Apple's iPhone Sales Surge in China Amid Market Decline
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2026
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Should l Buy AAPL?
Source: stocktwits
- Market Share Growth: According to Counterpoint Research, Apple's market share in China reached its highest January level in five years, with iPhone sales growing 8% despite an overall market decline of 23%, indicating strong performance in a competitive landscape.
- Success of iPhone 17: Following the launch of the iPhone 17, Apple's sales in China increased by 22% year-over-year, reflecting consumer enthusiasm for the new product and demonstrating Apple's ability to attract users who had shifted to other brands due to pricing factors, thereby solidifying its market position.
- Competitors Decline: Brands like Xiaomi and Vivo faced significant declines in the Chinese market, with Xiaomi sales down 36% and Vivo down 29%, primarily due to reduced subsidies and a shift in the timing of the Lunar New Year, showcasing Apple's relative resilience in the market.
- Positive Stock Market Reaction: Apple's stock rose marginally in premarket trading on Thursday, up 1.4% year-to-date, and is on track for its fourth consecutive annual gain, reflecting investor confidence in Apple's future growth prospects.
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Analyst Views on AAPL
Wall Street analysts forecast AAPL stock price to rise
27 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 263.400
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
Current: 263.400
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
About AAPL
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. Its product categories include iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Wearables, Home and Accessories. Its software platforms include iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, visionOS, and tvOS. Its services include advertising, AppleCare, cloud services, digital content and payment services. The Company operates various platforms, including the App Store, that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games and podcasts. It also offers digital content through subscription-based services, including Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness+, Apple Music, Apple News+, and Apple TV+. Its products include iPhone 16 Pro, iPhone 16, iPhone 15, iPhone 14, iPhone SE, MacBook Air, MacBook Pro, iMac, Mac mini, Mac Studio, Mac Pro, iPad Pro, iPad Air, AirPods, AirPods Pro, AirPods Max, Apple TV, Apple Vision Pro and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Resilience: Apple is viewed as the highest-quality stock within BofA's coverage due to its relative stability amid AI-related volatility, indicating that its business model relies more on consumer hardware and services rather than direct exposure to AI infrastructure spending.
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- Sales Growth: Despite a 4% decline in overall smartphone sales in China, Apple's iPhone shipments increased by 20% year-over-year in Q1, demonstrating strong performance and further solidifying Apple's market position in the country.
- Market Share Increase: According to Counterpoint Research, Apple's market share in China has risen, making it the top-selling smartphone brand, reflecting ongoing consumer preference and brand loyalty towards Apple products.
- Pricing Strategy Advantage: Amid rising global memory prices, Apple has maintained stable product prices while competitors have raised theirs, allowing the company to gain greater market share and enhance its competitive edge.
- Investor Confidence Boost: Apple's stock rose by 3.4% following the news, indicating investor confidence in the company's future growth potential, especially supported by its strong product portfolio and supply chain management capabilities, with the market widely viewing Apple as well-positioned to navigate the ongoing global memory crunch.
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- Apple's Recognition: Bank of America analysts named Apple a 'high-quality' stock, noting its resilience against AI volatility and progress in on-device AI capabilities, suggesting investors will refocus on Apple's strong sales in China.
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- Market Share Growth: Despite a decline in overall smartphone sales in China, Apple's iPhone shipments increased by 20% year-over-year in Q1, demonstrating strong performance and further solidifying Apple's leadership position in the Chinese market.
- Sales Rebound: After a sales drought in 2024, Apple CEO Tim Cook noted that the iPhone experienced 'staggering demand' that drove record sales as 2025 closed, indicating sustained consumer preference for Apple products.
- Pricing Strategy Advantage: Even amid rising global memory prices, Apple has maintained stable product pricing, successfully expanding market share compared to competitors who have raised their prices, showcasing its strong supply chain management capabilities.
- Investor Confidence Boost: With a price-to-earnings ratio of 33, slightly above the market average, and considering that Apple boasts five of the world's top ten best-selling smartphones and 2.5 billion active devices, investor confidence in its future growth remains strong, making the stock a buy.
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- Market Performance Comparison: According to Counterpoint Research, China's smartphone shipments fell 4% year-over-year in Q1 2026 due to memory shortages and cost pressures, while Apple posted a 20% increase in shipments, making it the fastest-growing brand among major players, showcasing its resilience in a competitive market.
- Apple's Pricing Strategy: Apple's premium pricing strategy allowed it to absorb rising component costs more effectively than lower-margin competitors, further solidifying its leadership position in the high-end market and demonstrating its ability to withstand market pressures.
- Analyst Outlook: Bank of America reaffirmed its positive outlook on Apple, labeling it as the “highest quality name” in its coverage universe, and noted that despite underperformance year-to-date, resilient services growth and a healthy product cycle support its long-term growth potential.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Apple stock traded over 1% higher on Friday, with retail sentiment on Stocktwits shifting from neutral to bullish, and message volume increasing from normal to high within 24 hours, reflecting optimistic expectations for Apple's future performance.
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