Newmont Stock Drops 20.3% Amid Falling Gold Prices
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy NEM?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Gold Price Decline: Newmont (NYSE: NEM) saw its stock drop 20.3% over the month ending March 24, a decline nearly 430 basis points worse than the largest gold ETF, indicating a direct impact from falling gold prices on mining stocks.
- Cost Structure Impact: The volatility in gold prices affects mining companies' profitability, as their relatively fixed cost structures mean extraction costs do not decrease in tandem with gold prices, exacerbating profit fluctuations in the current market environment.
- Strong Dollar and Rising Yields: A strong dollar and rising bond yields diminish gold's appeal, leading investors to prefer interest-bearing Treasuries, which pressures gold prices and subsequently affects the performance of mining companies like Newmont.
- Geopolitical Risks: The conflict in Iran has pushed oil prices near $100 per barrel, increasing energy costs for mining companies, which account for 20% to 30% of Newmont's operational expenses, further straining its financial position.
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Analyst Views on NEM
Wall Street analysts forecast NEM stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 99.360
Low
89.00
Averages
110.85
High
125.00
Current: 99.360
Low
89.00
Averages
110.85
High
125.00
About NEM
Newmont Corporation is a gold company and a producer of copper, zinc, lead, and silver with operations and/or assets in the Africa, Australia, Latin America & Caribbean, North America, and Papua New Guinea regions. The Company's operations include Brucejack, Red Chris, Penasquito, Merian, Cerro Negro, Yanacocha, Boddington, Tanami, Cadia, Lihir, Ahafo, and NGM. The Brucejack operation includes four mining leases and six core mineral claims which cover 8,169 acres (3,306 hectares) and 337 mineral claims covering 298,795 acres (120,918 hectares). The Red Chris operation includes five mining leases which cover 12,703 acres and 199 mineral claims, encompassing an area of 164,903 acres (66,734 hectares). Penasquito includes 20 mining concessions for operations comprising 113,231 acres (45,823 hectares) and 60 mining concessions for exploration of 107,456 acres (43,486 hectares). The Merian operation includes one right of exploitation encompassing an area of 41,687 acres (16,870 hectares).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of Gold and Silver Investment Dynamics
- Rising Speculative Demand: While speculative investments have driven up gold and silver prices, during broad market sell-offs, investors tend to liquidate these assets, leading to increased volatility and questioning their reliability as safe-haven investments.
- Significant Demand Changes: In 2025, gold jewelry demand fell to 1,638 tonnes, a decrease of 388 tonnes from 2024, and central bank demand also unexpectedly declined, indicating that weakening underlying demand could impact future price trends despite rising prices.
- Silver Demand Analysis: In 2025, industrial demand for silver slightly decreased to 677 million ounces, and although investment demand increased, it was not enough to fully offset the decline in underlying demand, suggesting challenges in market confidence for silver investments.
- Uncertain Market Outlook: Given the volatility surrounding geopolitical tensions and the Iran War, now may not be the best time to invest in gold and silver, as further speculative money may flow out of these precious metals, impacting their price stability.
See More
Analysis of Current Gold and Silver Market Conditions
- Market Sell-off Impact: The recent broad sell-off in assets has led to volatility in gold and silver prices, and while the long-term outlook remains attractive, investors must reassess risks in the short term, especially when speculative demand dominates.
- Demand Trend Changes: In 2025, total gold demand reached 4,999 tonnes, an increase of 370 tonnes from 2024, but declines in jewelry and central bank demand indicate weakening underlying demand, which could affect future price trajectories.
- Silver Demand Analysis: Total silver demand in 2025 was 1,148 million ounces, down 16 million ounces from 2024; although investment demand increased, it was insufficient to offset declines in industrial and jewelry demand, suggesting ongoing market pressures.
- Geopolitical Risks: Due to uncertainties surrounding the Iran War, speculative funds in gold and silver may flow out in the near term, prompting investors to carefully consider their entry timing to avoid potential market volatility.
See More
Reasons to Stay Committed to the Gold Market
Current Gold Market Trends: Gold prices have recently dropped by about 20% after surging above $5,000, raising questions about the reasons behind this decline, particularly in the context of a strong U.S. dollar and ongoing global economic challenges.
U.S. Government Debt Impact: The U.S. government's financial report revealed a significant negative net worth of $42 trillion, the worst in history, which does not account for unfunded mandates like Social Security, indicating a precarious fiscal situation that could affect gold prices.
