AMD Rebounds After $100B Deal with Meta
Tech was at the forefront of Tuesday's rebound from Monday's deep selloff, and while AMDwas especially strong in the wake of its $100B deal with Metaannounced this morning, Enterprise Software also snapped higher following yesterday's spasm brought on by the viral Citrini Research post about AI disruption of legacy networks. Adobeand Salesforce- down 27% and 30% respectively year-to-date - rebounded by 3.4% and 4.1% in Tuesday's trading. Conversely, Energy and Health Care - two sectors that saw some inflows overnight - were negative on the day. In the opening hour of the evening session and heading into this evening's State of the Union address by President Trump, index futures are flat.Commodities are also little changed, with WTI Crude Oil still above $66 per barrel despite the large API inventories build. Precious metals are off their highs due to a rebound in the dollar - Gold is just north of $5,160 while Silver has retreated to $87 per ounce.Check out this evening's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER AFTER EARNINGS -Axon Enterpriseup 15.3%Flywireup 10.6%Everus Constructionup 10.0%Resideo Technologiesup 9.7%Cava Groupup 8.6%TransMedicsup 6.9%CCC Intelligent Solutionsup 6.5%Trex Companyup 6.1%Supernus Pharmaceuticalsup 4.7%DOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Camping Worlddown 12.4%First Solardown 12.3%Workdaydown 9.0%GoDaddydown 7.9%CoStar Groupdown 6.6%HP Inc.down 6.3%Talos Energydown 5.6%MercadoLibredown 5.3%Lucid Groupdown 5.0%Tempus AIdown 4.4%
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Analyst Views on AXON
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Axon Enterprises' Stock Performance: After reporting its Q4 financial results, Axon Enterprises saw a nearly 18% surge in its stock price, recovering from a significant decline of around 50% since its all-time high last August.
Concerns Over AI Disruption: Analysts express concerns about the potential impact of AI disruption on the software industry, which has contributed to Axon's recent stock sell-off, despite the company's strong performance in its hardware business.
Revenue Growth and Future Projections: Axon reported a 39% increase in revenue and a significant rise in future contracted bookings, indicating strong demand for its products and a positive outlook for growth over the next few years.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings: While analysts have lowered their price targets for Axon following its earnings report, the overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations of substantial upside potential in the company's stock.
- Sustained Revenue Growth: Axon achieved over 30% revenue growth in Q4, although this growth came at the expense of profitability, highlighting the ongoing challenge of balancing expansion with earnings.
- Management Compensation Concerns: Investors are questioning the structure of management's stock-based compensation, particularly in light of the company's profitability pressures, which may affect market perceptions of its valuation.
- Product Innovation Driving Demand: The launch of new products has significantly increased the company's backlog, indicating strong market recognition of its innovation capabilities and laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Cautious Market Reaction: Despite robust revenue growth, investors are wary of the current price-to-earnings multiples, reflecting concerns about the company's future profitability potential.
- Earnings Beat: Axon Enterprise reported fourth-quarter results that significantly exceeded market expectations, reflecting strong demand and market recognition in the law enforcement sector.
- Sales Target Surge: The company set an ambitious goal to double its sales over the next three years, indicating confidence in sustained growth, particularly in expanding its presence in law enforcement and enterprise markets.
- Stock Price Rebound: Despite losing half its value due to concerns over AI software disruption, Axon stock led all S&P 500 stocks on Wednesday, demonstrating optimistic market sentiment regarding its future prospects.
- Strategic Customer Relationships: Axon indicated plans to deepen its relationships with law enforcement customers while seizing opportunities in the enterprise market, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
- Figma's Strong Growth: Figma reported a 40% revenue increase in Q4, reaching $303.8 million, showcasing robust demand for its AI products, particularly with a 70% rise in weekly active users, indicating strong market traction and potential for continued market share expansion.
- Axon's Impressive Financials: Axon achieved a 39% year-over-year revenue growth to $797 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising 46% to $206 million, underscoring its leadership in law enforcement technology and strong profitability, with a forecasted annual growth of 30% over the next three years.
- AI Product Innovations: Figma has launched several AI products and collaborated closely with Anthropic, introducing the Figma Model Context Protocol app, indicating a strategic positioning in AI that will enhance its competitive edge.
- Market Sentiment Impact: Despite a 24% decline in software stocks overall, the strong performance and innovative capabilities of Figma and Axon allow them to stand out in the market, leading investors to maintain an optimistic outlook on their future growth potential.
- Figma Stock Decline: Figma's stock has plummeted 74% since its IPO, currently valued at only $10 billion, significantly below Adobe's acquisition offer, yet the company is rapidly growing and achieving GAAP profitability, indicating strong potential in the AI sector.
- Strong Revenue Growth: Figma reported a 40% revenue increase in Q4, reaching $303.8 million, with a net dollar retention rate of 136%, reflecting a 36% revenue growth from existing customers, laying a solid foundation for future growth.
- Axon Enterprise Performance: Axon Enterprise saw a 39% revenue increase to $797 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising 46%, showcasing its leadership in law enforcement technology and robust market demand.
- AI Investment Outlook: Axon introduced the generative AI tool Draft One and forecasts $8 billion in revenue by 2028, implying an annual growth rate of about 30%, demonstrating the company's proactive strategy in AI and its future growth potential.
- Market Turmoil in Software Stocks: As of February 25, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has dropped 24% year-to-date, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations in software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks, leading to a wave of selling that has impacted overall confidence in the software industry.
- Figma's Performance Recovery: Figma's stock has plummeted 74% since its IPO, yet the company reported a 40% revenue growth in Q4, reaching $303.8 million, indicating strong growth potential in its AI products, particularly through partnerships with Anthropic, which may enhance its competitive edge in the market.
- Strong Growth for Axon: Axon Enterprise's revenue increased by 39% to $797 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising 46% to $206 million, underscoring its leadership position in law enforcement technology and ongoing market demand for its products.
- Optimistic AI Investment Outlook: Axon has introduced the generative AI tool Draft One to improve the efficiency of law enforcement reports and forecasts $8 billion in revenue by 2028, implying an annual growth rate of about 30%, demonstrating its proactive strategy in the AI sector and future growth potential.







