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AXON Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
402.210
1 Day change
-0.38%
52 Week Range
885.910
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has strong AI potential and hedge fund interest, its recent financial performance shows significant declines in net income and EPS. Additionally, technical indicators and options data suggest a neutral to bearish sentiment in the short term, making it less attractive for immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.177 and expanding, indicating mild bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 49.862, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support is at 349.381, with resistance at 413.252. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to bearish trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The Open Interest Put-Call Ratio of 0.93 and Option Volume Put-Call Ratio of 0.77 indicate a slightly bullish sentiment in options trading. However, implied volatility is high at 81.57 with an IV percentile of 96, suggesting elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 1255.57% increase in buying over the last quarter.

  • Analysts maintain a generally positive long-term view, highlighting Axon's AI-driven growth potential and robust product offerings.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent financial performance shows a steep decline in net income (-97.97% YoY) and EPS (-98.19% YoY).

  • Bearish moving averages and a lack of strong upward momentum in technical indicators.

  • No recent news or congress trading data to act as a positive catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Axon's revenue increased by 38.53% YoY to $796.72M, showcasing strong top-line growth. However, net income dropped drastically by 97.97% YoY to $2.75M, and EPS fell by 98.19% YoY to $0.03. Gross margin also declined by 3.71% YoY to 57.9%, indicating profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook with multiple Buy and Overweight ratings. However, price targets have been lowered across the board due to industry-wide multiple compression and short-term sentiment. Current price targets range from $570 to $825, with a median target of approximately $675, suggesting significant upside potential from the current price of $394.89.

Wall Street analysts forecast AXON stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AXON stock price to rise
14 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 403.750
sliders
Low
610
Averages
800.38
High
925
Current: 403.750
sliders
Low
610
Averages
800.38
High
925
JPMorgan
Joseph Cardoso
Overweight
downgrade
$925 -> $750
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Joseph Cardoso
Price Target
$925 -> $750
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Joseph Cardoso lowered the firm's price target on Axon to $750 from $925 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the hardware and networking group as part of a Q1 preview. JPMorgan expects AI infrastructure investments across server, switches, copper interconnects and optical to drive upside to AI-levered suppliers in Q1. JPMorgan downgraded four names and opened "positive catalyst watches'" on CDW and Seagate.
TD Cowen
Andrew Sherman
Buy
downgrade
$950 -> $825
2026-04-08
Reason
TD Cowen
Andrew Sherman
Price Target
$950 -> $825
2026-04-08
downgrade
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen analyst Andrew Sherman lowered the firm's price target on Axon to $825 from $950 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the company's customer conference in Nashville. The keynote highlighted address highlighted Axon's new AI products Vision, Assistant and Axon 911, the analyst tells investors in a research note. TD found the customer panel "very bullish." The firm attributes the 10% selloff in the shares to "non-fundamental factors." It recommends buying the stock on the selloff.
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