IYY's Holdings May Indicate a 12% Profit Opportunity
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 04 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ETSY?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF (IYY) has an implied analyst target price of $185.58, indicating an 11.60% upside from its current trading price of $166.30.
Notable Holdings: Key underlying holdings with significant upside potential include Noble Corporation (NE), Etsy Inc (ETSY), and Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC), with expected price increases of 14.35%, 13.53%, and 13.41% respectively.
Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high targets could lead to future downgrades if they are based on outdated information.
Investor Research: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analyst targets in light of recent company and industry developments.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy ETSY?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on ETSY
Wall Street analysts forecast ETSY stock price to rise
26 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
18 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 46.240
Low
52.00
Averages
67.71
High
80.00
Current: 46.240
Low
52.00
Averages
67.71
High
80.00
About ETSY
Etsy, Inc. operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers around the world. The Company's primary marketplace, Etsy.com, is the global destination for goods made by independent sellers. In addition to its core Etsy marketplace, its House of Brand consists of Depop Limited (Depop), which is its fashion resale marketplace. Each marketplace primarily operates independently, while benefiting from shared expertise in product development, marketing, technology, and customer support. The Company's top six retail categories on the Etsy marketplace include homewares and home furnishings, jewelry and personal accessories, apparel, craft supplies, paper and party supplies, and toys and games.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Etsy Options Trading Analysis and Strategies
- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $40.00 put option is $1.10, and if an investor sells-to-open this option, they commit to buying the stock at $40.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $38.90, which represents a 16% discount compared to the current price of $47.66, making it attractive for potential Etsy investors.
- Yield Potential Analysis: Should the put option expire worthless, the premium would yield a 2.75% return on the cash commitment, or an annualized yield of 20.50%, referred to as YieldBoost, highlighting the strategy's potential appeal.
- Call Option Returns: The $50.00 call option has a current bid of $2.50, and if an investor buys Etsy shares at $47.66 and sells this call option, they could achieve a total return of 10.16% if the stock is called away at expiration, showcasing the profit potential of this strategy.
- Risk-Reward Tradeoff: The $50.00 call option represents a 5% premium over the current stock price, with a 54% chance of expiring worthless, allowing investors to retain both their shares and the premium collected, thereby enhancing their overall investment returns.
See More
Walmart Is Allowing Major Tech Companies to Cover AI Costs. Who Else Stands to Benefit?
- Walmart's AI Strategy: Walmart is not investing heavily in artificial intelligence but is prepared to utilize AI tools developed by major tech companies.
- Collaboration with Big Tech: The retail giant is waiting to implement AI advancements that come from the significant research and development efforts of Big Tech firms.
See More
Navigating Values in Investing Decisions
- Importance of Investment Education: Mark successfully sparked his children's interest in stock selection by playing investment games together, with his kids outperforming the market in 2025, demonstrating the significant potential of family education in fostering financial awareness.
- Values and Investment Decisions: An Italian investor explores the duality of Robinhood's tools while contemplating whether to hold its stock, emphasizing the importance of balancing personal values with social impact in investing, reflecting investors' concerns about ethical responsibility.
- Lessons from History: David Gardner reflects on past market fluctuations, highlighting that history is not just nostalgia but a source of confidence for investors, reminding them to maintain patience and optimism in uncertain markets.
- Optimism and Long-Term Investing: Tom shares his journey of wealth accumulation through long-term investing and compounding, emphasizing the key role of patience and a positive mindset in achieving investment success, encouraging more people to believe in their ability to succeed in investing.
See More
Hussman Strategic Advisors Exits Entire Position in TG Therapeutics
- Position Change: Hussman Strategic Advisors disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold its entire position of 126,000 shares in TG Therapeutics, which previously represented 1.0% of its assets under management, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Financial Performance: TG Therapeutics reported preliminary fourth-quarter revenue of $182 million for its main product as of January 30, and despite a significant 92.8% year-over-year growth to $161.7 million in the third quarter, the overall performance could not offset the 11.8% decline in its stock over the past year.
