Microsoft's Azure Revenue Grows 40%, Commercial Backlog Nears $400 Billion
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 24 2026
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Should l Buy MSFT?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Surging Cloud Demand: Microsoft's 'Azure and other cloud services' revenue soared 40% year-over-year last quarter, indicating a robust demand for cloud computing and AI capabilities, which enhances the company's revenue growth potential going forward.
- Significant Backlog Increase: The company's commercial remaining performance obligations (RPO) surged over 50% to nearly $400 billion, reflecting strong customer interest in cloud computing and signaling sustained growth in the coming quarters.
- Rising Capital Expenditures: Microsoft reported capital expenditures of $34.9 billion last quarter, with expectations that growth in fiscal 2026 will outpace that of fiscal 2025, which may pressure profitability but underscores ongoing investments in cloud and AI offerings.
- Substantial Free Cash Flow Growth: Despite rising expenditures, Microsoft's free cash flow reached $25.7 billion last quarter, up 33% year-over-year, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain strong cash flow amidst robust revenue growth.
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Analyst Views on MSFT
Wall Street analysts forecast MSFT stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
32 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 420.770
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
Current: 420.770
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
About MSFT
Microsoft Corporation is a technology company. The Company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The Company’s segments include Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of products and services in its portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services. This segment primarily comprises: Office Commercial, Office Consumer, LinkedIn, and Dynamics business solutions. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of server products and cloud services, including Azure and other cloud services, SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses (CALs), and Nuance and GitHub; and Enterprise Services, including enterprise support services, industry solutions and Nuance professional services. The More Personal Computing segment primarily comprises Windows, Devices, Gaming, and search and news advertising.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Performance: Microsoft saw a 10.2% increase in its stock price during April, coinciding with a strong market rally where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by 10.4% and 15.3%, respectively, indicating a robust recovery in tech stocks.
- Earnings Highlights: For the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Microsoft reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.27 on sales of $82.89 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $4.06 and $81.39 billion, with year-over-year sales growth of 18%, showcasing the company's strong profitability.
- Guidance Concerns: Despite the positive earnings and sales results, Microsoft's forward guidance for the upcoming quarter, projecting sales between $86.7 billion and $87.8 billion, fell short of the average analyst estimate of $87.53 billion, raising investor concerns and leading to a stock price decline post-report.
- Market Dynamics: In May, Microsoft stock has rebounded by approximately 2.1%, although it remains down 14% year-to-date in 2026; however, the company's strong position in the artificial intelligence sector continues to make it a worthwhile long-term investment despite potential competitive disruptions.
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- Massive Investment Plans: Nvidia announced this week plans to invest up to $3.2 billion in glass maker Corning and $2.1 billion in data center operator IREN, demonstrating its aggressive strategy to enhance its competitive edge in the AI infrastructure sector through acquisitions and commercial partnerships.
- Significant Investment Returns: Nvidia's $5 billion investment in Intel last year has now appreciated to over $25 billion, reflecting the success of its investment strategy and further solidifying its leadership position in the AI market.
- Ecosystem Expansion: In 2026, Nvidia has already committed over $40 billion in investments across various public equities, indicating its dedication to building a comprehensive AI supply chain that ensures widespread application of its hardware and meets market demand.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following Nvidia's investment agreements with IREN and Corning, shares of both companies surged, showcasing market confidence in Nvidia's investment strategy and further propelling its market capitalization to approximately $5.2 trillion.
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- Microsoft's Strong Earnings: In Q3 of fiscal 2026, Microsoft's revenue rose 18% year-over-year to $82.9 billion, with net income increasing by 23%, showcasing robust performance in cloud computing, particularly with Azure's 40% revenue growth, instilling confidence in investors that the stock will rebound.
- Nvidia's Significant Upside: Although Nvidia's stock is only down 2% from its all-time high, it is expected to reach a forward P/E ratio in the mid-30s, indicating a potential 40% upside, especially as major client Alphabet plans to significantly increase capital expenditures in 2027, suggesting strong future demand.
- Meta's Impressive Growth: Meta's revenue surged 33% year-over-year in Q1, leveraging AI for effective ad placements despite its social media dominance, with a current P/E ratio of just over 19, below the S&P 500's 21.7, presenting a compelling investment opportunity.
- Long-Term Investment Outlook: All three companies are poised for strong returns through 2026, particularly as multi-year AI-related growth remains on the horizon, making them excellent long-term stock picks.
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- Revenue Growth Leader: Meta's quarterly revenue growth was the fastest among the big four, driven by the integration of AI technologies into its advertising business, which solidifies its competitive edge in the AI landscape.
- Cloud Computing Boost: Alphabet's Google Cloud saw a remarkable 63% revenue spike this quarter, primarily fueled by strong demand for cloud services and GPU sales, indicating a solid return on its AI computing investments.
- Cash Flow Valuation Advantage: Meta's cash flow from operations is impressive, trading at less than 13 times its cash flow, highlighting its relative affordability during heavy capital investment cycles, which attracts investor interest in its AI strategy.
- Investment Recommendation: Among the four tech giants, Meta is viewed as the top buy due to its rapid growth and undervalued stock, prompting investors to seize the opportunity before its AI investments yield significant returns.
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- Microsoft's Strong Earnings: In Q3 of fiscal 2026, Microsoft reported an 18% year-over-year revenue increase to $82.9 billion, with net income rising 23%, showcasing robust performance in cloud computing, particularly with Azure's 40% revenue growth, despite the stock being down 22% from its peak.
- Nvidia's Future Potential: Nvidia's stock is only down about 2%, but it is expected to reach a forward P/E ratio in the mid-30s for 2027, indicating a potential 40% upside, especially as its major client Alphabet plans to significantly increase capital expenditures, reflecting strong market demand.
- Meta's Underestimated Growth: Meta's revenue surged 33% year-over-year in Q1, and while AI integration in its social media platforms remains limited, the effectiveness of its ad placements has driven revenue growth, with a current P/E ratio of just 19, below the S&P 500's 21.7, indicating investment value.
- Long-Term Investment Outlook: All three companies are poised for strong returns over the coming years, particularly with multi-year AI-related growth on the horizon, making them attractive long-term investment options.
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- Leading Revenue Growth: Meta's quarterly revenue growth is the fastest among the four tech giants, driven by the integration of AI technologies into its legacy advertising business, enhancing its market competitiveness and profitability.
- Cloud Computing Boost: Alphabet's Google Cloud saw a remarkable 63% revenue spike this quarter, reflecting strong market demand and further solidifying its leadership in cloud services, providing robust support for overall performance.
- Operating Profit Comparison: In terms of operating income growth, Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon are closely tied, while Microsoft lags significantly, highlighting how different business models impact profitability, particularly the low-margin e-commerce segment affecting Amazon.
- Cash Flow Valuation Advantage: Meta trades at less than 13 times cash flow per share, significantly lower than Alphabet, indicating its stock is undervalued, and investors should seize the opportunity, especially as the potential of its AI investments has yet to be fully realized.
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