MSCI Defers Exclusion Rules, Corporate Bitcoin Holders Rally
MSCI's decision to defer restrictive exclusion rules sparked a relief rally for corporate bitcoin holders. While treasury strategies dominated the headlines, traditional financial institutions continued their march on-chain with new tokenization pilots and ETF filings, even as miners adjusted their balance sheets to weather revenue pressures. Stay up on the crypto news that matters with "Crypto Currents," daily from The Fly. Join us at 2 PM ET for your essential briefing on the fast-moving world of cryptocurrency on FlyCast radio.MSCI DEFERRAL DECISION BOOSTS CRYPTO TREASURY STOCKS: In a significant development for equities with heavy digital asset exposure, index provider MSCIhas decided not to implement its proposal to exclude "Digital Asset Treasury Companies," or DATCOs, from its global indexes during the February 2026 review., the index provider will instead open a broader consultation on the treatment of non-operating companies. The deferral removes a near-term technical risk that could have forced investors to sell shares of companies that use digital assets like bitcoinor etheras primary treasury reserve assets, preserving benchmark-related capital inflows for now.The news provided an immediate lift to the sector, with the largest corporate bitcoin holder, Strategy, surging 6% in after-hours trading on Tuesday. Other firms with similar treasury strategies, including Bitmine Immersion, Sharplink Gaming, and Twenty One Capital, also saw modest gains following the announcement. Additionally, Strategy's perpetual preferred stockreclaimed the $100 par value level for the first time since November. This return to par allows the company to potentially issue more shares through at-the-market offerings to fund further bitcoin purchases.RIOT AND CLEANSPARK ADJUST BITCOIN TREASURIES AMID REVENUE PRESSURE:While treasury firms saw relief, bitcoin miners spent December adjusting their holdings to manage operational realities.that Riot Platformssold $162M worth of bitcoin in December, reducing its treasury to 18,005 BTC. The sale, which marked Riot's largest single-month liquidation to date, coincided with a slump in "hashprice", a term defined as a measure of mining profitability, back toward cycle lows. Riot was not alone in this strategy, as peer miner CleanSparksold 577 BTC in December, generating $51.5M in proceeds. The sales come as miners grapple with compressed margins while continuing to expand capacity, with Riot increasing its deployed hashrate to 38.5 EH/s.JPMORGAN EXPANDS JPM COIN TO CANTON NETWORK:JPMorganis significantly expanding the utility of its blockchain-based payment rail., the bank's digital payments division, Kinexys, is launching JPM Coin on the Canton Network, a layer-1 blockchain designed for institutional finance. This integration allows JPM Coin to function as a deposit token representing U.S. dollars held at the bank, facilitating 24/7 peer-to-peer transfers and settlements. In related developments, Lloyds Banking Group (LYG) completed the U.K.'s first government bond purchase using tokenized deposits, and Barclaysinvested in Ubyx to develop clearing systems for tokenized money,.CORPORATE WEB3 ADOPTION STRATEGIES DIVERGE:Corporate adoption of Web3 technologies remains mixed. Rumble (RUM) shares moved higher after the video platform launched a non-custodial crypto wallet in partnership with Tether.the integration allows creators to receive tips in bitcoin and stablecoins directly. Conversely, Nikehas reportedly sold its NFT studio, RTFKT, ending a high-profile metaverse experiment. The sale follows the shutdown of the subsidiary's operations amid a cooling NFT market.REGULATORY LANDSCAPE SHIFTS WITH ALL REPUBLICAN SEC COMMISSION:The regulatory outlook in Washington is shifting, with the SEC now comprised entirely of Republican commissioners following the departure of Caroline Crenshaw. This "unusual" composition is expected to pave the way for a pro-crypto rulemaking agenda in 2026, potentially removing prior hurdles for the industry..PRICE ACTION:As of time of writing, bitcoin was trading at$91, 237.43, while ether was trading at $3,159.39,.
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- IPO Scale and Pricing: SpaceX is set to debut on Nasdaq, aiming to raise approximately $75 billion with a share price of $135, targeting a valuation of $1.75 trillion, reflecting strong market confidence in its growth potential.
- MSCI Inclusion Standards: MSCI will apply its standard methodology for early inclusion of large IPOs, with SpaceX expected to meet its size and free-float criteria, paving the way for its entry into global standard indexes.
- Surge in Investment Demand: If SpaceX is added to MSCI indexes, it will fuel demand from passively managed investment funds, further driving inflows into Nasdaq 100 and FTSE Russell indexes, enhancing market dynamism.
