OpenAI Annualized Revenue Exceeds $25 Billion
Catch up on the top artificial intelligence news and commentary by Wall Street analysts on publicly traded companies in the space with this daily recap compiled by The Fly.SCALING BACK:OpenAI is scaling back plans to enable direct checkout within ChatGPT, opting instead to complete transactions through integrated third-party apps, The Information's Ann Gehan and Sri Muppidi. Due to users' habit of "browsing without buying" and technical barriers such as inventory synchronization and fraud prevention, only about a dozen of the millions of Shopifymerchants have actually integrated, according to the report.AI CHIP SHIPMENTS:White House officials have drafted regulations that would restrict AI chip shipments to anywhere in the world without American approval, Mackenzie Hawkins of Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter. The proposed regulations would require companies to seek U.S. permission for virtually all exports of AI accelerators from companies like Nvidiaand AMD, an expansion of curbs that currently cover around 40 countries, sources tell Bloomberg.ANNUALIZED REVENUE:AI startup OpenAI topped $25B in annualized revenue as of the end of last month, The Information's Sri Muppidi, citing a person familiar with the matter. This is a 17% increase from the $21.4B in annualized revenue that the company generated at the end of the year, the author adds.EXTREME REASONING:OpenAI is preparing to launch GPT-5.4, with an "extreme" reasoning mode and a 1M-token context window, matching past models but up from GPT-5.2's 400K, The Information's Stephanie Palazzolo.SUPPLY CHAIN RISK:An industry group of big tech companies has expressed concern to U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth about his declaring Anthropic a supply chain risk, saying it creates uncertainty for companies that could threaten the military's access to the best products and services, Karen Freifeld of Reuters. "We are concerned by recent reports regarding the Department of War's consideration of imposing a supply chain risk designation in response to a procurement dispute," the Information Technology Industry Council, whose members include Nvidia, Amazon, and Apple, said in a letter dated Wednesday. The letter states that the declaration threatens "to undermine the government's access to the best-in-class products and services from American companies that serve all agencies and components of the federal government."HUMANOID ROBOTS:Texas Instrumentsannounced it is accelerating the safe deployment of humanoid robots into the real world with Nvidia. By combining TI's real-time motor control, sensing, radar and power technologies with Nvidia's advanced robotics compute, ethernet based sensing and simulation technologies, robotics developers can validate perception, actuation and safety earlier and more accurately. TI connects Nvidia physical AI compute to real-world applications with deterministic control, sensing, power and safety at every joint and subsystem. This partnership will help developers move faster from virtual development to production-ready, scalable and safety-compliant systems. As part of this collaboration, TI designed a sensor fusion solution by integrating its mmWave radar technology with Nvidia Jetson Thor using Nvidia Holoscan Sensor Bridge to enable low-latency, 3D perception and safety awareness for humanoid robots. TI will showcase the solution at Nvidia GTC, March 16-19, in San Jose, California.JOB CUTS:Amazoncut jobs inside its robotics division this week, the latest reductions in a sweeping cost-cutting campaign, Business Insider's Eugene Kim. In a message to employees on Tuesday, seen by Business Insider, Amazon Robotics VP Scott Dresser described the changes as "difficult but necessary." He stressed that robotics remains a "strategic priority" even as the company restructures and pares back certain efforts. It's unclear how many employees were affected by Tuesday's cuts, the author adds.
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- Warning Voices: Minecraft creator Markus Persson cautioned on social media that using AI to write code is an incredibly bad idea, asserting that those advocating for it are either incompetent or evil, emphasizing the importance of logic over mere typing skills.
- Rise of AI Programming: Despite the warnings, AI-assisted coding continues to expand, with AI developer Anthropic recently hosting a global hackathon that attracted around 13,000 participants, indicating strong market interest in AI coding tools.
- Skill and Safety Concerns: Persson stressed that developers must learn their craft when entering an AI-driven industry, pointing out that being able to fly without knowing how to take off or land makes programming unsafe, reflecting deep concerns about emerging technologies.
