or wishing to join the class action can contact Danielle Peyton at Pomerantz LLP via email or phone.
See More
