Look Under The Hood: SMIG Has 13% Upside
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 23 2025
0mins
Should l Buy VCTR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Target Price Analysis: The AAM Bahl & Gaynor Small/Mid Cap Income Growth ETF (SMIG) has an implied analyst target price of $32.07 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 12.92% from its current trading price of $28.40.
Key Holdings Performance: Notable underlying holdings such as First Financial Bancorp, Victory Capital Holdings, and Amdocs Ltd. show significant upside potential based on analyst targets, raising questions about the validity and optimism of these forecasts.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy VCTR?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on VCTR
Wall Street analysts forecast VCTR stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 73.150
Low
68.00
Averages
72.00
High
78.00
Current: 73.150
Low
68.00
Averages
72.00
High
78.00
About VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. is a diversified global asset management firm. The Company provides specialized investment strategies to institutions, intermediaries, retirement platforms and individual investors. With 11 autonomous investment franchises and a solutions platform, the Company offers an array of investment products, including actively and passively managed mutual funds, rules-based and active exchange traded funds (ETFs), institutional separate accounts, variable insurance products (VIPs), alternative investments, private closed end funds, and a 529 Education Savings Plan. Its strategies are also offered through third-party investment products, including mutual funds, third-party ETF model strategies, retail separately managed accounts and unified managed accounts. Its franchises and its solutions platform collectively manage a diversified set of 124 investment strategies. The Company's investment adviser is Victory Capital Management Inc.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Victory Capital Reports $309.84 Billion AUM
- AUM Growth: Victory Capital reported total assets under management of $309.84 billion, indicating robust growth in the asset management sector and reflecting market confidence in its investment strategies.
- Market Performance: The increase in AUM is likely linked to the company's ongoing efforts in portfolio management and client service, enhancing its position in the highly competitive asset management industry.
- Client Trust: With the rise in AUM, Victory Capital may attract more institutional investors, further expanding its market share and enhancing brand influence.
- Future Outlook: The company is expected to continue focusing on optimizing investment strategies and improving client experiences to sustain AUM growth and address challenges posed by market fluctuations.
See More
Victory Capital Schedules Q1 2026 Financial Results Conference Call
- Assets Under Management: As of March 31, 2026, Victory Capital reported Total Assets Under Management (AUM) of $309.8 billion, indicating a solid position in the asset management sector despite a decline from the previous month, reflecting the impact of market volatility on asset liquidity.
- Client Asset Fluctuation: The total client assets stood at $313.1 billion for Q1, down from $327.1 billion in February, suggesting challenges in attracting new clients, which may affect future revenue growth prospects.
- Net Outflow Situation: The company experienced long-term AUM net flows of -$457 million in Q1, indicating a response from clients to market uncertainties, potentially leading to short-term funding pressures for the firm.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Victory Capital will release its Q1 financial results after market close on May 6, 2026, and will host a conference call on May 7 at 8:00 a.m. ET to provide detailed insights into its financial performance, aiming to enhance transparency and investor confidence.
See More
Analysis of Upcoming Dividend Increases
- Nasdaq Dividend Growth: Nasdaq (NDAQ) is projected to increase its dividend by 12.5% in 2025, with a current yield of 1.3%, reflecting strong profitability and a consistent dividend growth potential despite its long-term performance mirroring tech-heavy indices.
- Synchrony Financial Outlook: Synchrony Financial (SYF) plans a 20% dividend increase in 2025, with a current yield of 1.8%, and its payout represents only 13% of estimated 2026 earnings, indicating room for further dividend expansion despite earnings variability.
- Victory Capital's Investment Strategy: Victory Capital (VCTR) is expected to raise its dividend by 4.2% in 2025, currently yielding 3.0%, and despite a recent failed acquisition attempt, the company maintains a strong history of dividend growth, with an announcement anticipated in early May.
- Paychex Market Performance: Paychex (PAYX) is projected to increase its dividend by 10.2% in 2025, with a yield of 4.7%, and despite facing economic headwinds, the company is expected to announce a dividend increase in early May, reflecting management's confidence in the current employment landscape.
See More
Janus Henderson Secures a Buyer: A Look at the Performance of Its Funds.
- Acquisition Announcement: Janus Henderson, managing $493 billion in assets, is set to be acquired by Trian Fund Management and General Catalyst for $52 per share in cash.
- Bidding Update: The acquisition follows the withdrawal of rival bidder Victory Capital Holdings from the bidding process earlier this week.
See More
Trian's Battle for Janus Henderson Concludes: A Look at Fund Performance.
Acquisition Announcement: Janus Henderson, managing $493 billion in assets, is set to be acquired by Trian Fund Management and General Catalyst for $52 per share in cash.
Bidding Update: The acquisition follows the withdrawal of rival bidder Victory Capital Holdings from the bidding process earlier this week.
See More
Victory Capital Withdraws Bid for Janus Henderson Amid Market Dynamics
- Acquisition Dynamics: Victory Capital's withdrawal from the bid for Janus Henderson has led to its acquisition by General Catalyst and Trian, indicating a critical price discovery moment in the asset management industry, with the deal priced at a modest 11.6x forward earnings estimates.
