25 Stocks Poised for 100x Growth Based on a 40-Year Analysis
Overview of Thomas W. Phelps's Book: "100 to 1 in the Stock Market" is a highly recommended investment manual that emphasizes the importance of buying exceptional companies early, maintaining discipline, and allowing compounding to generate wealth over time.
Phelps's Investment Framework: The book outlines a framework for identifying profitable companies, focusing on durable advantages, large addressable markets, present profitability, and the importance of patience in letting investments grow without interruption.
Current Investment Candidates: The article lists twenty-five companies that fit Phelps's criteria for potential high returns, categorized by their competitive advantages and sectors, including construction, manufacturing, and consumer goods.
Final Thoughts on Investing: The key takeaway is to seek out strong investment engines, remain patient through market volatility, and allow time to enhance the value of well-chosen assets, aligning with Phelps's philosophy of long-term compounding.
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- Significant Sales Growth: Sprouts Farmers Market reported total sales of $2.1 billion in Q4 2025, an 8% year-over-year increase, with comparable store sales rising by 1.6%, reflecting the positive impact of new store openings and the loyalty program.
- Profitability Improvement: The company achieved a net income of $90 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.92, marking a 16% increase compared to the previous year, showcasing successful cost management and system enhancements despite challenges from margin pressures due to shrink and loyalty program costs.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management anticipates sales growth for 2026 to be between 4.5% and 6.5%, with plans to open at least 40 new stores, while facing challenges with slowing comparable sales growth, projecting a decline of 3% to 1% in Q1 comparable sales.
- Leadership Changes: The appointment of Don Clark as Chief Merchandising Officer and Mandy Rassi as Chief Customer Officer aims to strengthen the company's strategic execution in customer value and market competitiveness, although management expressed dissatisfaction with current performance.
- Earnings Highlights: Sprouts Farmers Market reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.92, beating expectations by $0.03, indicating robust profitability, while net sales reached $8.8 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, reflecting strong market demand.
- Store Expansion: As of December 28, 2025, the company opened 37 new stores, bringing the total to 477 across 24 states, demonstrating ongoing expansion in the U.S. market and an increase in market share.
- Cash Flow and Buyback: The company ended the year with $257 million in cash and cash equivalents and a zero balance on its $600 million revolving credit facility, indicating strong liquidity; additionally, a new $1 billion share buyback program was authorized, with 4 million shares repurchased for a total investment of $472 million, enhancing shareholder returns.
- 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates net sales growth of 4.5% to 6.5% for 2026, with comparable store sales growth projected at -1% to 1%, and plans to open over 40 new stores, with capital expenditures expected between $280 million and $310 million, reflecting confidence in future growth.
- Significant Sales Growth: In 2025, Sprouts Farmers Market achieved net sales of $8.8 billion, representing a 14% increase year-over-year, demonstrating the company's strong market performance and expanding customer base, which further solidifies its leadership in the organic food retail sector.
- Improved Profitability: The diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter reached $0.92, a 16.5% increase from $0.79 in the same period of 2024, reflecting the company's success in cost control and operational efficiency, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Accelerated New Store Openings: In 2025, Sprouts opened 37 new stores, bringing the total to 477, indicating the company's proactive strategy in expanding market coverage and meeting consumer demand, which is expected to drive future sales growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Despite a strong performance in 2025, Sprouts anticipates challenges in the first half of 2026, with comparable store sales growth projected at -3% to -1%, indicating the company's cautious approach in navigating macroeconomic changes and competitive pressures.
- Earnings Release Date: Sprouts Farmers Market is set to release its Q4 earnings after the market closes on February 19, with analysts expecting earnings per share to reach $0.89, an increase from $0.79 in the same quarter last year, indicating improved profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts project the company's Q4 revenue to hit $2.15 billion, up from $2 billion a year earlier, reflecting optimistic market expectations regarding its sales growth.
- Q3 Performance Issues: On October 29, Sprouts Farmers Market reported disappointing Q3 sales results and provided adjusted EPS guidance for Q4 that fell below market estimates, which may impact investor confidence.
- Stock Price Movement: As of Wednesday, Sprouts Farmers Market shares rose by 0.2% to close at $67.67, suggesting that despite sales challenges, the market remains cautiously optimistic about its future performance.
- Earnings Announcement: Sprouts Farmers Market is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 18, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.89, reflecting a 12.7% year-over-year growth, indicating potential improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $2.15 billion, representing a 7.5% year-over-year increase, which suggests the company is maintaining stable sales growth in a competitive market environment.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Sprouts Farmers Market has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating reliability in financial forecasting and market confidence.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and four downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced no upward revisions and two downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.






