PennyMac's $390.2 Million Mortgage Trust Receives Preliminary Ratings from KBRA
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 07 2026
0mins
Source: Businesswire
- Credit Rating Assignment: KBRA has assigned preliminary ratings to 57 classes of mortgage-backed securities from PennyMac Corp.'s PMT Loan Trust 2026-INV1, involving a total of $390.2 million in fixed-rate mortgages, indicating market confidence in the transaction.
- Loan Pool Characteristics: The trust comprises 1,032 mortgages, with 72.6% being investment properties and 27.4% second homes, reflecting a diversified asset base that helps mitigate risk.
- Borrower Credit Quality: The pool's weighted average original loan-to-value (LTV) ratio stands at 74.6%, while the weighted average credit score is 779, both within the prime mortgage range, demonstrating strong borrower repayment capacity.
- Rating Methodology: KBRA utilized its Residential Asset Loss Model (REALM) for loan-level analysis of the mortgage pool, supplemented by third-party due diligence results and cash flow modeling analysis, ensuring the accuracy and reliability of the ratings.
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Analyst Views on PMT
Wall Street analysts forecast PMT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PMT is 13.85 USD with a low forecast of 13.00 USD and a high forecast of 14.50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 13.480
Low
13.00
Averages
13.85
High
14.50
Current: 13.480
Low
13.00
Averages
13.85
High
14.50
About PMT
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests primarily in residential mortgage loans and mortgage-related assets. The Company's segments include credit sensitive strategies, interest rate sensitive strategies and correspondent production. The credit sensitive strategies segment represents its investments in CRT arrangements referencing loans from its own correspondent production and subordinate MBS. The interest rate sensitive strategies segment represents its investments in MSRs, Agency and senior non-Agency MBS and the related interest rate hedging activities. The correspondent production segment represents its operations aimed at serving as an intermediary between lenders and the capital markets by purchasing, pooling and reselling newly originated prime credit quality loans either directly or in the form of MBS, using the services of PCM and PLS. The Company is externally managed by PNMAC Capital Management, LLC.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
PennyMac Mortgage Trust to Announce Q4 Earnings on January 29
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is set to release its Q4 earnings on January 29 after market close, with consensus estimates of $0.39 EPS and $96.96 million in revenue, indicating investor interest in the company's financial performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, PennyMac has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time, although it has only surpassed revenue estimates 25% of the time, reflecting stability in profitability but challenges in revenue growth.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
- Bond Refinancing Plan: PennyMac plans to reopen $75 million of 2029 notes, demonstrating the company's activity in the capital markets and proactive consideration of future financing needs.
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PennyMac Reports Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Net Income Performance: PennyMac reported net income of $42 million for Q4 2025, reflecting a 13% annualized return on common equity, although this is a decrease from $48 million in Q3, indicating increased competitive pressures in the market.
- Accelerated Securitization Activity: The company successfully completed 19 securitizations totaling $6.7 billion in UPB in 2025, a substantial increase from just 2 in 2024, highlighting its strengthened position in the non-Agency MBS market.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: PennyMac plans to complete approximately 30 securitizations in 2026, targeting returns in the low to mid-teens, which reflects its ongoing focus on high-return assets and strategic capital flexibility.
- Risk Management and Market Dynamics: Management emphasized the need to monitor the impact of increased prepayment speeds on MSR returns and expressed willingness to consider MSR sales if necessary to address competitive pressures and capital management needs.
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