- Competitor Responses: Nasdaq has updated its rules to expedite the inclusion of newly listed megacaps, while FTSE Russell has also announced fast-entry rules, indicating heightened market focus and intensified competition for large IPOs.
- Investor Trust Crisis: Indonesian President Prabowo's growth agenda is jeopardized by a plunging currency, with the rupiah down over 8% this year to a record low of 18,190 per USD, severely undermining investor confidence and potentially impacting future investment decisions.
- Escalating Capital Outflows: By the end of May, foreign net outflows from Indonesian stocks reached $3.2 billion, the largest since 2009, with foreign ownership of government bonds plummeting from nearly 40% pre-pandemic to just 12.6%, reflecting a pessimistic outlook on Indonesia's economic prospects.
- Rising Rating Risks: Moody's and Fitch have downgraded Indonesia's debt rating outlook to negative, raising concerns that any further downgrades could force investors to sell off assets, driving up borrowing costs and affecting the country's financing capabilities and economic growth.
- Declining Policy Transparency: The Prabowo administration has passed sweeping laws granting parliament more power to intervene in the central bank's independence, which analysts believe will undermine policy effectiveness, potentially leading to decreased governance efficiency and increasing market uncertainty.
- Executive Appointment: MSCI announced the appointment of Kashi Kakarla as Chief Technology Officer and Head of Product Engineering effective June 22, reporting to Chairman and CEO Henry Fernandez, which is expected to drive innovation in technology and products.
- Technology Leadership: Kakarla will lead product technology and engineering across all product lines and client segments at MSCI, aiming to enhance the company's competitiveness in AI and technology transformation, thereby strengthening its market position.
- Silicon Valley Office: He will also establish a new MSCI office in Silicon Valley as an innovation and talent center, emphasizing the company's commitment to technological advancement and transformation in AI.
- Extensive Experience: Kakarla brings 17 years of experience from Intuit, where he transformed multiple products and platforms, most recently leading technology and engineering for the Intuit Small Business Platform, showcasing his capability in driving technological innovation.
- Executive Appointment: MSCI announced the appointment of Kashi Kakarla as Chief Technology Officer and Head of Product Engineering, effective June 22, bringing extensive industry experience from his previous role leading technology and engineering for the Intuit Small Business Platform.
- Technology Leadership: At MSCI, Kakarla will oversee product technology and engineering across all product lines and client segments, aiming to enhance the company's competitiveness and innovation capabilities in the fintech sector.
- New Office Establishment: Kakarla will also lead the establishment of a new MSCI office in Silicon Valley as an innovation and talent center, further advancing the company's strategic positioning in technology.
- Market Performance: In pre-market trading, MSCI shares are priced at $630.39, up 0.02%, indicating a positive market response to the new leadership, which may bolster investor confidence.
- Openlane Upgrade: JPMorgan upgraded Openlane from neutral to overweight and raised its December 2026 price target to $38, indicating that the online used car marketplace is experiencing robust growth and has potential for sustainable expansion over the coming years.
- Dollar General Downgrade: Deutsche Bank downgraded Dollar General from buy to hold, citing challenges in its customer base and the widening gap in the K-shaped economy, which may limit same-store sales upside, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company.
- Ecolab Upgrade: UBS upgraded Ecolab from neutral to buy and raised its price target to $325, demonstrating strong demand and positive performance expectations for the chemicals company amid a favorable market environment.
- FedEx Upgrade: JPMorgan upgraded FedEx from neutral to overweight, expressing optimism ahead of its upcoming earnings report, particularly regarding the separation of its freight business, which is seen as an attractive risk-reward opportunity.
- IPO Valuation Target: SpaceX is aiming for a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation upon its Nasdaq debut, positioning itself as one of the most valuable companies in the market and likely attracting significant investor interest.
- Diverse Revenue Streams: According to the latest S1 filing, SpaceX's 'Space' and 'Connectivity' segments generated over $4 billion in revenue in 2025, showcasing its strong market position in rocket launches and satellite internet services.
- Industry Classification Challenges: Given SpaceX's involvement in multiple sectors, MSCI and S&P face complexities in determining its final industry classification, which could place it in either the Communication Services or Industrials sector, impacting its appeal to investors.
- Future Growth Potential: Musk indicated that future AI computing will rely on solar-powered satellites in space, and SpaceX's innovative approach to data centers could enable it to achieve lower operational costs over time, thereby securing a more advantageous position in the market.









