Tech Stocks Poised for Recovery Amid Strong Earnings Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy ASML?
Source: Fool
- Semiconductor Market Growth: McKinsey forecasts that global semiconductor market revenue will rise from $775 billion last year to between $1.5 trillion and $1.8 trillion by 2030, indicating strong growth potential, particularly as AI technology drives demand, positioning ASML and TSMC as major beneficiaries.
- ASML's Market Position: As the sole manufacturer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, ASML plays a crucial role in the semiconductor ecosystem, with a projected 15% revenue increase in 2026, further solidifying its core position in AI chip production.
- TSMC's Strong Performance: TSMC anticipates a 30% revenue growth in 2026, with its largest customer Nvidia expecting to sell $1 trillion worth of AI chip systems in 2026 and 2027, indicating robust market demand that may exceed market expectations.
- AI Infrastructure Investment: According to Statista, AI infrastructure spending is expected to grow from $334 billion last year to $902 billion by 2029, driving demand for TSMC chips and enhancing the market outlook for both ASML and TSMC.
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Analyst Views on ASML
Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1448.640
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
Current: 1448.640
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
About ASML
ASML Holding N.V. is a holding company based in the Netherlands. The Company operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The Company operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The Company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Divergent Market Performance: In Q1 2026, while major AI stocks like Nvidia have seen declines, with Nvidia down nearly 5% year-to-date, many semiconductor stocks are rising, such as Taiwan Semiconductor up 13.7% and Texas Instruments up 15.1%, indicating varied market reactions to different company types.
- Investor Confidence Fluctuations: Major AI spenders like Alphabet and Apple have seen their stocks drop by 2.5% and 6.9%, respectively, while Meta and Microsoft have plummeted by 12.9% and 23%, reflecting uncertainty in the market regarding these companies' future earnings potential.
- Manufacturing Companies Benefiting: Manufacturing firms like Vertiv and Micron have excelled, with Vertiv soaring 61.8% year-to-date and Micron up 32.3%, both outperforming the S&P 500's 16.4% return in 2025, suggesting a market preference for companies directly benefiting from AI spending.
- Long-Term Investment Opportunities: Despite the market's lack of confidence in AI spenders, if one believes AI is a sustainable long-term trend, now may be an opportune time to buy the dip, especially considering the potential future returns these companies may generate.
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- Divergent AI Stock Performance: In Q1 2026, while Nvidia's stock fell nearly 5%, many semiconductor stocks rose, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing up 13.7%, indicating a market preference for different types of AI companies.
- Mixed Market Reactions: Alphabet and Apple saw declines of 2.5% and 6.9%, respectively, while Meta and Microsoft dropped 12.9% and 23%, suggesting a waning confidence in large AI firms, which could impact their future investment appeal.
- Manufacturing Companies Thrive: Vertiv's stock surged 61.8% and Micron rose 32.3%, indicating that the market favors companies with their own fabrication plants, reflecting a focus on short-term gains that may lead to neglect of fabless companies like Nvidia.
- Long-Term Investment Opportunities: Despite increased volatility in AI stocks, analysts believe AI represents a sustainable long-term trend, suggesting that now may be a good time to buy the dip, especially as the market shows weakness in certain companies.
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- Strong Sales Performance: TSMC's March sales figures were robust, leading to a stock price surge that underscores the company's strong demand and competitiveness in the semiconductor market.
- Near All-Time Highs: The stock price is approaching historical highs, reflecting investor optimism regarding the company's future earnings potential amid sales growth.
- Upcoming Earnings Report: TSMC is set to release its earnings report on April 16, with market expectations high for continued strong profitability, further solidifying its market position.
- Increased Market Confidence: The impressive sales data not only boosts investor confidence but may also attract more capital inflows, supporting the company's future growth and expansion plans.
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- Semiconductor Market Growth: McKinsey forecasts that global semiconductor market revenue will rise from $775 billion last year to between $1.5 trillion and $1.8 trillion by 2030, indicating strong growth potential, particularly as AI technology drives demand, positioning ASML and TSMC as major beneficiaries.
- ASML's Market Position: As the sole manufacturer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, ASML plays a crucial role in the semiconductor ecosystem, with a projected 15% revenue increase in 2026, further solidifying its core position in AI chip production.
- TSMC's Strong Performance: TSMC anticipates a 30% revenue growth in 2026, with its largest customer Nvidia expecting to sell $1 trillion worth of AI chip systems in 2026 and 2027, indicating robust market demand that may exceed market expectations.
- AI Infrastructure Investment: According to Statista, AI infrastructure spending is expected to grow from $334 billion last year to $902 billion by 2029, driving demand for TSMC chips and enhancing the market outlook for both ASML and TSMC.
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- Market Confidence Rebound: With ASML and TSMC set to release quarterly results on April 15 and 16, investor confidence in tech stocks is expected to recover, especially as the Nasdaq Composite has fallen 8% over the past six months, and strong earnings could drive a market rebound.
- Surge in AI Infrastructure Investment: According to Statista, AI infrastructure spending is projected to rise from $334 billion last year to $902 billion by 2029, with 60% of this investment allocated to chips and computing hardware, further stimulating demand for TSMC's chips and driving revenue growth.
- Strong TSMC Performance: TSMC anticipates a 30% revenue increase in 2026, bolstered by its largest customer Nvidia's expectation of selling $1 trillion worth of AI chip systems in 2026 and 2027, indicating robust market demand that may exceed expectations.
- ASML Order Growth: ASML, the sole manufacturer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, is expected to achieve a 15% revenue increase in 2026, with SK Hynix planning to purchase $8 billion worth of EUV machines, further solidifying its critical role in the semiconductor ecosystem.
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- Market Technical Rebound: The stock market's strong rebound on Wednesday marks the beginning of a new rally, indicating a restoration of investor confidence that may lay the groundwork for market trends in the coming weeks.
- Impact of Upcoming Performance: The stock market's performance in the upcoming week will significantly influence the strength and sustainability of the current uptrend, prompting investors to closely monitor market dynamics to adjust their strategies accordingly.
- Economic Data Releases: Several economic data points will be released this week, potentially impacting market sentiment and investment decisions, particularly concerning inflation and employment data, necessitating investors to prepare in advance.
- Technical Analysis Signals: Technical analysis suggests that the strong market rebound may attract more capital inflows, further driving market gains, with investors advised to pay attention to changes in key support and resistance levels.
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