Investment Strategies in Gold: Investors are advised to consider various options for gold exposure, including ETFs that track physical gold prices, as well as mining stocks, which may offer leveraged returns in a rising gold market.
Market Outlook and Recommendations: Amidst geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty, gold is viewed as a wealth preservation asset rather than a growth investment, with analysts suggesting that now may be a strategic time to invest in gold-related assets.
See More
Newmont Mining Shares Rise 4.5% Amid Gold Rally
- Stock Price Surge: Newmont Mining (NEM) saw its shares rise by 4.5% at their peak on Friday, logging a total weekly gain of 6%, reflecting investor optimism in response to the rebound in gold prices, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in the gold market.
- Gold Price Fluctuations: Despite a significant drop to four-month lows of $4,100 per ounce on March 23, gold rebounded to $4,500 per ounce on Friday after President Trump extended the pause on U.S. attacks on Iranian energy facilities, resulting in a nearly 10% weekly increase that positively impacted Newmont's performance.
- Financial Strength: Newmont exited 2025 with a record free cash flow of $7.3 billion and repaid $3.4 billion in debt, further solidifying its balance sheet, while also engaging in share repurchases and paying dividends, showcasing its robust financial health.
- Future Outlook: According to Wells Fargo's latest global investment strategy report, gold prices are projected to reach between $6,100 and $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, providing a positive market outlook for Newmont's long-term growth and attracting more investors to buy on dips.
See More
S&P 500 Faces Correction Risk as Iran War Escalates
- Correction Risk Intensifies: As the Iran war stretches into its fifth week, the S&P 500 is just over 8% from its all-time high, facing a correction risk of more than 10%, indicating a sharp deterioration in market sentiment that could further undermine investor confidence.
- Increased Volatility: The S&P 500's breakdown below its 200-day moving average suggests further downside ahead, with the VIX averaging 26 when below that support, indicating that the market will experience heightened volatility, impacting investment strategies.
- Shifting Earnings Expectations: While strong corporate earnings growth and easier fiscal policy still support a market recovery, investor concerns over the prolonged Iran conflict have made the stock market outlook more uncertain, prompting some strategists to turn bearish.
- Employment Data Impact: The upcoming March nonfarm payroll report is expected to show an increase of 57,000 jobs, yet the market must remain vigilant regarding the resilience of the labor market to address potential economic slowdown risks.
See More
Gold Price Decline Weighs on Newmont Stock
- Gold Price Decline: As of March 24, Newmont's (NEM) shares have fallen by 20.3%, significantly worse than the decline of gold ETFs, indicating the high sensitivity of mining stocks to gold price fluctuations, which may lead to decreased investor confidence.
- Strong Dollar Pressure: The strength of the dollar and rising bond yields are pressuring gold prices, diminishing investor interest in gold, which threatens the profitability of mining companies like Newmont and negatively impacts their market performance.
- Rising Energy Costs: The conflict in Iran has pushed oil prices near $100 per barrel, with energy costs accounting for 20% to 30% of Newmont's operating expenses, further squeezing profit margins and increasing operational risks.
- Cautious Future Outlook: While a rebound in gold prices is possible, Newmont faces high debt and capital expenditure risks; however, its investment-grade credit rating and commitment to share buybacks may alleviate some market concerns.
See More
Analysis of Gold and Silver Investment Dynamics
- Rising Speculative Demand: While speculative investments have driven up gold and silver prices, during broad market sell-offs, investors tend to liquidate these assets, leading to increased volatility and questioning their reliability as safe-haven investments.
- Significant Demand Changes: In 2025, gold jewelry demand fell to 1,638 tonnes, a decrease of 388 tonnes from 2024, and central bank demand also unexpectedly declined, indicating that weakening underlying demand could impact future price trends despite rising prices.
- Silver Demand Analysis: In 2025, industrial demand for silver slightly decreased to 677 million ounces, and although investment demand increased, it was not enough to fully offset the decline in underlying demand, suggesting challenges in market confidence for silver investments.
- Uncertain Market Outlook: Given the volatility surrounding geopolitical tensions and the Iran War, now may not be the best time to invest in gold and silver, as further speculative money may flow out of these precious metals, impacting their price stability.
See More
Analysis of Current Gold and Silver Market Conditions
- Market Sell-off Impact: The recent broad sell-off in assets has led to volatility in gold and silver prices, and while the long-term outlook remains attractive, investors must reassess risks in the short term, especially when speculative demand dominates.
