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VWAP
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Mkt Cap
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Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Total Shares
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
FY2026Q3
466.44M
+12.59%
0.332
+3.69%
491.72M
+21.95%
0.344
+1.08%
532.48M
+21.29%
0.498
+5.93%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Valvoline Inc. (VVV) for FY2026, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 7.16% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -22.75%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Upward
+7.16%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
-12.26%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-22.75%
In Past 3 Month
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VVV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VVV is 42.40 USD with a low forecast of 35.00 USD and a high forecast of 50.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 31.030
Low
35.00
Averages
42.40
High
50.00
Current: 31.030
Low
35.00
Averages
42.40
High
50.00
Piper Sandler
Peter Keith
Overweight
downgrade
$50 -> $41
2025-11-20
Reason
Piper Sandler
Peter Keith
Price Target
$50 -> $41
2025-11-20
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler analyst Peter Keith lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $41 from $50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following relatively inline Q4 results and FY26 EPS guidance that was below expectations. The firm notes the company received clearance from the FTC to acquire 162 Breeze stores - and elevated interest expense and D&A caused FY26 EPS growth guidance to come in at +4%. Certainly, after a messy FY25 from refranchising and IT investments, this guidance is a bit of a disappointment, argues Piper.
Goldman Sachs
Mark Jordan
Buy
downgrade
$47 -> $41
2025-11-20
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Mark Jordan
Price Target
$47 -> $41
2025-11-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Jordan lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $41 from $47 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Key takeaways from the company's earnings update include a now smaller and likely lower-margin Oil Changers platform, a high effective acquisition cost per location relative to divested sites, and reduced post-deal balance-sheet flexibility, the analyst tells investors in a research note.The December 11 investor update is expected to clarify deal economics and the longer-term growth outlook, the firm says.
Citi
Neutral
downgrade
$35 -> $34
2025-11-20
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$35 -> $34
2025-11-20
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $34 from $35 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares following the earnings report. The firm views Valvoline as "show-me" story on margins. It dropped forward earnings estimates on the lower margin contribution from the Breeze acquisition and higher interest expense.
JPMorgan
Jeffrey Zekauskas
Neutral
downgrade
$38 -> $30
2025-11-20
Reason
JPMorgan
Jeffrey Zekauskas
Price Target
$38 -> $30
2025-11-20
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $30 from $38 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm reduced 2026 estimates following Valvoline's Q3 report. Same-store sales growth for Valvoline appears to be slowly decelerating while its interest expense is moving higher for the Breeze acquisition, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Stifel
Chris O'Cull
Hold
downgrade
$42 -> $35
2025-11-20
Reason
Stifel
Chris O'Cull
Price Target
$42 -> $35
2025-11-20
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $35 from $42 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. Valvoline delivered fiscal Q4 same-store sales growth and EBITDA that were roughly in line with the firm's expectations, but adjusted EPS was 2c below the firm's and the Street's 47c estimate, impacted by a combination of higher depreciation, interest, and tax expense. The company's initial FY26 guidance that included the Breeze acquisition includes EBITDA below the firm's FY26 projection when factoring in the impact of Breeze, the analyst tells investors.
TD Cowen
Buy
downgrade
$45 -> $37
2025-11-20
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$45 -> $37
2025-11-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen lowered the firm's price target on Valvoline to $37 from $45 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm strong 4Q comps/margins and solid FY26 comps guide were overshadowed by a larger than anticipated margin guide down driven by the Breeze M&A.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Valvoline Inc (VVV.N) is 18.21, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 20.85. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Valvoline Inc 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PE
20.85
Current PE
18.21
Overvalued PE
25.58
Undervalued PE
16.11
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
13.53
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
16.48
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
10.58
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average PS
2.61
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
3.42
Undervalued PS
1.79
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
VVV News & Events
Events Timeline
(ET)
2025-12-11
11:20:00
Sees Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion of 100-200bps for 2026-2028
2025-11-19 (ET)
2025-11-19
07:17:12
Valvoline projects FY26 adjusted EPS between $1.60 and $1.70, below consensus estimate of $1.88.
2025-11-19
07:13:29
Valvoline announces Q4 adjusted earnings per share of 45 cents, falling short of the 47-cent consensus.
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News
![[object Object]](https://d5bp8bijhhba2.cloudfront.net/image/default_image/newsfilter.png)
Preview
2.0
12-12NewsfilterValvoline Ranked 16th on Yelp's 2025 Most Loved Brands List
Preview
7.5
12-10NewsfilterValvoline Inc. Donates $100,000 to Support Pediatric Mental Health Initiatives
Preview
8.5
12-02NewsfilterValvoline Completes Acquisition of Breeze Autocare, Expanding Service Network
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