VCTR Should I Buy
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Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor focused on long-term growth. While the company has shown solid financial performance in its latest quarter, the technical indicators and trading sentiment do not suggest a favorable entry point. Additionally, the lack of significant positive catalysts and the recent withdrawal from a potential acquisition indicate limited immediate upside.
The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 24.401, suggesting oversold conditions but no clear signal. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near its S1 support level of 63.268, with a potential downside to S2 at 61.035. The overall technical trend is bearish.
The company reported strong financial growth in Q4 2025, with a 61% YoY revenue increase and a 14.61% YoY net income growth. Analysts have raised price targets, with RBC Capital highlighting opportunities for M&A and share buybacks.
Victory Capital recently withdrew from a high-profile acquisition bid for Janus Henderson, which could limit its growth opportunities. The stock has dropped 3.01% in the regular market, and technical indicators suggest bearish momentum.
In Q4 2025, Victory Capital reported a 61% YoY increase in revenue to $374.1 million, a 14.61% YoY increase in net income to $88.18 million, and a 14.53% YoY increase in EPS to 1.34. However, gross margin dropped by 2.82% YoY to 81.74.
Analysts are mixed on the stock. RBC Capital raised its price target to $84 and maintains an Outperform rating, citing M&A opportunities and potential share buybacks. Barclays raised its target to $69 but keeps an Equal Weight rating. Morgan Stanley slightly lowered its target to $69, also maintaining an Equal Weight rating.