- Demand Trend Changes: In 2025, total gold demand reached 4,999 tonnes, an increase of 370 tonnes from 2024, but declines in jewelry and central bank demand indicate weakening underlying demand, which could affect future price trajectories.
- Silver Demand Analysis: Total silver demand in 2025 was 1,148 million ounces, down 16 million ounces from 2024; although investment demand increased, it was insufficient to offset declines in industrial and jewelry demand, suggesting ongoing market pressures.
- Geopolitical Risks: Due to uncertainties surrounding the Iran War, speculative funds in gold and silver may flow out in the near term, prompting investors to carefully consider their entry timing to avoid potential market volatility.
See More
Reasons to Stay Committed to the Gold Market
Current Gold Market Trends: Gold prices have recently dropped by about 20% after surging above $5,000, raising questions about the reasons behind this decline, particularly in the context of a strong U.S. dollar and ongoing global economic challenges.
U.S. Government Debt Impact: The U.S. government's financial report revealed a significant negative net worth of $42 trillion, the worst in history, which does not account for unfunded mandates like Social Security, indicating a precarious fiscal situation that could affect gold prices.
Investment Strategies in Gold: Investors are advised to consider various options for gold exposure, including ETFs that track physical gold prices, as well as mining stocks, which may offer leveraged returns in a rising gold market.
Market Outlook and Recommendations: Amidst geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty, gold is viewed as a wealth preservation asset rather than a growth investment, with analysts suggesting that now may be a strategic time to invest in gold-related assets.
See More
Newmont Mining Shares Rise 4.5% Amid Gold Rally
- Stock Price Surge: Newmont Mining (NEM) saw its shares rise by 4.5% at their peak on Friday, logging a total weekly gain of 6%, reflecting investor optimism in response to the rebound in gold prices, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in the gold market.
- Gold Price Fluctuations: Despite a significant drop to four-month lows of $4,100 per ounce on March 23, gold rebounded to $4,500 per ounce on Friday after President Trump extended the pause on U.S. attacks on Iranian energy facilities, resulting in a nearly 10% weekly increase that positively impacted Newmont's performance.
- Financial Strength: Newmont exited 2025 with a record free cash flow of $7.3 billion and repaid $3.4 billion in debt, further solidifying its balance sheet, while also engaging in share repurchases and paying dividends, showcasing its robust financial health.
- Future Outlook: According to Wells Fargo's latest global investment strategy report, gold prices are projected to reach between $6,100 and $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, providing a positive market outlook for Newmont's long-term growth and attracting more investors to buy on dips.
See More
S&P 500 Faces Correction Risk as Iran War Escalates
- Correction Risk Intensifies: As the Iran war stretches into its fifth week, the S&P 500 is just over 8% from its all-time high, facing a correction risk of more than 10%, indicating a sharp deterioration in market sentiment that could further undermine investor confidence.
- Increased Volatility: The S&P 500's breakdown below its 200-day moving average suggests further downside ahead, with the VIX averaging 26 when below that support, indicating that the market will experience heightened volatility, impacting investment strategies.
- Shifting Earnings Expectations: While strong corporate earnings growth and easier fiscal policy still support a market recovery, investor concerns over the prolonged Iran conflict have made the stock market outlook more uncertain, prompting some strategists to turn bearish.
- Employment Data Impact: The upcoming March nonfarm payroll report is expected to show an increase of 57,000 jobs, yet the market must remain vigilant regarding the resilience of the labor market to address potential economic slowdown risks.
See More
Gold Price Decline Weighs on Newmont Stock
- Gold Price Decline: As of March 24, Newmont's (NEM) shares have fallen by 20.3%, significantly worse than the decline of gold ETFs, indicating the high sensitivity of mining stocks to gold price fluctuations, which may lead to decreased investor confidence.
- Strong Dollar Pressure: The strength of the dollar and rising bond yields are pressuring gold prices, diminishing investor interest in gold, which threatens the profitability of mining companies like Newmont and negatively impacts their market performance.
- Rising Energy Costs: The conflict in Iran has pushed oil prices near $100 per barrel, with energy costs accounting for 20% to 30% of Newmont's operating expenses, further squeezing profit margins and increasing operational risks.
- Cautious Future Outlook: While a rebound in gold prices is possible, Newmont faces high debt and capital expenditure risks; however, its investment-grade credit rating and commitment to share buybacks may alleviate some market concerns.
See More
