Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here's a concise assessment of ULTA's current trading position:

Technical Analysis The stock is currently showing bearish signals with RSI at 29.02, indicating oversold conditions. The stock is trading below both its 20-day (410.14) and 60-day (404.87) moving averages, suggesting a downward trend.

Recent Performance ULTA has experienced significant pressure, falling 6.68% to $374.79 on Friday, marking its second consecutive day of losses. The stock is currently trading at $375 in the post-market session.

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show mixed but generally positive sentiment:

• Morgan Stanley upgraded to Buy with $500 target (18.44% upside)
• Oppenheimer maintains Buy rating with $515 target (20.25% upside)
• Canaccord Genuity maintains Strong Buy with $538 target (25.62% upside)

Key Catalysts

• Recent CEO transition with Kecia Steelman taking over
• Strong holiday season performance reported
• Positive Q4 guidance update with expected comp sales increase

Recommendation Based on the oversold technical conditions and positive fundamental outlook from analysts, ULTA presents a buying opportunity at current levels around $375, with multiple analysts seeing 15-25% upside potential.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for ULTA stock in 2025:

ULTA stock is projected to reach $423-435 by mid-2025, representing a potential upside of approximately 13-16% from its current price of $375, driven by the company's strong loyalty program growth and retail media network expansion. However, recent beauty sector challenges and disappointing earnings across the industry suggest some near-term headwinds.

The stock has significant technical support at $382 with resistance at $423, based on Fibonacci levels, while the current RSI of 29.02 indicates oversold conditions that could trigger a technical rebound.

The prediction is supported by Ulta's resilient business model with over 44 million loyalty members and expected operating margins of 13% for 2024-2025, though recent sector-wide challenges including decreased consumer interest in beauty products and potential tariff impacts need to be monitored.

The S1 support level for ULTA Stock is $375.95 ,The R1 resistant level for ULTA Stock is $419.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-11, the price of ULTA Stock was $374.62.

The target price for ULTA Stock according to analyst rating is 466.43, with the highest price target at 538.00 and the lowest at 360.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on ULTA Stock overall.

The market cap of ULTA is $17.4B.

Based on the provided data and recent market movements, here's a comprehensive analysis of ULTA's valuation:

Technical Analysis ULTA is currently showing significant weakness with an RSI of 27.5, indicating oversold conditions. The stock has declined substantially from its 52-week high of $574.76 to current levels around $374.79, representing a 35% drop.

Fundamental Valuation The stock is trading at:

• Forward P/E: 15.1x (Q3 2025)
• EV/EBITDA: 9.76x
• P/S: 1.60x
• P/B: 7.55x

These multiples are below historical averages, suggesting potential undervaluation from a pure metrics perspective.

Recent Performance & Catalysts

• The stock has faced significant pressure, dropping 6.68% on Friday amid broader market weakness
• Beauty sector experiencing broader challenges with decreased consumer interest and potential tariff impacts
• Company maintains strong market position with 1,437 stores and 44 million loyalty members

Financial Health

• Q3 2025 Revenue: $2.53 billion
• Net Income: $242.2 million
• Gross Margin: 39.75%
• Strong balance sheet with minimal debt and healthy current ratio of 1.63x

Market Position ULTA remains the largest specialty beauty retailer in the US, but faces increasing competitive pressures and shifting consumer spending patterns. The company's robust loyalty program and strategic initiatives in wellness category expansion provide some defense against current headwinds.

Conclusion While ULTA shows signs of being oversold from a technical perspective and trades at reasonable valuations compared to historical levels, current market conditions and sector-specific challenges suggest the stock is fairly valued at current levels. The combination of macro headwinds (consumer spending pressure, potential tariff impacts) and industry-specific challenges offset the attractive valuation metrics.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer. The Company's product categories include cosmetics, skincare, haircare products and styling tools, fragrance and bath, services, and accessories and other. The Company has one segment, which includes retail stores, salon services, and e-commerce. It offers a range of beauty services in its stores, focusing on hair, makeup, brow and skin services. Its skin services include a skin treatment room or dedicated skin treatment area on the sales floor. Its Ulta Beauty store prototype includes an open salon area, with most of its stores offering brow services on the salon floor. It offers a new way to shop for beauty - bringing together All Things Beauty, All in One Place. In addition to ship to home order fulfillment, it offers guests Buy Online, Pick-up in Store, Curbside Pickup, and Store 2 Door, which provides the ability for customers to order in-store and have products delivered to their homes. It operates over 1,350 retail stores across 50 states.

Based on the provided data and market research, here's a price prediction analysis for ULTA stock by 2030:

ULTA stock is projected to reach approximately $650-700 by 2030, representing a 75-85% increase from current levels around $375. This forecast is supported by the company's strong market position in the beauty retail sector and its strategic growth initiatives. The expansion into wellness categories and international markets, particularly Mexico in 2025, combined with the company's robust loyalty program of over 44 million members, provides multiple growth catalysts.

The current valuation metrics suggest ULTA is trading at an attractive entry point, with a P/E ratio of 16 compared to its historical average of 31 and the S&P 500's average of 29. This undervaluation, coupled with the company's consistent operating margins of 12.7-13% and projected annual sales of over $11 billion, supports the long-term price target.

ULTA has a total of 20000 employees.