Altria Stock Outperforms S&P 500 Significantly
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 35 minutes ago
0mins
Should l Buy MO?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Significant Stock Growth: Altria's stock price has climbed to $69.21 over the past six months, reflecting a 20.3% increase that outperformed the S&P 500 by 12.6%, indicating strong market performance and investor confidence.
- Exceptional Gross Margin: With an average gross margin of 87.7% over the last two years, Altria demonstrates pricing power and product differentiation, allowing it to continually invest in brand and marketing initiatives.
- Strong Free Cash Flow: The company's free cash flow margin, averaging 42% in the consumer staples sector over the past two years, enables Altria to effectively reinvest and return capital to investors, maintaining its competitive edge.
- Long-Term Revenue Growth Challenges: Despite strong short-term performance, Altria's trailing 12-month sales of $20.38 billion are nearly flat compared to three years ago, highlighting challenges in sustaining long-term demand growth, prompting investors to carefully assess future growth potential.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy MO?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on MO
Wall Street analysts forecast MO stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 68.610
Low
57.00
Averages
65.00
High
72.00
Current: 68.610
Low
57.00
Averages
65.00
High
72.00
About MO
Altria Group, Inc. operates a portfolio of tobacco products for United States tobacco consumers aged 21+. Its segments include smokeable products and oral tobacco products. The smokeable products segment consists of combustible cigarettes and machine-made large cigars. The oral tobacco products segment includes moist smokeless tobacco (MST) products and oral nicotine pouches. Its wholly owned subsidiaries include manufacturers of both combustible and smoke-free products. In combustibles, it owns Philip Morris USA Inc. (PM USA), and John Middleton Co. (Middleton), which are cigarette manufacturers. Its smoke-free portfolio includes ownership of U.S. Smokeless Tobacco Company LLC (USSTC), a global MST manufacturer, Helix Innovations LLC (Helix), a manufacturer of oral nicotine pouches, and NJOY, LLC (NJOY), an e-vapor manufacturer with a commercialized product portfolio. The brand portfolios of its operating companies include Marlboro, Black & Mild, Copenhagen, Skoal, on! and NJOY.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Altria Stock Outperforms S&P 500 Significantly
- Significant Stock Growth: Altria's stock price has climbed to $69.21 over the past six months, reflecting a 20.3% increase that outperformed the S&P 500 by 12.6%, indicating strong market performance and investor confidence.
- Exceptional Gross Margin: With an average gross margin of 87.7% over the last two years, Altria demonstrates pricing power and product differentiation, allowing it to continually invest in brand and marketing initiatives.
- Strong Free Cash Flow: The company's free cash flow margin, averaging 42% in the consumer staples sector over the past two years, enables Altria to effectively reinvest and return capital to investors, maintaining its competitive edge.
- Long-Term Revenue Growth Challenges: Despite strong short-term performance, Altria's trailing 12-month sales of $20.38 billion are nearly flat compared to three years ago, highlighting challenges in sustaining long-term demand growth, prompting investors to carefully assess future growth potential.
See More
Investor Perspectives on Multiple Companies
- Scotts Performance Risk: Scotts Miracle-Gro Company highlighted that poor weather conditions could adversely affect its performance, indicating a high sensitivity of its business to climate factors, which necessitates cautious risk assessment by investors.
- Santander Acquisition Praise: Banco Santander's acquisition of Webster Bank received positive feedback, with a former hedge fund manager praising it as a quality asset, reflecting confidence in the bank's future growth potential.
- Altria Stock Recommendation: Altria Group is advised to reduce holdings as analysts note its stock has surged too quickly, suggesting investors consider locking in some profits to mitigate risk.
- NextDecade's Outlook: NextDecade is viewed as having potential in LNG demand, although analysts maintain a cautious stance on its future performance, recommending investors to remain on the sidelines for now.
See More
Trump Pressures FDA to Expedite Approval of Flavored Vapes
- Policy Pressure: President Trump is reportedly pressuring FDA Commissioner Marty Makary to expedite the approval of flavored vapes and nicotine products, highlighting the urgency of his 2024 campaign promise to appeal to younger supporters.
