Exane BNP Paribas Lowers Oracle Corp's Target Price to $201 from $290
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 9 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy ORCL?
Source: moomoo
- Oracle Corp Target Price Cut: Exane BNP Paribas has reduced its target price for Oracle Corp from $290 to $201.
- Market Impact: This significant cut reflects changing market conditions and expectations for Oracle's future performance.
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Analyst Views on ORCL
Wall Street analysts forecast ORCL stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 154.790
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
Current: 154.790
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
About ORCL
Oracle Corporation offers integrated suites of applications plus secure, autonomous infrastructure in the Oracle Cloud. The Company operates through three businesses: cloud and license, hardware and service. Its cloud and license business is engaged in the sale, marketing and delivery of its enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through cloud and on-premise deployment models including its cloud services and license support offerings, and its cloud license and on-premise license offerings. Its hardware business provides infrastructure technologies including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware-related software to support diverse IT environments. Its services business provides services to customers and partners to help maximize the performance of their investments in Oracle applications and infrastructure technologies.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Release Date: Oracle is set to report its fiscal Q3 results on March 10, with investors focusing on the revenue acceleration of its Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) unit, which is crucial for the outlook of FY27 and could impact stock performance.
- Analyst Rating: Evercore analyst Kirk Materne maintains an Outperform rating on Oracle, lowering the price target from $275 to $220, reflecting a cautiously optimistic view on the company's future growth potential.
- Capital Structure Optimization: Oracle's announcement of utilizing $25 billion in debt and $25 billion in equity to bolster its capital base should alleviate near-term funding concerns and provide greater clarity regarding its AI capabilities.
- Market Expectations: Analysts expect Oracle to earn $1.70 per share on $16.91 billion in revenue for the fiscal third quarter, and achieving these expectations could enhance market confidence and drive stock price appreciation.
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- Project Pullback: Oracle and OpenAI are scaling back their data center expansion plans in Abilene, Texas.
- Source Confirmation: The information regarding the project pullback was reported by a source familiar with the matter to Barron’s.
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- Growth Forecast Downgrade: The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has lowered its first-quarter economic growth projection to an annualized 2.1%, down nearly a third from 3.0% since Monday, indicating heightened risks of economic slowdown that could undermine investor confidence.
- Oil Price Volatility Risk: The Iran conflict could lead to a $20 increase in oil prices, which is expected to negatively impact U.S. GDP by 0.1% and raise headline inflation by 0.4%, exacerbating market uncertainty and affecting consumer spending.
- Weak Labor Market: The latest nonfarm payrolls report revealed a loss of 92,000 jobs in February, marking the third contraction in five months, which complicates the Federal Reserve's decision-making regarding interest rate policies amid rising inflation concerns.
- Investors Seeking Safety: In light of above-target inflation and a sluggish labor market, investors are gravitating towards defensive investments, and while the U.S. is still viewed as a global economic leader, market volatility complicates investment decisions.
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- Expansion Plans Abandoned: OpenAI and Oracle have decided against expanding their Texas data center from 1.2 GW to 2 GW due to financing issues and changes in demand forecasts, which may impact their competitive edge in the AI sector.
- Meta's Involvement: Meta Platforms is now considering leasing the planned expansion, originally developed by Crusoe, indicating its proactive strategy in enhancing data center capabilities, potentially strengthening its AI infrastructure.
- Strengthened Partnerships: Oracle has stated that its collaboration with Crusoe is progressing well, aiming to deliver one of the world's largest AI factories in Abilene, highlighting its ongoing investment and strategic significance in infrastructure development.
- Technological Collaboration: Last month, Meta signed a multi-year agreement with AMD to deploy up to 6 GW of AMD Instinct chips, further advancing its AI infrastructure ambitions and showcasing its aspirations within the industry.
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- Expansion Plans Shelved: Oracle and OpenAI's plans to expand an AI data center in Abilene, Texas, have been shelved due to prolonged financing negotiations and evolving needs, indicating potential challenges in future collaborations.
- Meta's Leasing Consideration: The collapse of the deal has prompted Meta Platforms to consider leasing the planned expansion site, demonstrating its intent to expand in the AI infrastructure space, which could enhance its competitive position in the market.
- Nvidia's Involvement: Nvidia Corp. facilitated discussions between Meta and developer Crusoe, highlighting its critical role in advancing AI infrastructure development and potentially solidifying its influence in the industry.
- Market Impact: This news may negatively affect the stock prices of the involved companies, particularly Oracle and OpenAI, prompting investors to monitor subsequent developments and their potential implications for the AI market.
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- Stock Fluctuation: Oracle shares fell 1% in the final trading hour after Bloomberg reported the cancellation of the Texas data center expansion with OpenAI, despite earlier gains of 3%, indicating negative market sentiment regarding the news.
- Expansion Plan Cancellation: Oracle and OpenAI scrapped plans for the flagship AI data center expansion in Abilene, Texas, due to financing issues and changing needs from OpenAI, which could impact the company's long-term growth potential.
- Meta's Opportunity: Following the breakdown of negotiations, Meta Platforms is considering leasing the planned expansion site, with Nvidia facilitating discussions between Meta and developer Crusoe, highlighting increased competition in the market.
- Nvidia's Involvement: To ensure its products dominate the expanded data center, Nvidia paid a $150 million deposit to Crusoe and actively promoted Meta as a tenant, reflecting its strategic positioning in the AI chip market.
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