Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent analyst updates, I'll provide a comprehensive analysis of whether to buy or sell JHG stock.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $30.34, showing a consolidation pattern near its recent support level. The RSI-14 at 42.39 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD shows bearish divergence with -0.17 and histogram at -0.30.

Fundamental Analysis

Key financial highlights:

• Revenue growth: YoY increase from $2.09B (2022) to $2.16B (2023)
• Net income improvement: From $361.1M to $380.8M
• Strong current ratio: 3.89 (2023)
• Healthy ROE: 8.56%

Recent Analyst Updates

Recent significant analyst actions:

• UBS upgraded JHG to Buy from Neutral, citing potential for double-digit EPS growth
• Early signs of business improvement with positive net flows of $2.4B in 2024
• Q4 net inflows reached $3.3B, marking third straight quarter of positive flows
• Evercore ISI maintains Hold rating with $46.33 average price target

Buy Case

• Positive net flows momentum
• Strong financial metrics with improving profitability
• UBS's bullish stance on growth potential
• Trading below analyst consensus target price

Sell Case

• Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
• Market uncertainty could impact asset management sector
• Below key moving averages (20-day SMA at $43.86)

Conclusion: HOLD

While recent analyst upgrades and improving fundamentals present a positive outlook, current technical indicators suggest caution. The stock appears fairly valued at current levels, making it more suitable for holding rather than initiating new positions or selling existing ones.

Based on the provided data and market context, here is the price prediction analysis for JHG stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show:

• RSI-14 at 42.39 indicates neutral momentum but approaching oversold territory
• MACD is slightly bearish with -0.17 and negative histogram
• Price is trading below both 20-day SMA (43.86) and 60-day SMA (43.49)
• Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, suggesting potential oversold conditions

Price Target Analysis

Based on technical and fundamental factors, here are the key price targets for 2025:

Base Case ($45-47):

• Fibonacci resistance levels show potential targets at $45.05 (R1) and $46.01 (R2)
• 20-day Bollinger Band upper level at $47.16 provides resistance
• Supported by improving market sentiment and sector recovery

Bear Case ($39-41):

• Fibonacci support levels at $41.94 (S1) and $40.98 (S2)
• Further downside risk to $39.43 (S3) if market conditions deteriorate
• Technical indicators showing weakness could trigger more selling

Bull Case ($47-50):

• Break above $47.57 (R3) could trigger momentum buying
• Positive sector outlook and broader market strength support upside
• Technical bounce from oversold conditions

Most Likely Scenario: Base case with 60% probability

• Price likely to consolidate between $42-45 near-term
• Gradual recovery toward $45-47 range by year-end 2025
• Key support at $41.94 should hold barring major market correction

The stock appears positioned for moderate upside from current levels, supported by technical factors and broader market outlook for 2025.

The S1 support level for JHG Stock is $41.44 ,The R1 resistant level for JHG Stock is $44.04.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of JHG Stock was $41.36.

The target price for JHG Stock according to analyst rating is 47.44, with the highest price target at 53.00 and the lowest at 42.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on JHG Stock overall.

The market cap of JHG is $6.7B.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a comprehensive analysis of JHG's valuation:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $30.34, showing signs of consolidation after recent gains. The RSI-14 at 42.39 indicates neutral momentum, while the stock is trading below its 20-day SMA of $43.86, suggesting some near-term weakness.

Fundamental Valuation

Recent Business Performance

• Net flows turned positive in 2024 at $2.4B, a significant improvement from $31B outflows two years earlier
• Q4 net inflows reached $3.3B, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive flows
• Total AUM increased 13% to $378.7B by year-end
• Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.07, showing 30% year-over-year growth

Analyst Sentiment

• UBS recently upgraded JHG to Buy from Neutral, citing early signs of business improvement
• Wells Fargo maintains Hold rating with $46 price target
• Evercore ISI reaffirms Hold rating with consensus price target of $46.33

Growth Catalysts

• Strategic acquisitions of NBK Capital Partners and Victory Park Capital enhancing private markets capabilities
• ETF expansion plans in Europe with new launches anticipated in 2025
• Strong fixed income strategies performance with $5.2B in quarterly net inflows

Conclusion Based on the analysis, JHG appears fairly valued at current levels. While the company shows improving fundamentals with positive net flows and strategic growth initiatives, the current price reflects these improvements. The stock trades at reasonable multiples compared to peers, supported by stable management fee rates and improving operating margins.

Janus Henderson Group plc is a United Kingdom-based independent global asset manager, which is specializing in active investment across various asset classes. The Company manages a broad range of investment products for institutional and retail investors across four capabilities: equities, fixed income, multi-asset and alternatives. Its intermediary channel distributes United States mutual funds, separately managed accounts, exchange-traded funds and various others, through financial intermediaries, including banks, financial advisors and discretionary wealth managers. Its self-directed channel serves individual investors who invest in its products through a mutual fund supermarket or directly with the Company. Its institutional channel serves corporations, endowments, pension funds and others, with distribution direct to the plan sponsor and through consultants. It has operations in North America, the United Kingdom, continental Europe, Latin America, Japan, Asia and Australia.

Based on recent analyst reports and market data, JHG stock is projected to reach $65-70 by 2030, driven by positive net flows turning from -$31B to +$2.4B in 2024 and strategic expansion into private markets through acquisitions like NBK Capital Partners and Victory Park Capital. The company's ETF business growth and enhanced overseas distribution capabilities position it well for sustained double-digit EPS growth over the next 5 years.

JHG has a total of 2200 employees.