MOODY'S: OCIC'S STRONG CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY MAY DECLINE DUE TO NET OUTFLOWS DURING OUTLOOK PERIOD

Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst

Source: moomoo

Updated: 14 hours ago

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OWL+0.24%

Should l Buy OWL?

Source: moomoo

Current Capital and Liquidity Position: Moody's indicates that the current strong capital and liquidity positions of organizations may start to diminish.
Concerns Over Net Outflows: There are concerns that net outflows could impact the overall outlook for these organizations.

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Analyst Views on OWL

Wall Street analysts forecast OWL stock price to rise

15 Analyst Rating

12 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 8.450

Low

18.00

Averages

21.13

High

28.00

Current: 8.450

Low

18.00

Averages

21.13

High

28.00

Barclays

Equal Weight

downgrade

$11 -> $9

2026-04-08

New

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$11 -> $9

AI Analysis

2026-04-08

New

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Blue Owl Capital to $9 from $11 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the brokers, asset managers and exchanges group as part of a Q1 earnings preview. The analyst reduced realizations estimates again and expects messaging "to be a bit less constructive" this quarter. Barclays finds shares of the alternative asset managers attractive and thinks Q1 "could be a bit of a clearing event."

Piper Sandler

Overweight

downgrade

$15

2026-04-07

New

Reason

Piper Sandler

Price Target

$15

2026-04-07

New

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Blue Owl Capital to $12.50 from $15 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes asset managers have endured a difficult start to 2026, lagging both the broader market and the financial sector. This weakness is driven by heightened scrutiny on private credit, elevated redemptions in direct lending wealth products, softer equity markets, and a muted capital markets outlook tied to volatility and the Iran War. While these macro headwinds will not dissipate overnight, Piper believes draconian downside scenarios are already priced into much of its coverage universe.

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About OWL

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an alternative asset management company. The Company deploys private capital across Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate platforms on behalf of institutional and private wealth clients. Its product platforms include Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate. Its credit products offer private financing solutions primarily to upper-middle-market companies. Its credit products are offered through a mix of business development companies, long-dated private funds, managed accounts and collateralized loan obligations. It is focused on acquiring equity stakes in or providing debt financing to private capital firms. Its Real Estate products are focused on acquiring triple net lease real estate occupied by investment-grade or creditworthy tenants. Its Real Estate products are offered through Permanent Capital vehicles, including its real estate investment trusts, and long-dated private funds. It offers asset management services to the insurance industry.

About the author

Emily J. Thompson

Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

BLUE OWL CAPITAL INC.: BARCLAYS LOWERS TARGET PRICE FROM $11 TO $9

3 hours agomoomoo

Barclays Target Price Adjustment: Barclays has reduced its target price for Blue Owl Capital from $11 to $9.
Market Implications: This adjustment may reflect changing market conditions or company performance expectations.

Moody's Cuts Blue Owl Capital's Outlook to Negative Amid Redemption Pressures

5 hours agoseekingalpha

Redemption Pressure Intensifies: Moody's has downgraded the outlook for Blue Owl Credit Income Corp. to negative from stable due to redemption requests reaching 21.9% in Q1, despite withdrawals being capped at 5%.
Significant Industry Impact: The broader private credit market is experiencing rising redemption pressures, with investors seeking to withdraw approximately $13 billion from over a dozen funds in Q1, raising concerns over underwriting standards and liquidity terms.
Strong Financial Position: Blue Owl Capital asserts its conservative financial profile with a leverage ratio of just 0.8X and strong underlying credit performance, positioning itself as a solid investment opportunity despite redemption pressures.
Negative Market Reaction: Shares of Blue Owl Capital hit a record low earlier this week, reflecting market concerns over downside risks associated with its heavy exposure to software companies, with Moody's expecting elevated redemptions to persist and inflows to slow further.