Valvoline Inc's stock price fell by 3.01% and hit a 20-day low amid a generally positive market environment, with the Nasdaq-100 up 1.33% and the S&P 500 up 0.59%.
This decline occurs despite Roth Capital initiating coverage on Valvoline with a Buy rating and a price target of $42, indicating analyst optimism. However, the stock's performance suggests sector rotation as investors may be reallocating their portfolios in response to broader market trends.
The implications of this price movement highlight the challenges Valvoline faces in maintaining investor confidence, even with positive analyst ratings. The company's focus on winter vehicle maintenance, as indicated by their recent survey, may also play a role in shaping future performance.
VVV
$29.55+Infinity%1D
Analyst Views on VVV
Wall Street analysts forecast VVV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VVV is 42.40 USD with a low forecast of 35.00 USD and a high forecast of 50.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VVV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VVV is 42.40 USD with a low forecast of 35.00 USD and a high forecast of 50.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 30.420
Low
35.00
Averages
42.40
High
50.00
Current: 30.420
Low
35.00
Averages
42.40
High
50.00
Jefferies
Bret Jordan
initiated
$40
2025-12-17
New
Reason
Jefferies
Bret Jordan
Price Target
$40
2025-12-17
New
initiated
Reason
Jefferies analyst Bret Jordan reinstated coverage of Valvoline with a Buy rating and $40 price target following Q4 earnings and the closing of the acquisition of 162 Breeze Autocare locations.
Roth Capital
Scott Stember
initiated
$42
2025-12-17
New
Reason
Roth Capital
Scott Stember
Price Target
$42
2025-12-17
New
initiated
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Scott Stember initiated coverage of Valvoline with a Buy rating and $42 price target. The company's consistent mid-single-digit or more SSS growth is underpinned by strong underlying industry trends and magnified by "premiumization" within the core oil change/lube business, while its growth in non-oil change revenue and Fleet sales are all leading to increased ticket growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Roth believes that Valvoline EBITDA growth rate should re-accelerate to double-digits in FY26/FY27 thanks to store expansion and abating infrastructure costs.
Mizuho
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$43 -> $38
2025-12-15
New
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$43 -> $38
2025-12-15
New
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Mizuho lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $38 from $43 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following the investor update. The company provided refreshed medium-term financial targets through fiscal 2028, which includes same store sales growth of 3%-5%, which tracked below investor expectations and current year guidance for 4%-6%, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Mizuho adjusted estimates post the update.
Piper Sandler
Peter Keith
Overweight
downgrade
$50 -> $41
2025-11-20
Reason
Piper Sandler
Peter Keith
Price Target
$50 -> $41
2025-11-20
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler analyst Peter Keith lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $41 from $50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following relatively inline Q4 results and FY26 EPS guidance that was below expectations. The firm notes the company received clearance from the FTC to acquire 162 Breeze stores - and elevated interest expense and D&A caused FY26 EPS growth guidance to come in at +4%. Certainly, after a messy FY25 from refranchising and IT investments, this guidance is a bit of a disappointment, argues Piper.
About VVV
Valvoline Inc. provides automotive preventive maintenance services, convenient and trusted services in its retail stores throughout the United States and Canada. The Company's service includes 15-minute stay-in-your-car oil changes; battery, bulb and wiper replacements; tire rotations, and other manufacturer-recommended maintenance services. It has 2,300 franchised and Company-operated service centers across the United States and Canada. The vehicle maintenance services offered by the Company include air filter replacement, battery replacement, differential fluid, fuel system cleaning, headlight and taillight replacement, radiator service, tire rotation, transmission service, air conditioning, and wiper blade replacement. The Company’s services are offered to a range of vehicle types, serving both consumers and commercial customers, such as hybrid electric vehicles, battery electric vehicles, medium duty and passenger car motor oil light duty.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.