- Future of Programming: AI researcher Andrej Karpathy noted that programming is becoming
- Market Weakness: The S&P 500 index fell by 1.33%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a 3.5-month low, reflecting investor concerns over the Middle East conflict potentially driving energy prices higher and sparking inflation risks, which dampens market confidence.
- Disappointing Employment Data: The US nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly dropped by 92,000 in February, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%, indicating a weakening labor market that raises doubts about economic health and may lead the Fed to adopt a more cautious approach in future policy adjustments.
- Surge in Energy Prices: WTI crude oil prices surged over 12% to a 2.5-year high as the ongoing Middle East conflict exacerbates supply concerns, which is expected to push global oil prices even higher, impacting profitability across related sectors.
- Corporate Earnings Resilience: Despite the overall market decline, 74% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, demonstrating a degree of resilience among businesses that may support future market recovery.
- Robinhood Market Performance: Robinhood Markets experienced nearly 40% sales growth in 2023, with projections exceeding 50% in the next two years, indicating strong growth potential in the fintech sector that could attract more investors and enhance market share.
- Cryptocurrency Revenue Volatility: Despite a 38% year-over-year decline in cryptocurrency trading revenue in Q4, Robinhood still achieved a 15% overall revenue growth, demonstrating the resilience of its core business and adaptability to market fluctuations.
- Micron's AI Opportunities: Micron Technology saw a 57% year-over-year surge in sales during Q1 of fiscal 2026, with net income nearly tripling, highlighting strong demand in the AI chip market and future growth potential that is expected to drive stock prices higher.
- Iren's Infrastructure Advantage: Iren secured a five-year, $9.7 billion contract with Microsoft to provide 200 megawatts of AI infrastructure, showcasing its unique competitive edge in the AI data center space and future expansion capabilities, which are likely to further boost market confidence.
- Stock Surge: Palantir's stock surged 15% amid the Iran conflict, standing out in a declining market, reflecting investor confidence in its reliance on government spending, which constitutes about 60% of its revenue.
- Analyst Rating Upgrade: Analysts at Rosenblatt maintained a buy rating on Palantir and raised their price target from $150 to $200, believing that the Middle East conflict will benefit the company's government project pipeline, indicating potential for more contract opportunities ahead.
- Military Contract Impact: Palantir signed a $10 billion contract with the U.S. Army last year and provides AI capabilities through its Maven Smart System program, further solidifying its position in the defense sector.
- Market Dynamics Rebound: Software stocks rebounded after recent sell-offs, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rising nearly 8% this week, indicating improved market sentiment, which also benefited Palantir's performance.
- Outstanding Stock Performance: Palantir's stock surged 15% last week, marking its best performance since August and significantly outperforming other large-cap tech stocks, reflecting market confidence in its business with the U.S. military and intelligence agencies.
- Dependence on Government Spending: Approximately 60% of Palantir's revenue comes from government spending, and as the war in Iran continues, analysts believe this will further drive growth in its government contracts, particularly in military collaborations.
- Analyst Rating Upgrade: Analysts at Rosenblatt raised Palantir's price target from $150 to $200, asserting that the conflict in the Middle East bodes well for its government pipeline and noting that there are adequate alternatives to address the Anthropic blacklist issue.
- Market Dynamics Impact: Palantir's stock rally is also attributed to a rebound in software stocks, as the market reassesses the software sector amidst concerns about AI tools threatening traditional business models, indicating a stabilization in market dynamics.
- New Investment Update: Claar Advisors LLC established a new position in Callaway Golf Company during Q4 2025 by acquiring 626,689 shares, resulting in a $7.31 million increase in quarter-end position value, reflecting confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Asset Allocation Insight: As of December 31, 2025, Callaway's shares accounted for 2.14% of Claar Advisors' total U.S. equity assets, indicating the increasing significance of the company within their investment portfolio.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, Callaway's stock price stood at $13.42, representing a 108.1% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 101.8 percentage points, showcasing its strong market performance.
- Business Strategy Shift: Callaway has refocused on its core golf equipment and apparel brands, relying on product launches and equipment demand to drive earnings, highlighting the critical timing of new product introductions while facing cost pressures that impact margins.










