MTN

Vail Resorts Inc

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152.880

-2.76(-1.773%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

156.2499

Open

156.030

VWAP

153.66

Vol

604.10K

Mkt Cap

5.68B

Low

152.310

Amount

92.82M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

9.79

Total Shares

37.62M

8.35B

EV/OCF(TTM)

13.21

P/S(TTM)

1.97

Vail Resorts, Inc. is a network of destination and close-to-home ski resorts in the world including Vail Mountain, Breckenridge, Park City Mountain, Whistler Blackcomb, Stowe, and 32 additional resorts across North America; Andermatt-Sedrun and Crans-Montana Mountain Resort in Switzerland; and Perisher, Hotham, and Falls Creek in Australia - all available on the Company's Epic Pass. The Company's segments include Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate. It also provides ancillary services, primarily including ski school, dining and retail/rental operations. The Company owns and/or manages a collection of elegant hotels under the RockResorts brand, a portfolio of vacation rentals, condominiums and branded hotels located in close proximity to its mountain destinations, as well as the Grand Teton Lodge Company in Jackson Hole, Wyo. The Company operates more than 250 retail and rental locations across North America. It owns, develops and sells real estate in and around its resort communities.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q2

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

1.16B

+2.37%

6.636

+1.16%

269.63M

+3.59%

-4.906

+6.43%

272.87M

+2.82%

-4.797

+2.73%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.7% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 9.83%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.7%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+1.87%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+9.83%

In Past 3 Month

8 Analyst Rating

18.48% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast MTN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTN is 181.13 USD with a low forecast of 146.00 USD and a high forecast of 244.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

4 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

18.48% Upside

Current: 152.880

Low

146.00

Averages

181.13

High

244.00

18.48% Upside

Current: 152.880

Low

146.00

Averages

181.13

High

244.00

UBS

Neutral

downgrade

$185 -> $169

2025-06-11

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$185 -> $169

2025-06-11

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

UBS lowered the firm's price target on Vail Resorts to $169 from $185 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Pass unit growth is likely to remain in negative territory for the '25-'26 ski season, and Vail's 7% pricing could translate into a 2%-3% net pricing increase given the Epic pass mix, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm estimates underlying same-store visitation down -2% to -3%for Vail this year after what has been an overall decent ski season and snow conditions throughout the season.

Morgan Stanley

Megan Alexander

Equal Weight

maintain

$152 -> $146

2025-06-06

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Megan Alexander

Price Target

$152 -> $146

2025-06-06

maintain

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley analyst Megan Alexander lowered the firm's price target on Vail Resorts to $146 from $152 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. With certain financial updates provided last week alongside the CEO transition, the only new "news" from a fundamental perspective from yesterday's report was the quantification of season-to-date pass sales, which are down 1% in units and up 2% in dollars, the analyst tells investors. The latter is "a bit disappointing" as it implies price/mix up 3% relative to a pass price increase of 7% and should mean FY26 estimates will come down, the analyst added in a note following the company's Q3 report.

Truist

Buy

maintain

$247 -> $244

2025-06-06

Reason

Truist

Price Target

$247 -> $244

2025-06-06

maintain

Buy

Reason

Truist lowered the firm's price target on Vail Resorts to $244 from $247 but keeps a Buy rating on the shares after its Q3 earnings beat. While still light on specifics, the firm is "encouraged" by commentary from the "new" CEO that sounds like he is working on some new ideas on making needed improvements, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Improvements, which the company made clear will not all happen overnight, include better consistency on guest and employee experience throughout the season which in theory should lead to stronger revenue growth, Truist added.

JPMorgan

Underweight -> Neutral

upgrade

$167

2025-05-28

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$167

2025-05-28

upgrade

Underweight -> Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan upgraded Vail Resorts to Neutral from Underweight with an unchanged price target of $167. The firm sees a favorable risk/reward at current share levels. With the stock down 20% in the past 12 months, Vail is fairly valued today with $100 of equity value tied to "idiosyncratic opportunity," the analyst tells investors in a research note.

BofA

Shaun Kelley

Neutral

maintain

$160 -> $175

2025-05-28

Reason

BofA

Shaun Kelley

Price Target

$160 -> $175

2025-05-28

maintain

Neutral

Reason

BofA analyst Shaun Kelley raised the firm's price target on Vail Resorts to $175 from $160 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after the company announced that Executive Chair Rob Katz will be reappointed CEO, replacing Kirsten Lynch. The immediate transition shows a sense of urgency and the firm's sense is re-accelerating revenue growth is "top of mind," says the analyst, who raised the firm's price target to reflect market rerating as it believes the CEO change is "an important step to re-engage all stakeholders."

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight

downgrade

$178 -> $152

2025-04-25

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$178 -> $152

2025-04-25

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Vail Resorts to $152 from $178 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares after the company reported season-to-date metrics and spring pass sales in addition to updating its full-year guidance. Post a follow-up call with management, the firm's FY25 and FY26 EBITDA estimates are now $866M and $904M, respectively, versus $874M and $912M previously.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Vail Resorts Inc (MTN.N) is 21.24, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 65.61. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Vail Resorts Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

65.61

Current PE

21.24

Overvalued PE

211.79

Undervalued PE

-80.57

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

14.75

Current EV/EBITDA

9.74

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

19.80

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

9.69

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PS

3.55

Current PS

1.90

Overvalued PS

4.80

Undervalued PS

2.29