Eli Lilly Shares Surge Following FDA Approval of Foundayo
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy LLY?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- FDA Drug Approval: Eli Lilly's oral GLP-1 therapy Foundayo (orforglipron) received FDA approval, demonstrating a mean weight loss of 12.4% and cardiovascular benefits in clinical trials, which is expected to significantly expand the underpenetrated patient population and reinforce the company's leadership in the obesity market.
- Stock Price Rebound: Following the FDA approval news, Eli Lilly shares surged 3.8% in the last trading session to close at $954.52, reflecting strong market confidence in its new drug despite an 8.7% decline over the past four weeks.
- Strong Earnings Forecast: The company is expected to report quarterly earnings of $7.53 per share, representing a year-over-year increase of 125.5%, with revenues projected to reach $17.66 billion, up 38.7% from the previous year, indicating robust growth potential.
- Upward Earnings Revision: Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for Eli Lilly has been revised 2.3% higher, and such positive earnings estimate revisions are typically correlated with stock price appreciation, suggesting investors should monitor its future performance closely.
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Analyst Views on LLY
Wall Street analysts forecast LLY stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 931.090
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
Current: 931.090
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
About LLY
Eli Lilly and Company is a medicine company, which discovers, develops, manufactures, and market products in a single business segment called human pharmaceutical products. The Company manufacture and distribute its products through facilities in the United States, including Puerto Rico, and in Europe and Asia. The Company’s products are sold in approximately 90 countries. Its Cardiometabolic Health products Basaglar; Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, and others; Humulin, Humulin 70/30, and others; Jardiance; Mounjaro; Trulicity; Zepbound, and others. Its oncology products include Cyramza, Erbitux, Tyvyt, Verzenio, Retevmo, Jaypirca, and others. Its immunology products include Ebglyss, Olumiant, Omvoh, and Taltz. Its neuroscience products include Emgality and Kisunla. Its LillyDirect, a direct-to-patient digital health care platform, provides delivery of select Lilly medicines dispensed by third-party pharmacies to patients.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- FDA Drug Approval: On April 1, Eli Lilly announced that the FDA approved its oral GLP-1 weight-loss drug Foundayo, marking a significant milestone that strengthens its leadership in the rapidly growing weight-loss market and is expected to attract more patients who prefer oral medications.
- Competitive Advantage: Unlike its competitor oral Wegovy, Foundayo can be taken without food or water restrictions and costs as low as $149 per month, significantly reducing the financial burden on patients, which could expand market share and boost sales.
- New Drug Potential: Although Foundayo's efficacy is lower than Zepbound, its convenience and cost advantages are likely to garner significant attention in the weight-loss drug market, while Eli Lilly is also developing additional weight-loss medications to further penetrate the market.
- Long-term Investment Value: Eli Lilly is expanding its product line through licensing deals and acquisitions, heavily investing in artificial intelligence for innovation, and improving its margins in recent years, making its stock attractive for long-term investors despite a 13% decline this year.
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- Market Share Competition: Novo Nordisk faces competition in the U.S. GLP-1 drug market from Eli Lilly, which currently holds a 60% market share, leading to a decline in Novo's market position and impacting its future revenue growth potential.
- Product Innovation and Sales: Novo's oral Wegovy drug has been approved and shows rapid market uptake, with initial data indicating that 36% of users are new to GLP-1 drugs, potentially expanding the patient base and enhancing the company's competitiveness in the fast-growing weight loss drug market.
- Eli Lilly's Strong Performance: Eli Lilly achieved over $36 billion in revenue last year through Mounjaro and Zepbound, demonstrating robust growth in the weight loss drug market, and its newly approved oral drug Foundayo may further strengthen its market position.
- Investment and Future Outlook: While Novo's lower valuation may attract investors, Eli Lilly's strong performance in the oral GLP-1 market and the launch of new products could give it an edge in future market competition, affecting Novo's growth prospects.
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