- Health Concerns: Despite the pressure, Makary has expressed concerns about approving fruit flavors that may appeal to children, which could lead the FDA to only approve flavors like mint, coffee, tea, and spices that are deemed more adult-oriented, thereby affecting the variety of products in the market.
- Market Impact: Should the FDA approve flavored vapes, major tobacco companies such as British American Tobacco (BTI), Altria (MO), and Philip Morris International (PM) are likely to benefit, particularly Altria through its stake in Juul and the NJOY brand.
- Financial Outlook: Altria projects an adjusted diluted EPS of $5.56 to $5.72 for 2026, indicating that the company expects to achieve a more balanced performance between the first and second halves of the year.
See More
Analysis of XLP ETF's 52-Week Price Fluctuations
- Price Range Analysis: The XLP ETF's 52-week low is $75.16 per share, with a high of $90.14, and a recent trading price of $83.67, indicating relative stability in the ETF that may attract investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average can provide valuable technical insights for investors, aiding in better market trend assessment and timing of investments.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the ETF's liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs helps identify those experiencing significant inflows or outflows, which can affect the underlying stocks held within the ETFs and influence overall market dynamics.
See More
Analysts Predict Market Returns for the Next Decade
- Market Return Expectations: Vanguard anticipates average annual returns of only 4% to 5% over the next decade, while Goldman Sachs' Peter Oppenheimer believes U.S. stocks will underperform compared to global markets, highlighting increasing market uncertainty.
- Tobacco Industry Comparison: While Altria Group boasts a forward dividend yield of 5.9%, Philip Morris International's 3.6% yield is backed by stronger performance, particularly with a 15% revenue growth in smoke-free products, indicating a long-term competitive edge.
- Pharmaceutical Industry Challenges: Merck's cancer drug Keytruda will lose patent protections starting in 2028; however, the company expects to generate over $70 billion in annual revenue in the next decade, showcasing the potential of its new product pipeline.
- Uniqueness of Tech Stocks: IBM, a technology company, has raised its dividend for 31 consecutive years with a forward yield of 3%, and its software and consulting services account for 78% of total revenue, providing stable cash flow and dividend support amid economic fluctuations.
See More
Comparative Income Outlook for Philip Morris and Altria
- Income Growth Comparison: While Altria's forward yield stands at 5.9%, Philip Morris's 3.6% yield may be more attractive over the next decade, as its 15% revenue growth in smoke-free product lines demonstrates stronger market adaptability.
- Market Challenge Analysis: Altria faces significant impacts from the smoking cessation movement in the U.S., leading to a slight revenue decline in 2025 primarily due to a 10% drop in cigarette sales volume, which could affect its future dividend growth capacity.
- Patent Risk for Pharmaceuticals: Merck's Keytruda is set to lose some patent protections by 2028; although management anticipates that its new drug portfolio could generate over $70 billion in annual revenue in the next decade, the challenge of replacing Keytruda remains daunting.
- Uniqueness of IBM: International Business Machines (IBM) stands out as a technology stock offering a 3% dividend yield, with its core business model focused on software and consulting services, ensuring stable recurring revenue that is ideal for holding during economic volatility.
See More
Altria Stock Outperforms S&P 500 Significantly
- Significant Stock Growth: Altria's stock price has climbed to $69.21 over the past six months, reflecting a 20.3% increase that outperformed the S&P 500 by 12.6%, indicating strong market performance and investor confidence.
- Exceptional Gross Margin: With an average gross margin of 87.7% over the last two years, Altria demonstrates pricing power and product differentiation, allowing it to continually invest in brand and marketing initiatives.
- Strong Free Cash Flow: The company's free cash flow margin, averaging 42% in the consumer staples sector over the past two years, enables Altria to effectively reinvest and return capital to investors, maintaining its competitive edge.
- Long-Term Revenue Growth Challenges: Despite strong short-term performance, Altria's trailing 12-month sales of $20.38 billion are nearly flat compared to three years ago, highlighting challenges in sustaining long-term demand growth, prompting investors to carefully assess future growth potential.
