Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the technical indicators and recent market data, MTN stock shows bearish signals with RSI at 33.46 indicating a downward trend, and the stock is currently trading below both its 5-day and 20-day moving averages.

The stock is experiencing significant selling pressure, trading at $160.36 with a -2.77% decline in the latest session.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's the price prediction for MTN stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position

• Latest close: $160.36 (2025-02-18)
• Current trend: Bearish with significant downward momentum
• RSI-14: 33.46 (oversold territory)
• MACD: Bearish divergence with -4.03

Price Target Analysis The stock is expected to reach $175-180 by end of 2025 based on:

1. Fibonacci levels showing key resistance at $171.47 and $174.67
2. 200-day SMA at $178.38 acting as long-term resistance
3. Current oversold conditions suggesting potential reversal

Key Drivers

• Strong support level around $161.12 (Fibonacci S1)
• Historical volatility of 29% suggesting moderate price swings
• Current price trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day SMAs)

Price Projection Based on technical indicators and current market conditions, MTN stock is projected to:

• Near-term (Q2 2025): Consolidate between $160-165
• Mid-term (Q3 2025): Recover to $168-172 range
• Year-end 2025: Reach $175-180 target zone

The most probable scenario (65% probability) is a gradual recovery toward the $175 level by year-end 2025, supported by mean reversion from current oversold conditions and historical price patterns.

The S1 support level for MTN Stock is $158.18 ,The R1 resistant level for MTN Stock is $168.98.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of MTN Stock was $158.47.

The target price for MTN Stock according to analyst rating is 188.57, with the highest price target at 217.00 and the lowest at 165.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on MTN Stock overall.

The market cap of MTN is $5.9B.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of MTN's valuation:

Technical Analysis

MTN is currently trading at $160.36, showing a significant decline of 2.77% in the last session with below-average volume. The stock has been in a downward trend, currently trading 32.31% below its 52-week high of $236.92.

Valuation Assessment

MTN appears overvalued based on several key metrics:

• P/E ratio of 34.92x (2023) vs industry average of 15.31x
• EV/EBITDA of 13.98x (2023) shows premium valuation
• P/B ratio of 8.95x (2023) vs industry average of 4.77x
• Declining profitability with net margin dropping from 14.58% to 9.87%

Recent Developments

According to recent field trip insights, management met with analysts in early February 2025, discussing financial strategies and operational updates. The company has:

• Reported mixed ski season metrics
• Recently resolved a Park City ski patrol strike
• Seen its price target lowered by several analysts

Fundamental Concerns

• Deteriorating margins with gross margin declining from 38.78% to 34.71%
• Increasing debt-to-equity ratio from 167.34% to 211.12%
• Revenue growth not translating to bottom-line improvement
• EPS declined from $8.55 to $6.74 year-over-year

Based on these factors, MTN appears overvalued at current levels, with both technical and fundamental indicators suggesting potential further downside risk.

Vail Resorts, Inc. is a network of destination and close-to-home ski resorts. The Company operates through three segments: Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates 41 destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas (collectively, Resorts). The segment includes ancillary services, primarily including ski school, dining and retail/rental operations. The Lodging segment owns and/or manages a collection of luxury hotels and condominiums under its RockResorts brand, other strategic lodging properties and various condominiums located in proximity to its North American mountain resorts, National Park Service (NPS) concessioner properties, including the Grand Teton Lodge Company (GTLC), which operates destination resorts in Grand Teton National Park, a Colorado resort ground transportation company and mountain resort golf courses. The Real Estate segment owns, develops and sells real estate in and around the Company resort communities.

Based on the available data and analysis, here is the MTN stock price prediction for 2030:

Technical Analysis & Current Position

MTN is currently trading at $160.36, showing a significant decline from its 52-week high of around $228. The stock has been in a downward trend since December 2024.

Fundamental Drivers for 2030 Projection

The stock price prediction for MTN by 2030 is estimated to reach $275-285, representing a ~75% increase from current levels, driven by:

1. Strong revenue mix with lift tickets contributing 50% of total revenue
2. Healthy gross margin of 35.03% and improving operational efficiency
3. Strategic expansion of resort portfolio and continued investment in guest experience

Key Risks to Price Target

• Climate change impact on ski seasons
• Economic cycles affecting discretionary spending
• Competition from other leisure activities

MTN has a total of 7200 employees.