- Market Comparison: The underperformance of TG Therapeutics' stock, losing 11.8%, contrasts sharply with the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500's gains of 20% and 15.8%, respectively, highlighting a lack of competitive edge in the biotechnology sector that may pose higher risks for investors.
- Investor Implications: The complete exit by Hussman suggests a diminishing confidence in TG Therapeutics, prompting investors to closely monitor the company's future strategic partnerships and clinical program developments to assess potential growth opportunities in oncology and immunology markets.
See More
Hussman Increases Etsy Stake to 1.13% of AUM
- Increased Holdings: Hussman Strategic Advisors added 42,000 shares of Etsy in Q4 2025, valued at $2.56 million, raising its total Etsy holdings to $4.66 million, an increase of $1.87 million from the previous quarter, indicating confidence in Etsy's future growth potential.
- Stake Proportion Rise: This purchase brought Hussman's stake in Etsy to 1.13%, making it the fund's second-largest holding, reflecting a strategic emphasis on Etsy's potential in the e-commerce market, despite the core business showing sluggish growth.
- Market Performance: As of January 30, 2026, Etsy shares were priced at $52.96, down 5.53% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 18 percentage points, indicating market caution regarding its future growth prospects.
- Growth Potential: While Etsy's core marketplace growth is slow, its secondhand fashion app, Depop, achieved 39% GMS growth in Q3, with the U.S. market growing even faster at 59%, showcasing Etsy's success in diversifying its business, which may support future shareholder returns.
See More
Etsy Stock Valuation Attractive; Investors Should Consider
- E-commerce Market Trend: The rise of online shopping has been a significant economic trend over the past decades, and while physical retail still dominates spending in the U.S., the growth momentum of the e-commerce sector remains strong, attracting investor interest in potential opportunities.
- Etsy Valuation Advantage: With a price-to-sales ratio of 2.3, Etsy's valuation is at a historically attractive point, rarely seen in the past decade, highlighting a unique investment opportunity, especially in competition with Amazon.
- Unique Market Positioning: Etsy focuses on unique, handcrafted, and vintage goods, with a 2023 survey indicating that 83% of buyers believe its marketplace offers items they can't find elsewhere, helping it stand out in the e-commerce space and create a strong network effect.
- Financial Challenges and Risks: Despite Etsy's strong market positioning, its gross merchandise sales for Q3 2025 were $2.4 billion, down 11% year-over-year, coupled with rising expenses, indicating fundamental weaknesses that warrant caution for investors.
See More
Etsy Options Trading Analysis and Strategies
- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $40.00 put option is $1.10, and if an investor sells-to-open this option, they commit to buying the stock at $40.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $38.90, which represents a 16% discount compared to the current price of $47.66, making it attractive for potential Etsy investors.
- Yield Potential Analysis: Should the put option expire worthless, the premium would yield a 2.75% return on the cash commitment, or an annualized yield of 20.50%, referred to as YieldBoost, highlighting the strategy's potential appeal.
- Call Option Returns: The $50.00 call option has a current bid of $2.50, and if an investor buys Etsy shares at $47.66 and sells this call option, they could achieve a total return of 10.16% if the stock is called away at expiration, showcasing the profit potential of this strategy.
- Risk-Reward Tradeoff: The $50.00 call option represents a 5% premium over the current stock price, with a 54% chance of expiring worthless, allowing investors to retain both their shares and the premium collected, thereby enhancing their overall investment returns.
See More
Walmart Is Allowing Major Tech Companies to Cover AI Costs. Who Else Stands to Benefit?
- Walmart's AI Strategy: Walmart is not investing heavily in artificial intelligence but is prepared to utilize AI tools developed by major tech companies.
- Collaboration with Big Tech: The retail giant is waiting to implement AI advancements that come from the significant research and development efforts of Big Tech firms.