See More
Investor Perspectives on Multiple Companies
- Scotts Performance Risk: Scotts Miracle-Gro Company highlighted that poor weather conditions could adversely affect its performance, indicating a high sensitivity of its business to climate factors, which necessitates cautious risk assessment by investors.
- Santander Acquisition Praise: Banco Santander's acquisition of Webster Bank received positive feedback, with a former hedge fund manager praising it as a quality asset, reflecting confidence in the bank's future growth potential.
- Altria Stock Recommendation: Altria Group is advised to reduce holdings as analysts note its stock has surged too quickly, suggesting investors consider locking in some profits to mitigate risk.
- NextDecade's Outlook: NextDecade is viewed as having potential in LNG demand, although analysts maintain a cautious stance on its future performance, recommending investors to remain on the sidelines for now.
See More
Trump Pressures FDA to Expedite Approval of Flavored Vapes
- Policy Pressure: President Trump is reportedly pressuring FDA Commissioner Marty Makary to expedite the approval of flavored vapes and nicotine products, highlighting the urgency of his 2024 campaign promise to appeal to younger supporters.
- Health Concerns: Despite the pressure, Makary has expressed concerns about approving fruit flavors that may appeal to children, which could lead the FDA to only approve flavors like mint, coffee, tea, and spices that are deemed more adult-oriented, thereby affecting the variety of products in the market.
- Market Impact: Should the FDA approve flavored vapes, major tobacco companies such as British American Tobacco (BTI), Altria (MO), and Philip Morris International (PM) are likely to benefit, particularly Altria through its stake in Juul and the NJOY brand.
- Financial Outlook: Altria projects an adjusted diluted EPS of $5.56 to $5.72 for 2026, indicating that the company expects to achieve a more balanced performance between the first and second halves of the year.
See More
Analysis of XLP ETF's 52-Week Price Fluctuations
- Price Range Analysis: The XLP ETF's 52-week low is $75.16 per share, with a high of $90.14, and a recent trading price of $83.67, indicating relative stability in the ETF that may attract investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average can provide valuable technical insights for investors, aiding in better market trend assessment and timing of investments.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the ETF's liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs helps identify those experiencing significant inflows or outflows, which can affect the underlying stocks held within the ETFs and influence overall market dynamics.
See More
Analysts Predict Market Returns for the Next Decade
- Market Return Expectations: Vanguard anticipates average annual returns of only 4% to 5% over the next decade, while Goldman Sachs' Peter Oppenheimer believes U.S. stocks will underperform compared to global markets, highlighting increasing market uncertainty.
- Tobacco Industry Comparison: While Altria Group boasts a forward dividend yield of 5.9%, Philip Morris International's 3.6% yield is backed by stronger performance, particularly with a 15% revenue growth in smoke-free products, indicating a long-term competitive edge.
- Pharmaceutical Industry Challenges: Merck's cancer drug Keytruda will lose patent protections starting in 2028; however, the company expects to generate over $70 billion in annual revenue in the next decade, showcasing the potential of its new product pipeline.
- Uniqueness of Tech Stocks: IBM, a technology company, has raised its dividend for 31 consecutive years with a forward yield of 3%, and its software and consulting services account for 78% of total revenue, providing stable cash flow and dividend support amid economic fluctuations.
See More
Comparative Income Outlook for Philip Morris and Altria
- Income Growth Comparison: While Altria's forward yield stands at 5.9%, Philip Morris's 3.6% yield may be more attractive over the next decade, as its 15% revenue growth in smoke-free product lines demonstrates stronger market adaptability.
- Market Challenge Analysis: Altria faces significant impacts from the smoking cessation movement in the U.S., leading to a slight revenue decline in 2025 primarily due to a 10% drop in cigarette sales volume, which could affect its future dividend growth capacity.
- Patent Risk for Pharmaceuticals: Merck's Keytruda is set to lose some patent protections by 2028; although management anticipates that its new drug portfolio could generate over $70 billion in annual revenue in the next decade, the challenge of replacing Keytruda remains daunting.
- Uniqueness of IBM: International Business Machines (IBM) stands out as a technology stock offering a 3% dividend yield, with its core business model focused on software and consulting services, ensuring stable recurring revenue that is ideal for holding during economic volatility.
See More
