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NEM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Newmont Corporation (NEM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
109.300
1 Day change
-4.82%
52 Week Range
134.880
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Newmont Corporation (NEM) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock benefits from strong hedge fund buying, a bullish technical setup, and positive long-term catalysts such as increased gold price forecasts and strong gross margin growth. While short-term sentiment is neutral, the long-term outlook aligns with the investor's strategy.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show a bullish trend with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, and the MACD histogram is positive at 0.92, indicating upward momentum. The RSI is neutral at 46.295, and the stock is trading near a key support level (S1: 110.619).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates a bullish sentiment with more call activity relative to puts, and implied volatility is high at 52.25, suggesting strong market interest.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 364.37% increase in buying over the last quarter.

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly in recent months, with targets as high as $

  • Strong gross margin growth (up 32.17% YoY) and increased revenue (up 20.63% YoY) in the latest quarter.

  • Positive developments in gold price forecasts and geopolitical uncertainty favoring gold as a safe haven asset.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Net income and EPS have declined YoY (-7.27% and -4.03%, respectively).

  • Minor operational disruptions at Cadia, although the impact is manageable.

  • Analyst downgrade from National Bank with a reduced price target of $130.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Newmont's revenue increased by 20.63% YoY to $6.818 billion, and gross margin improved by 32.17% YoY to 60.52. However, net income dropped by 7.27% YoY to $1.301 billion, and EPS declined by 4.03% YoY to $1.19.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views, with recent upgrades and raised price targets as high as $177. However, there was a recent downgrade to Sector Perform with a price target of $130. The overall sentiment remains positive with multiple Buy ratings.

Wall Street analysts forecast NEM stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NEM stock price to fall
11 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 114.840
sliders
Low
89
Averages
110.85
High
125
Current: 114.840
sliders
Low
89
Averages
110.85
High
125
CIBC
Anita Soni
Outperformer
downgrade
$177 -> $176
AI Analysis
2026-04-21
New
Reason
CIBC
Anita Soni
Price Target
$177 -> $176
AI Analysis
2026-04-21
New
downgrade
Outperformer
Reason
CIBC analyst Anita Soni lowered the firm's price target on Newmont to $176 from $177 and keeps an Outperformer rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the gold and base metals group as part of a Q1 preview. CIBC believes the 20% selloff in gold from its January high and the "flip-flop" in Federal Reserve funds expectations will "support a bounce in the asset's price." The analyst remains optimistic on gold and sees a solid entry point at current share levels. CIBC has also adopted a more constructive outlook on base metal equities, seeing rising commodity tailwinds rom ongoing supply constraints.
National Bank
Outperform
to
Sector Perform
downgrade
$140 -> $130
2026-04-17
New
Reason
National Bank
Price Target
$140 -> $130
2026-04-17
New
downgrade
Outperform
to
Sector Perform
Reason
National Bank last night downgraded Newmont to Sector Perform from Outperform with a price target of $130, down from $140. The company's costs are rising from higher diesel prices, a new tax framework in Ghana, and the operations pause at the Cadia mine, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm also believes Newmont's Q! EBITDA will be hurt by lower production at Boddington related to bush fires, scheduled downtime at Nevada Gold Mines and higher operating costs in Ghana.
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