Mizuho Lowers Price Targets on Quantum Computing Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy QBTS?
Source: seekingalpha
- Price Target Cuts: Mizuho has reduced the price targets for D-Wave Quantum from $40 to $31, Rigetti Computing from $43 to $33, and IonQ from $80 to $61, yet analysts maintain an Outperform rating on all three, reflecting confidence in the long-term potential of quantum computing.
- Market Share Expectations: Analysts project that IonQ will capture a 16% market share in the quantum computing market by 2030, with fiscal 2026/2027 revenues expected to grow by 81% and 42% year-over-year, thereby reinforcing IonQ's leadership in the sector.
- Rigetti's Technological Advancements: Rigetti is anticipated to hold a 10% market share by 2030, with projected revenue growth of approximately 300% and 100% for fiscal 2026/2027, while maintaining gross margins of about 39% and 49%, indicating ongoing improvements in its superconducting technology.
- D-Wave's Market Potential: D-Wave is expected to achieve nearly a 10% market share by 2030, with revenue and EPS growth of 82% and 93% for fiscal 2026/2027, and gross margins exceeding 75%, suggesting that its dual-platform strategy may provide a long-term competitive edge.
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Analyst Views on QBTS
Wall Street analysts forecast QBTS stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 13.870
Low
35.00
Averages
40.67
High
48.00
Current: 13.870
Low
35.00
Averages
40.67
High
48.00
About QBTS
D-Wave Quantum Inc. is a quantum computing company, which is engaged in the development and delivery of quantum computing systems, software, and services. The Company builds and delivers systems, cloud services, application development tools, and professional services to support the end-to-end quantum computing journey for enterprises and developers. The Company's products include Cloud Platform, Systems, Professional Services, and others. Under its Cloud Platform, the Leap quantum cloud service delivers immediate, real-time access to its quantum computers and hybrid solvers services. Under its Systems, the Advantage quantum system is a quantum computer designed for business. It also offers quantum applications to a range of customers, including resource scheduling, factory scheduling, industrial construction design, drug discovery, and others. It offers solutions across workforce scheduling, production scheduling, vehicle routing, resource optimization, and cargo loading.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
D-Wave Systems Faces Execution Risks Amid Quantum Hype
- Market Potential and Risks: D-Wave Systems (NYSE: QBTS) is emerging as a highlight in commercial quantum computing, yet its stock remains caught between significant upside potential and serious execution risks, necessitating cautious evaluation by investors.
- Market Confidence Issues: Despite high expectations for D-Wave's future, analysts remain skeptical about its ability to achieve commercialization, particularly regarding whether the company can fulfill the promises made during the hype.
- Investment Recommendations: The Motley Fool's analyst team has identified 10 top stocks for investors to consider, notably excluding D-Wave Quantum, indicating a lack of confidence in its future performance that may influence investor decisions.
- Historical Return Comparisons: Compared to the investment returns of Netflix in 2004 and Nvidia in 2005, D-Wave's performance has yet to demonstrate similar potential, reflecting the challenges it faces in a highly competitive market.
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- Market Potential Analysis: D-Wave Systems' stock price increased by 3.14% on April 7, 2026, indicating strong market interest in its quantum computing commercialization, although it still faces execution risks, suggesting investor caution regarding future growth.
- Execution Risk Warning: Despite showing potential for commercialization, D-Wave Systems' success hinges on its ability to effectively address market skepticism about its technology; failure to achieve expected growth could lead to increased stock price volatility.
- Market Confidence Trends: The video analysis highlights that D-Wave Systems' future development will depend on its ability to deliver on promises in the quantum computing space; successfully attracting more investors could enhance market confidence and drive stock price increases.
- Industry Competitive Pressure: In the quantum computing sector, D-Wave Systems faces competition from other tech companies, and failure to achieve breakthroughs in technology and market promotion could impact its market share and long-term growth prospects.
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- Stock Pullback: D-Wave Quantum's share price fell by 23.2% in March, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined by 5.1% and 4.8%, respectively, indicating the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Market Sentiment Impact: Despite the absence of negative company-specific news, D-Wave's stock is down approximately 45% year-to-date due to risk-off sentiment stemming from the Iran war, highlighting its high dependence on macroeconomic changes.
- Oil Price Volatility: Iran's move to reduce the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, a route for 20% of global oil shipments, has led to spikes in oil prices, exacerbating market uncertainty and affecting investor confidence in D-Wave.
- Analyst Rating Adjustment: Mizuho's report on April 7 maintained an outperform rating for D-Wave but lowered its one-year price target from $40 to $30 per share, suggesting a potential upside of about 116.5%, yet this cautious valuation adjustment reflects analysts' conservative outlook on quantum stocks.
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- Significant Stock Decline: D-Wave Quantum's share price fell by 23.2% in March, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dropped by 5.1% and 4.8%, respectively, indicating a heightened risk-off sentiment that severely impacted the company's valuation.
- Year-to-Date Performance: The stock is down approximately 45% year-to-date, reflecting investor concerns about its growth potential amid escalating geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, which have made growth-dependent valuations particularly vulnerable.
- Analyst Downgrade: On April 7, Mizuho lowered its price target for D-Wave from $40 to $30 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 116.5%, yet this cautious outlook aligns with the broader trend of analysts adopting more conservative valuations for quantum stocks.
