Serve Robotics to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 11
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy SERV?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Serve Robotics Inc. is set to announce its Q4 earnings on March 11 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.44, reflecting a significant 91.3% year-over-year decline, indicating major challenges in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts estimate revenue at $0.77 million, highlighting the company's need to enhance sales performance to achieve sustainable growth amidst competitive pressures in the robotics market.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, Serve Robotics has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time and revenue estimates 25% of the time, suggesting uncertainty in financial performance that may affect investor confidence moving forward.
- Market Reaction: Given the economic challenges and ongoing decline in profitability, the market remains cautious about Serve Robotics' future prospects, which could lead to stock price volatility.
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Analyst Views on SERV
Wall Street analysts forecast SERV stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 9.490
Low
15.00
Averages
20.00
High
26.00
Current: 9.490
Low
15.00
Averages
20.00
High
26.00
About SERV
Serve Robotics, Inc. is engaged in developing next generation robots for last-mile delivery services. The Company designs, develops and operates low-emission robots on its artificial intelligence (AI)-powered robotics mobility platform that serves people in public spaces, starting with food delivery. The Company’s fleet consists of over 100 robots. It has platform-level integrations with Uber Eats, which allows serve robots to provide real-time presence and status updates on those platforms and receive requests to perform deliveries with respect to customer orders placed on those platforms as needed. Its capabilities include automatic emergency braking, vehicle collision avoidance, and fail-safe mechanical braking. It uses AI methodologies to design, train and deploy a host of models on serve robots and these models are used to perform a variety of tasks, including identification of sidewalk surfaces, intersections, traffic signals, obstacles, pedestrians and vehicles, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Serve Robotics Inc. is set to announce its Q4 earnings on March 11 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.44, reflecting a significant 91.3% year-over-year decline, indicating major challenges in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts estimate revenue at $0.77 million, highlighting the company's need to enhance sales performance to achieve sustainable growth amidst competitive pressures in the robotics market.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, Serve Robotics has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time and revenue estimates 25% of the time, suggesting uncertainty in financial performance that may affect investor confidence moving forward.
- Market Reaction: Given the economic challenges and ongoing decline in profitability, the market remains cautious about Serve Robotics' future prospects, which could lead to stock price volatility.
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- Earnings Expectations: Serve Robotics is set to report earnings on March 11, 2026, with analysts forecasting a loss of 46 cents per share, worsening from a 23-cent loss a year prior, although revenue is expected to rise from $180,000 to $760,000, indicating efforts in revenue growth but highlighting ongoing financial vulnerabilities.
- Market Reaction: The stock experienced a 10.03% drop the day after missing EPS estimates last quarter, reflecting investor skepticism regarding the company's financial performance, which could impact future investment decisions.
- Short Interest Pressure: Short interest in Serve Robotics increased from 17.08 million to 17.88 million shares, representing 25% of the company's float, and with an average daily trading volume of 4.64 million shares, it would take approximately 3.86 days for short sellers to cover their positions, indicating market concerns about the company's future performance.
- Technical Analysis: Despite a 46.56% increase in stock price over the past year, current prices remain below several key moving averages, suggesting short-term bearish sentiment, with an RSI of 42.71 indicating neutral market sentiment, and future price movements will depend on the upcoming earnings report and market reactions.
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- Leadership Recognition: MJ Burk Chun, VP of Product and Design at Serve Robotics, has been named to Inc.'s 2026 Female Founders 500 list, highlighting her exceptional contributions to innovation and diversity within the company, thereby enhancing its reputation in the industry.
- Market Expansion Achievement: Under Chun's leadership, Serve Robotics has successfully completed over 100,000 deliveries since its founding in 2021, expanding its market presence from Los Angeles to six major cities by 2025, significantly increasing the company's market coverage and customer base.
- Technological Innovation Drive: Since its spin-off from Uber, Serve Robotics has deployed over 2,000 robots across the U.S., serving approximately 3 million residents and supporting over 3,600 restaurants, showcasing its strong capabilities and market demand in the autonomous delivery sector.
- Advocacy for Female Leadership: Chun not only excels in the tech field but also actively participates in the U.S. State Department's TechWomen program, aiming to enhance women's participation in STEM and promote gender equity in global tech leadership, reflecting her commitment to social responsibility.
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- Earnings Season Dynamics: This week’s earnings season is strong, with retailers, tech giants, and AI winners taking center stage, as investors closely monitor how guidance and AI-driven demand will shape market direction.
- Oracle Cloud Infrastructure: Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) saw a 68% surge last quarter, and investors are keen to see if its massive $523 billion contract backlog is beginning to translate into realized revenue, particularly as capital expenditures soar.
- UiPath Earnings Expectations: UiPath is set to report after Wednesday’s close, with analysts expecting earnings of 26 cents per share on revenue of $464.49 million, as investors will focus on the durability of growth and profitability stabilization and the impact of AI on net new ARR.
- Adobe Earnings Outlook: Adobe anticipates earnings of $5.87 per share and revenue of approximately $6.28 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of about 10%, with investors watching how generative AI features drive upside in net new ARR and Digital Media growth.
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- Earnings Reports: Next week will see earnings results from Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Kohl's (KSS), Oracle (ORCL), and Adobe (ADBE), which are expected to significantly impact market sentiment, particularly as investors closely monitor performance in the tech and retail sectors amid the current economic climate.
- CPI Data Release: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) results for February will be released, with the market keenly observing changes in inflation trends that will provide crucial insights for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, potentially influencing interest rate expectations and stock market performance.
- NFIB Optimism Index: The latest readings on the NFIB Optimism Index will be published, reflecting small business owners' confidence in the economic outlook; strong data could boost market sentiment and affect related stock performance.
- Existing Home Sales Data: The latest data on existing home sales in the U.S. will also be released, with the market closely watching the health of the real estate sector, especially against a backdrop of rising interest rates, which could impact consumer confidence and spending.
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Stock Performance: Shares of Serve Robotics (SERV) dropped 5% after analyst Edwin Dorsey raised concerns about potential issues within the company, including poor performance of delivery robots and competition from other startups.
Analyst Ratings: Despite the drop, all six analysts covering SERV rated it a 'Buy', with a 12-month price target suggesting over 100% upside potential.
Earnings Report: Serve Robotics is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter earnings on March 11, 2025, with expectations of a loss per share of $0.54.
Market Sentiment: Retail sentiment around SERV stock has remained stable, with a 13% gain over the past 12 months, indicating a generally positive outlook despite recent concerns.
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