Matador Resources Co (MTDR) experienced a price decline of 5.01%, crossing below its 5-day SMA. This movement occurred despite the broader market's positive performance, with the Nasdaq-100 up 1.56% and the S&P 500 up 0.83%.
The decline in Matador's stock price can be attributed to sector rotation, as the company was highlighted in a recent upgrade report by Validea's David Dreman Strategy. The report noted that Matador is an attractive mid-cap value stock in the Oil & Gas Operations industry, with its rating increasing from 61% to 69%, indicating growing interest based on its fundamentals and valuation.
This situation suggests that while the overall market is performing well, investors may be reallocating their portfolios away from Matador Resources, potentially seeking other opportunities within the sector or market.
Wall Street analysts forecast MTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTDR is 57.08 USD with a low forecast of 50.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTDR is 57.08 USD with a low forecast of 50.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 43.960
Low
50.00
Averages
57.08
High
70.00
Current: 43.960
Low
50.00
Averages
57.08
High
70.00
Wells Fargo
Overweight -> Equal Weight
downgrade
$61 -> $47
2026-01-27
New
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$61 -> $47
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
New
downgrade
Overweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo downgraded Matador to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $47, down from $61. The firm says the stock's valuation "increasingly incorporates a range of structural considerations," including higher capital intensity and variability in recent productivity trends. While Matador's progress on capital efficiency or midstream monetization could improve investor sentiment, the shares offer a more balanced risk/reward at current levels relative to peers, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Equal Weight
downgrade
$56 -> $52
2026-01-23
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Price Target
$56 -> $52
2026-01-23
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott lowered the firm's price target on Matador to $52 from $56 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm marked its 2026-27 oil price deck for strip as of January 7 in conjunction with its Q4 preview for the E&Ps, oil majors and Canadian producers. The firm expects "fairly clean" Q4 operational updates but lighter cash flow from price realizations, the analyst tells investors in the preview.
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BofA
Buy
maintain
$50 -> $52
2026-01-16
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$50 -> $52
2026-01-16
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Matador to $52 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. For 2026, the firm remains cautious on the oil backdrop and continues to favor companies with resilient portfolios and low breakevens that fully cover capex and dividends in this environment, the analyst tells investors.
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$46 -> $50
2025-12-12
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$46 -> $50
2025-12-12
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Matador to $50 from $46 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
About MTDR
Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company. The Company is engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. It operates through two segments: exploration and production and midstream. The exploration and production segment are engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States and is focused primarily on the oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. The midstream segment conducts midstream operations in support of the Company’s exploration, development and production operations and provides natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services and produce water disposal services to third parties.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.