- Weak Market Recovery: Despite a general market rebound in April, with the S&P 500 up 3.8% and the Nasdaq Composite up 4.9%, D-Wave's stock has seen a slight decline of about 1% early this month, indicating its failure to participate in the relief rally.
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- Announcement of Quantum Computer: Rigetti Computing has unveiled the general availability of its most powerful quantum computer to date.
- Resolution of Uncertainty: This announcement concludes months of uncertainty surrounding the company's developments in quantum computing technology.
See More
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- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, the company's stock experienced a significant increase.
- Resolution of Uncertainty: This launch concludes months of uncertainty surrounding the company's developments.
- Significance in Quantum Computing: The new quantum computer represents a notable advancement in the field of quantum technology.
See More
D-Wave Systems Faces Execution Risks Amid Quantum Hype
- Market Potential and Risks: D-Wave Systems (NYSE: QBTS) is emerging as a highlight in commercial quantum computing, yet its stock remains caught between significant upside potential and serious execution risks, necessitating cautious evaluation by investors.
- Market Confidence Issues: Despite high expectations for D-Wave's future, analysts remain skeptical about its ability to achieve commercialization, particularly regarding whether the company can fulfill the promises made during the hype.
- Investment Recommendations: The Motley Fool's analyst team has identified 10 top stocks for investors to consider, notably excluding D-Wave Quantum, indicating a lack of confidence in its future performance that may influence investor decisions.
- Historical Return Comparisons: Compared to the investment returns of Netflix in 2004 and Nvidia in 2005, D-Wave's performance has yet to demonstrate similar potential, reflecting the challenges it faces in a highly competitive market.
See More
D-Wave Systems: Balancing Quantum Hype and Execution Risks
- Market Potential Analysis: D-Wave Systems' stock price increased by 3.14% on April 7, 2026, indicating strong market interest in its quantum computing commercialization, although it still faces execution risks, suggesting investor caution regarding future growth.
- Execution Risk Warning: Despite showing potential for commercialization, D-Wave Systems' success hinges on its ability to effectively address market skepticism about its technology; failure to achieve expected growth could lead to increased stock price volatility.
- Market Confidence Trends: The video analysis highlights that D-Wave Systems' future development will depend on its ability to deliver on promises in the quantum computing space; successfully attracting more investors could enhance market confidence and drive stock price increases.
- Industry Competitive Pressure: In the quantum computing sector, D-Wave Systems faces competition from other tech companies, and failure to achieve breakthroughs in technology and market promotion could impact its market share and long-term growth prospects.
See More
D-Wave Quantum Stock Experiences Significant Pullback Amid Geopolitical Tensions
- Stock Pullback: D-Wave Quantum's share price fell by 23.2% in March, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined by 5.1% and 4.8%, respectively, indicating the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Market Sentiment Impact: Despite the absence of negative company-specific news, D-Wave's stock is down approximately 45% year-to-date due to risk-off sentiment stemming from the Iran war, highlighting its high dependence on macroeconomic changes.
- Oil Price Volatility: Iran's move to reduce the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, a route for 20% of global oil shipments, has led to spikes in oil prices, exacerbating market uncertainty and affecting investor confidence in D-Wave.
- Analyst Rating Adjustment: Mizuho's report on April 7 maintained an outperform rating for D-Wave but lowered its one-year price target from $40 to $30 per share, suggesting a potential upside of about 116.5%, yet this cautious valuation adjustment reflects analysts' conservative outlook on quantum stocks.
See More
D-Wave Stock Plummets Amid Iran War Concerns
- Significant Stock Decline: D-Wave Quantum's share price fell by 23.2% in March, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dropped by 5.1% and 4.8%, respectively, indicating a heightened risk-off sentiment that severely impacted the company's valuation.
- Year-to-Date Performance: The stock is down approximately 45% year-to-date, reflecting investor concerns about its growth potential amid escalating geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, which have made growth-dependent valuations particularly vulnerable.
- Analyst Downgrade: On April 7, Mizuho lowered its price target for D-Wave from $40 to $30 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 116.5%, yet this cautious outlook aligns with the broader trend of analysts adopting more conservative valuations for quantum stocks.
- Weak Market Recovery: Despite a general market rebound in April, with the S&P 500 up 3.8% and the Nasdaq Composite up 4.9%, D-Wave's stock has seen a slight decline of about 1% early this month, indicating its failure to participate in the relief rally.
See More
Rigetti Computing Shares Surge: The Excitement Surrounding Its Most Advanced Quantum System Captivates Wall Street.
- Announcement of Quantum Computer: Rigetti Computing has unveiled the general availability of its most powerful quantum computer to date.
- Resolution of Uncertainty: This announcement concludes months of uncertainty surrounding the company's developments in quantum computing technology.
See More
How Rigetti's Latest Cepheus System Paves the Way for Increased Stock Value
- Announcement of Quantum Computer: Rigetti Computing has announced the general availability of its most powerful quantum computer to date.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, the company's stock experienced a significant increase.
- Resolution of Uncertainty: This launch concludes months of uncertainty surrounding the company's developments.
- Significance in Quantum Computing: The new quantum computer represents a notable advancement in the field of quantum technology.
See More
