AVLV, JPM, AMZN, CAT: ETF Inflow Alert
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 28 2025
0mins
Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
AVLV Stock Performance: AVLV's stock has a 52-week low of $55.67 and a high of $71.39, with the last trade recorded at $70.38, indicating its current position within this range.
ETFs Trading Dynamics: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function similarly to stocks but involve trading 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, affecting the underlying holdings significantly during notable inflows or outflows.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMZN is 294.69 USD with a low forecast of 250.00 USD and a high forecast of 340.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
47 Analyst Rating
46 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 204.080
Low
250.00
Averages
294.69
High
340.00
Current: 204.080
Low
250.00
Averages
294.69
High
340.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- AWS Revenue Acceleration: Amazon's AWS segment saw a 24% revenue increase in Q4, reaching $35.58 billion, surpassing the market expectation of $34.93 billion, indicating strong demand for AI infrastructure that is expected to further enhance profitability.
- Significant Capex Increase: Amazon plans to ramp up its capital expenditures from $132 billion in 2025 to $200 billion in 2026, primarily for AI data centers and robotics, a strategic investment that will bolster its competitive edge in cloud computing and automation.
- Strong E-commerce Performance: North American sales rose 10% year-over-year to $127.1 billion, while international sales increased 17% to $50.7 billion, with advertising revenue also climbing 22% to $21.3 billion, showcasing Amazon's robust operational leverage in e-commerce.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Amazon forecasts Q1 revenue between $173.5 billion and $178.5 billion, reflecting an 11% to 15% growth, and despite the stock dip due to capex plans, analysts view this as a great buying opportunity for long-term investors.
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- Service Expansion: Amazon Pharmacy plans to expand its same-day prescription delivery service to 4,500 cities and towns across the U.S. by the end of 2026, adding nearly 2,000 new communities, significantly enhancing the coverage and convenience of medication delivery.
- New Market Penetration: This expansion will include newly served states such as Idaho and Massachusetts, aiming to provide fast and reliable medication delivery to more customers, addressing the needs of patients in diverse regions.
- Enhanced Patient Experience: John Love, Vice President of Amazon Pharmacy, stated that by combining pharmacy expertise with logistics networks, they aim to remove critical barriers for patients in accessing medications, thereby accelerating the start of treatment and improving overall medication experiences.
- Standard for Digital Pharmacy: Through this expansion, Amazon Pharmacy sets a new standard, emphasizing that patients should not have to choose between speed, cost, and convenience, thereby promoting the widespread adoption of digital pharmacy services.
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- Delivery Target Increase: Rivian anticipates vehicle deliveries will reach between 62,000 and 67,000 units in 2026, representing a 47% to 59% increase compared to 2025, primarily driven by the launch of the R2 SUV, reflecting the company's confidence in future market demand.
- Cautious Financial Outlook: Despite the expected increase in deliveries, Rivian projects adjusted pre-tax losses for 2026 to be between $1.8 billion and $2.1 billion, indicating ongoing challenges to profitability during the launch of its new model.
- Improved Gross Profit: Rivian achieved a gross profit of $144 million in 2025, an improvement from 2024, largely due to its joint software and services venture with Volkswagen, demonstrating progress in cost control and revenue diversification.
- Strong Liquidity Position: As of the end of Q4, Rivian reported total liquidity of $6.59 billion, including nearly $6.1 billion in cash and short-term investments, providing essential funding for future technological advancements and profitability improvements.
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- Stock Price Decline: Amazon (AMZN) shares fell over 2% to close at $199.57 on Thursday, marking eight consecutive days of losses, with a nearly 14.5% drop in the previous seven sessions, reflecting market concerns about its future performance.
- Capital Expenditure Forecast: The company reported mixed Q4 results earlier this month, receiving an A+ rating for profitability prospects but announcing a $200 billion capital expenditure forecast for 2026, which led to diminished investor confidence in its valuation and momentum, the latter receiving a D+ rating.
- Analyst Rating Divergence: Despite 64 out of 68 Wall Street analysts rating Amazon as Buy or above, the overall rating remains Hold, indicating cautious sentiment regarding its short-term performance, particularly amid concerns over free cash flow compression.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Analyst Elizabeth Pramila highlighted Amazon's $244 billion AI/cloud backlog and robust retail growth, along with accelerating homegrown silicon development, as key drivers for a multi-year growth thesis, suggesting that despite short-term stock declines, long-term investors may find a valuation opportunity.
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- AI's Impact on Software: AWS CEO Matt Garman stated that AI will transform how software is consumed and built, although fears of it replacing major software firms are deemed 'overblown', indicating that the industry must innovate to avoid disruption.
- Growing Customer Demand: Garman emphasized that customers will consume more compute technology and infrastructure than ever before, whether through self-built, AI-based solutions, or purchases from SaaS vendors, highlighting the ongoing demand for cloud services.
- Market Reaction: Despite ServiceNow and Adobe achieving over 20% growth in their latest earnings reports, their stock prices have fallen 32% and 25% year-to-date respectively, reflecting investor pessimism about the future of the software industry.
- Unwarranted SaaS Apocalypse: Ray Wang, founder of Constellation Research, pointed out that the current undervaluation of the software industry is unfounded, asserting that not all software will disappear due to AI, emphasizing that the market's reaction to this shift is excessive.
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- Tech Stocks Plummet: Fears of potential disruptions from artificial intelligence led to a significant decline in tech stocks, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping over 2% and Apple shares falling around 5%, indicating market anxiety about the future of the tech sector.
- Dow Jones Decline: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell approximately 1.3%, or over 650 points, breaking a three-day winning streak, reflecting investor caution ahead of upcoming inflation data that could influence Federal Reserve rate decisions.
- Gold and Bitcoin Drop: Gold futures sank 3%, while Bitcoin prices also declined to around $65,000, as investors adopted a risk-off stance, highlighting concerns about the future economic outlook.
- Employment Data Impacting Policy Expectations: Despite January's job additions being double the expected amount, the strong labor market has dampened expectations for near-term interest rate cuts by the Fed, increasing uncertainty in the stock market.
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