UBS Downgrades XP to Neutral, Lowers Price Target to $21
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 11 2024
0mins
Should l Buy XP?
Source: Benzinga
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Analyst Views on XP
Wall Street analysts forecast XP stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 18.920
Low
22.00
Averages
24.33
High
26.00
Current: 18.920
Low
22.00
Averages
24.33
High
26.00
About XP
XP Inc. is a Cayman Islands-based holding company. The Company owns technological platforms for investments, financial services and education, in addition to media and content platforms, including brands, such as XP, Rico, Clear, Infomoney, XPeed and IM+. It distributes a range of financial products and services, such as financial education and digital content platform, financial advisory services and open financial product platform. Xpeed is a financial education platform in Brazil, which offers courses, MBAs and learning tools, as well as a range of digital content. It advises and supports its customers in a range of activities related to the financial universe, such as advisory services for institutional clients, private banking for high income clients, international financial services, structuring and issuance of financial products for corporate clients and issuers. It offers an open financial product platform to its clients, encompassing both proprietary and partnership products.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Global Asset Management Conference: XP Inc. hosted its inaugural Global Asset Management Conference in Miami, bringing together global asset managers and institutional investors to discuss international market outlooks and investment opportunities, marking the firm's expanding global influence.
- Executive Insights: XP leadership, including Gustavo Pires and Marcelo Coscarelli, emphasized the strategy of connecting Brazilian investors with top global investment managers, aiming to enhance interaction between international investors and the Brazilian market.
- Geopolitical Impact: The conference addressed the growing importance of geopolitics in asset allocation decisions, particularly how tensions in the Middle East may affect energy markets and inflation expectations, reflecting the interplay between economic fundamentals and geopolitical factors.
- Global Investment Ecosystem: This conference is part of XP's broader effort to strengthen its global investment ecosystem, aiming to provide clients with access to leading investment expertise from around the world and foster deeper dialogue around global market opportunities.
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- Global Asset Management Conference: XP Inc. hosted its inaugural Global Asset Management Conference in Miami, bringing together global asset managers, market strategists, and institutional investors to discuss international market outlooks and investment opportunities, marking an expansion of the firm's global influence.
- Executive Insights: XP leadership, including Gustavo Pires and Marcelo Coscarelli, emphasized the strategy of connecting Brazilian and global investors, aiming to enhance clients' investment decision-making capabilities through collaboration with top investment managers.
- Geopolitical Impact: The conference highlighted the growing importance of geopolitics in asset allocation decisions, particularly how tensions in the Middle East may affect energy markets, inflation expectations, and broader financial conditions, reflecting market sensitivity to macroeconomic trends.
- International Client Engagement: The event created a dialogue platform for wealth managers from across the Americas, fostering communication between global asset managers and XP's expanding international client base, further solidifying XP's position in the global investment ecosystem.
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- Stock Market Decline: U.S. stock indexes experienced a drop on Thursday, with the overall market declining by 1.78%.
- Index Performance: The S&P 500 fell by 1.56%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 1.52%.
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- International Expansion Strategy: Kalshi has partnered with Brazilian financial services provider XP to launch economy-related prediction market contracts in Brazil, marking an initial step in its international expansion aimed at attracting U.S. investors and XP users.
- Market Innovation Potential: XP seeks to diversify its offerings by introducing prediction markets, with Kalshi's contracts providing clients with forecasts on interest rates and inflation, potentially disrupting the Brazilian financial market.
- Expanded Customer Reach: By October 2025, Kalshi plans to allow customers from over 140 countries to place bets on its website, with the partnership with XP being a concrete move towards achieving this global ambition.
- Product Launch Channel: Initially, Kalshi's contracts will be offered through XP's international brand Clear Corretora to clients with international accounts, leveraging XP's U.S. brokerage unit for product listings, thereby enhancing market penetration.
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- New Position Established: According to a February 17, 2026 SEC filing, SQUADRA Investments - Gestao de Recursos Ltda. initiated a new stake in MercadoLibre by acquiring 89,656 shares, with an estimated transaction value of $180.59 million, reflecting the fund's confidence in the Latin American e-commerce market.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This investment accounts for 33.8% of the fund's reportable assets under management as of December 31, 2025, indicating SQUADRA's prioritization of MercadoLibre within its portfolio, which may influence its future investment strategies.
- Market Performance Insight: As of February 17, 2026, MercadoLibre's stock price stood at $1,975.51, down 5.9% over the past year; given the increased competition, SQUADRA's investment could yield returns in the long run, especially with potential economic improvements in Argentina and Venezuela.
- Risk Management Strategies: MercadoLibre is addressing rising bad loans by employing AI to predict borrower behavior, a strategy that may enhance its financial stability and support SQUADRA's investment.
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- New Investment: SQUADRA Investments - Gestao de Recursos Ltda. initiated a new position in MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) by acquiring 89,656 shares valued at $180.59 million, demonstrating strong confidence in the Latin American e-commerce and fintech platform.
- Asset Allocation Shift: At quarter-end, MercadoLibre represented 33.8% of the fund's reportable assets, with a position value of $180.59 million, reflecting both the impact of the share purchase and price appreciation, thereby enhancing the fund's portfolio diversification.
- Market Competition Challenges: Despite facing increased competition in the e-commerce sector and rising bad debts, MercadoLibre's strategy of using AI to predict borrower behavior indicates a proactive approach to risk management, potentially laying the groundwork for future profitability.
- Economic Environment Improvement: With economic improvements in Argentina and Venezuela, MercadoLibre may experience a turnaround in its e-commerce business, and although its stock sold off following Q4 earnings, SQUADRA's investment could yield significant returns in the long run.
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