Moderna (MRNA) Projects $1.9B Revenue for 2025, Cuts Operating Expenses by $200M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 12 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MRNA?
Source: Benzinga
- Revenue Forecast Increase: Moderna expects approximately $1.9 billion in revenue for 2025, which is $100 million above the previously communicated midpoint during its third-quarter earnings call, reflecting confidence in future market demand despite broader market pressures.
- Operating Expense Reduction: The company has improved its 2025 GAAP operating expense forecast by $200 million, with an anticipated year-end cash balance of about $8.1 billion, enhancing financial flexibility to support future R&D initiatives.
- Pipeline Progress: Moderna anticipates potential first approvals for its seasonal flu vaccine and flu/COVID combination vaccine in 2026, while its personalized cancer vaccine mRNA-4157, in collaboration with Merck, is undergoing multiple clinical trials, showcasing its ongoing commitment to innovative drug development.
- Enhanced Financing Support: The company announced the closing of a five-year term loan facility for up to $1.5 billion and secured a funding commitment of up to $54.3 million to support a Phase 3 trial for its investigational H5 pandemic influenza vaccine, further solidifying its commitment to public health.
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Analyst Views on MRNA
Wall Street analysts forecast MRNA stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
16 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 53.390
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
Current: 53.390
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
About MRNA
Moderna, Inc. is a biotechnology company. The Company is advancing a new class of medicines made of messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). It is developing therapeutics and vaccines for infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases and autoimmune diseases. mRNA medicines are designed to direct the body’s cells to produce intracellular, membrane or secreted proteins that have a therapeutic or preventive benefit with the potential to address a spectrum of diseases. The Company’s diverse development pipeline consists of 44 therapeutic and vaccine programs, 11 of which are in late-stage development. Its commercial products include Spikevax (its COVID vaccine) and mRESVIA (its respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine). Additionally, it has achieved four positive Phase III data readouts for its COVID vaccine (mRNA-1283), its RSV vaccine for high-risk adults aged 18 to 59 (mRNA-1345), its seasonal flu+COVID vaccine (mRNA-1083), and its seasonal flu vaccine (mRNA-1010).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Positive Market Reaction: With the committee's adjustment, mRNA vaccines, widely used during the pandemic, are back in focus for investors, enhancing expectations for future vaccine demand for companies like Moderna (MRNA) and BioNTech (BNTX).
- Safety Controversies: Despite the positive signals from the committee's decision, some ACIP members have raised concerns about the potential harm of DNA elements in the vaccines, which could affect public acceptance and potentially impact future sales for these companies.
- Financial Outlook: BioNTech has outlined a revenue target of €2 billion to €2.3 billion for 2026, and despite facing leadership transitions and competitive pressures, the company continues to advance its late-stage oncology pipeline, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
See More
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- Executive Transition: Co-founders Ugur Sahin and Özlem Türeci plan to lead a new venture by the end of 2026, prompting BioNTech's Supervisory Board to initiate a search for successors, which may impact the company's strategic direction and market confidence.
- Clinical Trial Progress: BioNTech expects to have 15 ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials by the end of 2026, covering major cancer types, with the resulting data informing regulatory and launch plans, potentially enhancing the company's competitiveness in oncology.
- Stock Performance: BioNTech's shares have decreased by 3.03% over the past 12 months, currently trading at $87.60, which is 18% below its 100-day simple moving average, reflecting a bearish market sentiment that could affect investor confidence.
- Market Momentum Analysis: With a Benzinga Edge score of 19.82 indicating weak momentum, BioNTech's stock is underperforming the broader market, although the strategic pivot may present future growth opportunities, current market sentiment remains negative.
See More
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See More
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- Positive Market Reaction: Analyst from William Blair noted that investors are optimistic about Prasad's exit, believing it will benefit regulatory approvals for rare disease drugs, especially those utilizing single-arm studies and external controls.
- Potential Gains for Moderna: With Prasad's departure, Moderna's mRNA-1010 vaccine could qualify for full approval in adults aged 65 and older, potentially sparing the company from conducting an additional costly vaccine efficacy study.
- Stock Price Increases: Following the news of Prasad's resignation, stocks of Solid Biosciences and Capricor Therapeutics rose by 12.15% and 9.07%, respectively, indicating increased market confidence in rare disease treatments.
See More
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- FDA Leadership Change: Vinay Prasad, the FDA's vaccine chief, announced his resignation effective at the end of April following widespread criticism of his decisions from the biotech and pharmaceutical sectors, illustrating the challenges and pressures regulatory bodies face in managing public health crises.
- Changing Canadian Consumption Trends: Canadians continue to boycott U.S. goods, with data indicating a shift towards domestic brands and increased local tourism spending, a trend that could significantly impact Canada's GDP and inflation rates in the long term.
See More
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- Clinical Trial Challenges: The FDA previously indicated that uniQure could pursue accelerated approval without a placebo control due to difficulties in enrolling Huntington's disease patients, reflecting regulatory flexibility for rare diseases, yet this has sparked ongoing debates about clinical trial design.
- Strong Market Reaction: Following the news of Prasad's departure, uniQure's shares reportedly jumped as much as 70% in after-hours trading, reflecting investor expectations for a potential easing of tensions between the company and the FDA, which could pave the way for future product approvals.
See More