- Fee Pressure: Asset management fees are trending lower, with ETFs providing a compelling low-cost alternative for many investors; however, the bidding war for Janus Henderson suggests that some asset management firms may be undervalued, capturing market attention.
- Invesco's Market Position: As a heavyweight in the industry, Invesco manages $2.26 trillion in assets, with its QQQ Trust essentially acting as a money-printing machine, and its current trading price is significantly below what a private equity firm would pay to build the business from scratch, highlighting its strong competitive moat.
- Options Trading Strategy: By structuring options trades to offset the dividend one would forgo by not purchasing the stock, investors can effectively acquire IVZ shares at about a 9% discount if the stock falls below $22, while also positioning for a maximum payout of $2 if the stock benefits from the JHG deal, showcasing a flexible investment strategy.
See More
Victory Capital Reports $309.84 Billion AUM
- AUM Growth: Victory Capital reported total assets under management of $309.84 billion, indicating robust growth in the asset management sector and reflecting market confidence in its investment strategies.
- Market Performance: The increase in AUM is likely linked to the company's ongoing efforts in portfolio management and client service, enhancing its position in the highly competitive asset management industry.
- Client Trust: With the rise in AUM, Victory Capital may attract more institutional investors, further expanding its market share and enhancing brand influence.
- Future Outlook: The company is expected to continue focusing on optimizing investment strategies and improving client experiences to sustain AUM growth and address challenges posed by market fluctuations.
See More
Victory Capital Schedules Q1 2026 Financial Results Conference Call
- Assets Under Management: As of March 31, 2026, Victory Capital reported Total Assets Under Management (AUM) of $309.8 billion, indicating a solid position in the asset management sector despite a decline from the previous month, reflecting the impact of market volatility on asset liquidity.
- Client Asset Fluctuation: The total client assets stood at $313.1 billion for Q1, down from $327.1 billion in February, suggesting challenges in attracting new clients, which may affect future revenue growth prospects.
- Net Outflow Situation: The company experienced long-term AUM net flows of -$457 million in Q1, indicating a response from clients to market uncertainties, potentially leading to short-term funding pressures for the firm.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Victory Capital will release its Q1 financial results after market close on May 6, 2026, and will host a conference call on May 7 at 8:00 a.m. ET to provide detailed insights into its financial performance, aiming to enhance transparency and investor confidence.
See More
Analysis of Upcoming Dividend Increases
- Nasdaq Dividend Growth: Nasdaq (NDAQ) is projected to increase its dividend by 12.5% in 2025, with a current yield of 1.3%, reflecting strong profitability and a consistent dividend growth potential despite its long-term performance mirroring tech-heavy indices.
- Synchrony Financial Outlook: Synchrony Financial (SYF) plans a 20% dividend increase in 2025, with a current yield of 1.8%, and its payout represents only 13% of estimated 2026 earnings, indicating room for further dividend expansion despite earnings variability.
- Victory Capital's Investment Strategy: Victory Capital (VCTR) is expected to raise its dividend by 4.2% in 2025, currently yielding 3.0%, and despite a recent failed acquisition attempt, the company maintains a strong history of dividend growth, with an announcement anticipated in early May.
- Paychex Market Performance: Paychex (PAYX) is projected to increase its dividend by 10.2% in 2025, with a yield of 4.7%, and despite facing economic headwinds, the company is expected to announce a dividend increase in early May, reflecting management's confidence in the current employment landscape.
See More
Janus Henderson Secures a Buyer: A Look at the Performance of Its Funds.
- Acquisition Announcement: Janus Henderson, managing $493 billion in assets, is set to be acquired by Trian Fund Management and General Catalyst for $52 per share in cash.
- Bidding Update: The acquisition follows the withdrawal of rival bidder Victory Capital Holdings from the bidding process earlier this week.
See More
Trian's Battle for Janus Henderson Concludes: A Look at Fund Performance.
Acquisition Announcement: Janus Henderson, managing $493 billion in assets, is set to be acquired by Trian Fund Management and General Catalyst for $52 per share in cash.
Bidding Update: The acquisition follows the withdrawal of rival bidder Victory Capital Holdings from the bidding process earlier this week.
See More
Victory Capital Withdraws Bid for Janus Henderson Amid Market Dynamics
- Acquisition Dynamics: Victory Capital's withdrawal from the bid for Janus Henderson has led to its acquisition by General Catalyst and Trian, indicating a critical price discovery moment in the asset management industry, with the deal priced at a modest 11.6x forward earnings estimates.
- Fee Pressure: Asset management fees are trending lower, with ETFs providing a compelling low-cost alternative for many investors; however, the bidding war for Janus Henderson suggests that some asset management firms may be undervalued, capturing market attention.
- Invesco's Market Position: As a heavyweight in the industry, Invesco manages $2.26 trillion in assets, with its QQQ Trust essentially acting as a money-printing machine, and its current trading price is significantly below what a private equity firm would pay to build the business from scratch, highlighting its strong competitive moat.
- Options Trading Strategy: By structuring options trades to offset the dividend one would forgo by not purchasing the stock, investors can effectively acquire IVZ shares at about a 9% discount if the stock falls below $22, while also positioning for a maximum payout of $2 if the stock benefits from the JHG deal, showcasing a flexible investment strategy.
See More
