Church & Dwight Q1 Earnings Preview: Key Estimates and Trends
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy CHD?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Church & Dwight is set to release its Q1 earnings on May 1 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.93, reflecting a 2.2% year-over-year growth, indicating stable profitability.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated revenue of $1.46 billion represents a 0.7% year-over-year decrease, suggesting that increased market competition and fluctuating consumer demand may pressure sales.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Church & Dwight has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating the company's reliability in meeting earnings forecasts.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 10 downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced no upward revisions and 9 downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
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Analyst Views on CHD
Wall Street analysts forecast CHD stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 96.200
Low
82.00
Averages
98.71
High
114.00
Current: 96.200
Low
82.00
Averages
98.71
High
114.00
About CHD
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures and markets a range of consumer household and personal care products and specialty products focused on animal and food production, chemicals and cleaners. The Company’s segments include Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division (SPD). The Consumer Domestic segment includes each of its seven power brands, as well as other brands and household and personal care products. The Consumer International segment markets a variety of personal care, household and over-the-counter products in international subsidiary markets, including Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Mexico, China and the United Kingdom. Its SPD segment focuses on sales to businesses and participates in three product areas: animal nutrition, specialty chemicals and commercial and professional. Its brands include ARM & HAMMER, TROJAN, OXICLEAN, FIRST RESPONSE, NAIR, ORAJEL, XTRA, BATISTE, WATERPIK, ZICAM, THERABREATH, HERO, among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Church & Dwight is set to release its Q1 earnings on May 1 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.93, reflecting a 2.2% year-over-year growth, indicating stable profitability.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated revenue of $1.46 billion represents a 0.7% year-over-year decrease, suggesting that increased market competition and fluctuating consumer demand may pressure sales.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Church & Dwight has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating the company's reliability in meeting earnings forecasts.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 10 downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced no upward revisions and 9 downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Church & Dwight has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.3075 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which is likely to attract income-seeking investors.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.28% reflects the company's appeal in the current market environment, potentially increasing investor interest in its stock, especially amid low interest rates.
- Shareholder Record Date: The dividend will be payable on June 1, with a record date of May 15 and an ex-dividend date also on May 15, providing investors with a clear timeline for their investment decisions.
- Market Reaction Expectations: With the company maintaining its dividend payments, it is expected to bolster market confidence in Church & Dwight, particularly against the backdrop of pressures in the consumer goods sector, where a stable dividend policy may attract more long-term investors.
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- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Church & Dwight's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.3075 per share, payable on June 1, 2026, reflecting the company's ongoing profitability and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Record Date for Shareholders: The record date for shareholders to qualify for this dividend is May 15, 2026, ensuring that investors holding shares by this date will receive the dividend, thereby enhancing investor confidence in holding the stock.
- Consecutive Dividend Record: This marks the company's 501st consecutive quarterly dividend declaration, demonstrating a long-term commitment to stable cash flow and shareholder returns, further solidifying its reputation in the market.
- Product Diversity: Church & Dwight manufactures and markets a wide range of personal care, household, and specialty products under well-known brands like Arm & Hammer, showcasing its broad influence and competitiveness in the consumer goods market.
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- Challenges for Church & Dwight: Despite a GAAP operating margin of 17.4%, Church & Dwight (CHD) has only achieved a 4.9% annual revenue growth over the past three years, lagging behind its consumer staples peers, indicating a need for strategic adjustments or M&A to stimulate growth as sales are forecasted to remain flat for the next 12 months.
- Risks with Deckers: Deckers (DECK), known for its 23.9% GAAP operating margin, has seen disappointing revenue growth over the past two years, and its 23.7% operating margin constrains its ability to invest in process improvements, while a low free cash flow margin of 18.8% limits its capacity to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders, with a current share price of $107.70 reflecting a forward P/E of 14.9.
- Growth Concerns for Main Street Capital: Main Street Capital (MAIN) boasts a high GAAP operating margin of 64.8%, yet its annual revenue growth of 6.4% over the past two years falls short of its financial peers, with earnings per share declining by 1.7% annually, indicating less profitable incremental sales, and trading at $54.20 per share with a forward P/E of 13.5.
- Opportunities in High-Quality Stocks: While some companies like Church & Dwight, Deckers, and Main Street Capital show profitability, their growth challenges suggest investors should focus on rapidly growing companies such as Meta and Nvidia, which have demonstrated strong growth potential in their past performances.
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- Brand Incubator: Church & Dwight is building a strong brand portfolio through acquisitions of Hero Cosmetics and TheraBreath, aiming to grow Arm & Hammer sales from $2 billion to $3 billion, showcasing its growth potential in the consumer goods sector.
- Rapidly Growing Brand: Pilgrim's Pride's Just Bare brand surpassed $1 billion in annual retail sales in 2025, with a 45% year-over-year growth rate, indicating the company's successful branding strategy in the traditionally low-margin poultry industry.
- Battery Market Stability: Energizer Holdings expects to achieve over $30 million in organic growth in fiscal 2026 through the acquisition of Advanced Power Solutions, highlighting its sustained demand and growth potential in the battery market.
- Diverse Demand: Energizer enhances its competitive edge in battery demand structure by operating in adjacent categories like automotive products, ensuring stable growth for the company in the future.
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- Dividend Increase: Procter & Gamble raised its quarterly dividend from $1.0568 to $1.0885 per share, resulting in an annual payout of $4.354 and a forward yield of 3%, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to shareholder returns.
- Dividend King Status: This increase positions P&G among only five companies that have raised dividends for over 70 consecutive years, further solidifying its status as a Dividend King and attracting income-focused investors.
- Market Competitiveness: As the largest household and personal products company globally, P&G demonstrates resilience with an operating margin exceeding 20%, despite facing consumer spending challenges, showcasing its ability to maintain stability during economic fluctuations.
- Investment Opportunity: The recent stock sell-off has pushed P&G's dividend yield to a five-year high, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 and a forward P/E of 20.8, presenting an attractive buying opportunity for value investors looking to anchor their passive income portfolios.
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