OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: 2026 to be Year of Practical AI Adoption with Revenue Surpassing $20 Billion
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 19 2026
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Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: CNBC
- Significant Revenue Growth: OpenAI's annual revenue surged from $2 billion in 2023 to over $20 billion in 2025, demonstrating unprecedented growth scale and indicating rapidly increasing market demand for AI solutions.
- Enhanced Computing Power: OpenAI's compute capacity grew from 0.2 gigawatts in 2023 to approximately 1.9 gigawatts in 2025, directly driving faster customer adoption and revenue growth, reflecting the close relationship between technical infrastructure and revenue.
- Strategic Partnership Agreement: OpenAI entered into an agreement with Nvidia, which committed $100 billion to support OpenAI in building at least 10 gigawatts of systems, providing essential computing resources to facilitate OpenAI's expansion in the AI sector.
- Advertising Testing Initiative: OpenAI plans to begin testing ads for ChatGPT users in the U.S., aiming to diversify revenue streams while ensuring that the advertising experience adds value to users, thereby supporting future public listing efforts.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 183.220
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 183.220
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Quarterly Revenue Performance: Nvidia reported a fourth-quarter revenue of $68 billion, reflecting a 73% year-over-year growth, which alleviated market concerns regarding a slowdown in AI spending, indicating that the strong performance in AI infrastructure investment will continue.
- Positive Market Reaction: Nvidia's market capitalization crossed the $1 trillion mark in less than three years, with its stock price more than quadrupling since then, currently valued at $4.5 trillion, showcasing investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company anticipates quarterly sales to reach $78 billion, representing a 77% year-over-year growth, reflecting a continued commitment from large tech firms towards AI spending, further solidifying Nvidia's leadership position in the market.
- Innovation and Ecosystem: Nvidia's recent launch of a new open-weight model designed for complex AI systems indicates that the company is not only relying on existing hardware and software sales but is also continuously innovating to transition from a component supplier to a comprehensive AI platform.
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- China Market Resumption: NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang announced that the company has received purchase orders for H200 processors from Chinese customers and is restarting production, marking a significant return to the Chinese market after prolonged export restrictions, which is expected to positively impact future revenues.
- Sales Restrictions Lifted: Huang stated that NVIDIA has obtained sales clearance from both the U.S. and China, despite previous export controls under the Trump administration that nearly halted sales in China, resulting in a $5.5 billion financial hit for the company.
- Strong Financial Performance: Despite the inability to enter the Chinese market, NVIDIA reported a 73% revenue growth in the latest quarter, marking the 11th consecutive quarter of growth exceeding 55%, demonstrating strong demand and resilience in its global operations.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: NVIDIA forecasts approximately 77% growth for the upcoming quarter, assuming zero data center revenue from China in its guidance, indicating that performance in other markets will continue to drive overall growth.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia reported a 73% year-over-year revenue increase to $68 billion in Q4, alleviating market concerns about cuts in AI product spending and demonstrating strong growth potential in AI infrastructure spending.
- Market Valuation Surge: Nvidia's market cap surpassed $1 trillion in less than three years and has now reached $4.5 trillion; despite rapid stock price increases, the $68 billion quarterly revenue indicates that its growth momentum remains robust.
- Future Sales Expectations: Nvidia anticipates quarterly sales will rise to $78 billion, representing a 77% year-over-year growth, suggesting that the ongoing increase in AI spending could drive the company's future performance.
- Innovation-Driven Development: Nvidia recently unveiled a new open-weight model designed to support complex AI systems, further solidifying its leadership in GPU hardware and transitioning the company from a component supplier to a comprehensive AI platform.
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- Oil Price Surge: The ongoing war in Iran has led to a sharp increase in global oil prices, particularly affecting countries like Japan and South Korea that rely heavily on the Strait of Hormuz, creating dual pressures of supply shortages and rising costs that threaten economic stability.
- Strategic Reserves Release: In response to the crisis, Japan and South Korea have begun releasing their strategic oil reserves to ensure stable energy supplies; however, the market's reaction has been severe, resulting in significant declines in both countries' stock markets, with South Korea facing the brunt of the impact.
- Korean Stock Market Performance: Despite the Kospi index doubling over the past year, it has fallen 10% since the outbreak of the Iran war, reflecting the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks and a decline in investor confidence amid the crisis.
- ETF Investment Opportunity: The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) has dropped over 10% since the war began, yet its low valuation combined with the ongoing AI boom may present opportunities for superior returns, making it an attractive option for investors looking to gain exposure to the South Korean market.
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- Oil Price Surge: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iran war has led to a significant spike in global oil prices, particularly impacting the Asia-Pacific region where over 80% of oil and LNG exports pass through, directly affecting energy supplies for Japan and South Korea.
- Strategic Reserves Release: Japan and South Korea are releasing their strategic oil reserves to mitigate supply shortages, with approximately 95% of Japan's oil and 70%-75% of South Korea's oil reliant on the Strait of Hormuz, causing substantial economic pressure from rising prices.
- Market Reaction: The South Korean stock market (Kospi), which had performed well over the past year, has seen a 10% decline since the outbreak of war, reflecting strong market reactions to uncertainties, particularly in the tech and automotive sectors.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite the EWY ETF dropping over 10% due to the war, its low valuation and the ongoing demand for AI chips make it a focal point for investors, with expectations of a rebound once the Strait of Hormuz reopens.
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- Partnership Expansion: Uber has announced new partnerships with NVIDIA and Amazon's Zoox to launch self-driving robotaxi services in Los Angeles and San Francisco by 2027, with plans to expand to 28 cities by 2028, significantly enhancing its competitive position in the autonomous driving market.
- Cost Control Strategy: By collaborating with technology partners, Uber can advance its autonomous vehicle goals without incurring high R&D costs, leveraging existing technology platforms to accelerate market penetration and enhance business flexibility.
- Investment Plan: Uber plans to invest $500 million in its Argentina operations over the next three years, aiming to enhance local operational capabilities and capture growth opportunities in the South American market, further solidifying its global market position.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Following the announcement, Uber's stock rose 5.1%, and despite overall volatility, the positive market response to this expansion plan indicates investor confidence in its future growth potential, even as the stock has declined 6% year-to-date.
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