VVV

Valvoline Inc

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Advanced Chart

39.920

+0.59(1.500%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

40.000

Open

40.000

VWAP

39.97

Vol

448.29K

Mkt Cap

5.00B

Low

39.670

Amount

17.92M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

17.91

Total Shares

128.85M

6.01B

EV/OCF(TTM)

20.52

P/S(TTM)

3.00

Valvoline Inc. provides automotive preventive maintenance services, convenient and trusted services in its retail stores throughout the United States and Canada. The Company's service includes 15-minute stay-in-your-car oil changes; battery, bulb and wiper replacements; tire rotations, and other manufacturer recommended maintenance services. It operates and franchises more than 2,100 service center locations through its Valvoline Instant Oil Change and Valvoline Great Canadian Oil Change retail locations and supports nearly 260 locations through its Express Care platform. The vehicle maintenance services offered by the Company include air filter replacement, battery replacement, differential fluid, fuel system cleaning, headlight and taillight replacement, radiator service, tire rotation, transmission service, and wiper blade replacement. It offers services to a wide range of vehicle types, including fleets, such as hybrid electric vehicles, battery electric vehicles, and others.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q2

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

454.43M

+12.71%

0.411

+20.84%

456.10M

+10.09%

0.384

+19.91%

456.44M

+4.81%

0.473

+2.8%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Valvoline Inc. (VVV) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.05% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 14.19%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.05%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.14%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+14.19%

In Past 3 Month

10 Analyst Rating

9.22% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast VVV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VVV is 43.60 USD with a low forecast of 39.00 USD and a high forecast of 48.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

7 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

9.22% Upside

Current: 39.920

Low

39.00

Averages

43.60

High

48.00

9.22% Upside

Current: 39.920

Low

39.00

Averages

43.60

High

48.00

Wells Fargo

Overweight

maintain

$42 -> $44

2025-08-07

Reason

Wells Fargo

Price Target

$42 -> $44

2025-08-07

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Valvoline to $44 from $42 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. While Q3 SW comps were a touch light, the firm sees the stock outperformance justified via gross margin percentage/adjusted EBITDA upside, quarter-to-date momentum, and an achievable Q4 outlook. Wells sees a solid entry point at about 11-times FY26 EBITDA, and believes the story should get cleaner from here.

Stephens

Thomas Wendler

Overweight

maintain

$40 -> $44

2025-07-29

Reason

Stephens

Thomas Wendler

Price Target

$40 -> $44

2025-07-29

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Stephens analyst Thomas Wendler raised the firm's price target on Valvoline to $44 from $40 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm, whose updated estimates include EBITDA growth turning positive in Q4 followed by growth in FY26, contends that its estimates "may prove conservative based on a strong summer drive season" and gross margin opportunities.

Goldman Sachs

NULL

Buy

initiated

$45

2025-06-03

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Price Target

$45

2025-06-03

initiated

NULL

Buy

Reason

Goldman Sachs assumed coverage of Valvoline with a Buy rating and $45 price target. Valvoline is a "best-in-class operator" that competes in a highly-fragmented market that benefits from non-discretionary, needs-based demand, and is positioned well in the current macro environment with limited impacts from tariffs, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the company's current valuation is being weighed by certain narrative headwinds that will subside in the coming quarters, resulting in a multiple re-rating.

Piper Sandler

Overweight

downgrade

$45 -> $44

2025-05-09

Reason

Piper Sandler

Price Target

$45 -> $44

2025-05-09

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $44 from $45 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following a miss and maintain quarter. The firm says Valvoline remains an attractive model in the current environment with a recession-resistant service offering and no tariff exposure.

TD Securities

Max Rakhlenko

Strong Buy

Initiates

$40

2025-04-04

Reason

TD Securities

Max Rakhlenko

Price Target

$40

2025-04-04

Initiates

Strong Buy

Reason

TD Cowen initiated coverage of Valvoline with a Buy rating and $40 price target. The firm is bullish on Valvoline's growth opportunity, saying the company is a pure-play quick lube operator with "defensive moats in an attractive industry." TD projects the company to grow revenue in the low-to-mid-teens, driven by high-single-digit openings as franchisees ramp builds, supported by mid-single-digit comps. It also expects multi-year EBITDA margin expansion on efficiencies, scale, and a slow shift to franchisee growth.

JP Morgan

Jeffrey Zekauskas

Hold

Maintains

$37 → $38

2025-02-13

Reason

JP Morgan

Jeffrey Zekauskas

Price Target

$37 → $38

2025-02-13

Maintains

Hold

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Valvoline Inc (VVV.N) is 21.69, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 20.34. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Valvoline Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

20.34

Current PE

21.69

Overvalued PE

25.56

Undervalued PE

15.13

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

13.40

Current EV/EBITDA

12.20

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

16.49

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

10.32

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PS

2.55

Current PS

2.65

Overvalued PS

3.41

Undervalued PS

1.68