See More
Navigating Values in Investing Decisions
- Importance of Investment Education: Mark successfully sparked his children's interest in stock selection by playing investment games together, with his kids outperforming the market in 2025, demonstrating the significant potential of family education in fostering financial awareness.
- Values and Investment Decisions: An Italian investor explores the duality of Robinhood's tools while contemplating whether to hold its stock, emphasizing the importance of balancing personal values with social impact in investing, reflecting investors' concerns about ethical responsibility.
- Lessons from History: David Gardner reflects on past market fluctuations, highlighting that history is not just nostalgia but a source of confidence for investors, reminding them to maintain patience and optimism in uncertain markets.
- Optimism and Long-Term Investing: Tom shares his journey of wealth accumulation through long-term investing and compounding, emphasizing the key role of patience and a positive mindset in achieving investment success, encouraging more people to believe in their ability to succeed in investing.
See More
Hussman Strategic Advisors Exits Entire Position in TG Therapeutics
- Position Change: Hussman Strategic Advisors disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold its entire position of 126,000 shares in TG Therapeutics, which previously represented 1.0% of its assets under management, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Financial Performance: TG Therapeutics reported preliminary fourth-quarter revenue of $182 million for its main product as of January 30, and despite a significant 92.8% year-over-year growth to $161.7 million in the third quarter, the overall performance could not offset the 11.8% decline in its stock over the past year.
- Market Comparison: The underperformance of TG Therapeutics' stock, losing 11.8%, contrasts sharply with the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500's gains of 20% and 15.8%, respectively, highlighting a lack of competitive edge in the biotechnology sector that may pose higher risks for investors.
- Investor Implications: The complete exit by Hussman suggests a diminishing confidence in TG Therapeutics, prompting investors to closely monitor the company's future strategic partnerships and clinical program developments to assess potential growth opportunities in oncology and immunology markets.
See More
Hussman Increases Etsy Stake to 1.13% of AUM
- Increased Holdings: Hussman Strategic Advisors added 42,000 shares of Etsy in Q4 2025, valued at $2.56 million, raising its total Etsy holdings to $4.66 million, an increase of $1.87 million from the previous quarter, indicating confidence in Etsy's future growth potential.
- Stake Proportion Rise: This purchase brought Hussman's stake in Etsy to 1.13%, making it the fund's second-largest holding, reflecting a strategic emphasis on Etsy's potential in the e-commerce market, despite the core business showing sluggish growth.
- Market Performance: As of January 30, 2026, Etsy shares were priced at $52.96, down 5.53% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 18 percentage points, indicating market caution regarding its future growth prospects.
- Growth Potential: While Etsy's core marketplace growth is slow, its secondhand fashion app, Depop, achieved 39% GMS growth in Q3, with the U.S. market growing even faster at 59%, showcasing Etsy's success in diversifying its business, which may support future shareholder returns.
See More
Etsy Stock Valuation Attractive; Investors Should Consider
- E-commerce Market Trend: The rise of online shopping has been a significant economic trend over the past decades, and while physical retail still dominates spending in the U.S., the growth momentum of the e-commerce sector remains strong, attracting investor interest in potential opportunities.
- Etsy Valuation Advantage: With a price-to-sales ratio of 2.3, Etsy's valuation is at a historically attractive point, rarely seen in the past decade, highlighting a unique investment opportunity, especially in competition with Amazon.
- Unique Market Positioning: Etsy focuses on unique, handcrafted, and vintage goods, with a 2023 survey indicating that 83% of buyers believe its marketplace offers items they can't find elsewhere, helping it stand out in the e-commerce space and create a strong network effect.
- Financial Challenges and Risks: Despite Etsy's strong market positioning, its gross merchandise sales for Q3 2025 were $2.4 billion, down 11% year-over-year, coupled with rising expenses, indicating fundamental weaknesses that warrant caution for investors.
See More
